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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #20021
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Pirates Musgrove just got tossed.

    I had the 1st 5 under - kiss that goodbye.

    This is some kind of tax on common sense levied by the MLB
    yeah acuna just said, 'fuck you, san'...

    Mobile - PITTSBURGH PIRATES at ATLANTA BRAVES Win the Rest - (BRAVES 0 : PIRATES 1) BRAVES -130 W

    You think I’m just gonna stand there? Kind of a gift

    Druff’s Gausman premise proved correct. He performed as an “opener”. 55 pitches and didn’t finish 3rd.

    Druff was the victim of simple larceny given the way he lost Musgrove. Brutal

    I give edge to Atl bullpen but we will see.

     
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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-11-2019 at 07:04 PM.

  2. #20022
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I never second guess my decisions. There is always another bet and it will just unhinge you.

    I stared at 1-7 Chris Sale for a long time. -260 My vision was Sale has a relapse. Boston offense is no prize as they are into the 3 outcome shit this year.

    They still have that brand loyalty.

    Mike Minor is great and Texas is a good team. I just couldn’t do it.

    Texas 3-2 9th

  3. #20023
    Gold Salty_Aus's Avatar
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    I'm always looking for an edge and I'll share this one with you.

    I backed the West Indies in the WC yesterday and it was rained out. So for today's game I checked the weather in Bristol first. It's raining right now but the rainfall radar 'suggests strongly' that the weather will clear shortly and remain clear.

    Completed match: yes @ +130

    I'm set so sharing.

  4. #20024
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    +105 and shortening quickly.

    Sorry for the short notice but these opportunities are like that.

  5. #20025
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Can you cut and paste your ticket?

    I see next Friday v England

    It already started?
    Bangladesh v Sri Lanka... game starts in 3 hours.

    -105 as I type.

  6. #20026
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
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    Quote Originally Posted by Salty_Aus View Post

    Bangladesh v Sri Lanka... game starts in 3 hours.

    -105 as I type.
    Bang -140

    Sri +120

    You are on Sri?

    I just get to pick a side. I don’t know completed match.

    I have noticed with Simpdog, sometimes there are tremendous differences in world markets. England knows hit about hockey, for instance.

    Might have been good. We move on.
    +110 at the minute.... bounces between -110 and +110

    Don't think I'll bet either side h2h

  7. #20027
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    1000 pages. First cricket.

    I’m your Japanese baseball guru on PFA

    Los Angeles sports too.

    Betting a sport on a book in a different country can be a good opportunity. They might be slow or simply stupid.

    We saw some awesome things with hockey last year.

  8. #20028
    Gold Salty_Aus's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    1000 pages. First cricket.

    I’m your Japanese baseball guru on PFA

    Los Angeles sports too.

    Betting a sport on a book in a different country can be a good opportunity. They might be slow or simply stupid.

    We saw some awesome things with hockey last year.
    Surely there's a US facing book that offers "completed match"?

    Bristol is East of Cardiff and the weather is moving to the West.

    Name:  Screenshot_2019-06-11-17-28-29.png
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    Expect it to still be raining at official start time. But they only need to play a 20 over match instead of 50 for it to count. I thiink 5pm is the cutoff.
    Last edited by Salty_Aus; 06-10-2019 at 11:43 PM.

  9. #20029
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Where would you recommend I go to place a
    Good sized bet on a presidential candidate for 2020?

  10. #20030
    Gold Salty_Aus's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I only have money on one book atm.

    I poked and it had no other “derivatives”. That’s how stupid it is about Cricket which smells really good.

    I may miss this game but it might be interesting for me to look into this.


    We spotted differences of sometimes 40 points between England and US in hockey as an example during the 1st Period windfall.

    Lol, I need to reacquaint myself with the rules. My memory was it was a surprisingly interesting sport.

    As an aside, You are the blokes that gave New Jersey PointsBet I believe. They pay 3rd Period winners and I heard they are gonna snap pay NFL if a team is ahead by 18 at any point in game.

    Something like that. I need a proxy (runner) in New Jersey only place where you can get PoinsBet so far
    -133 this second. The value might be gone.

    I bet this @+180 all the way down to +140 and then posted the tip here.

  11. #20031
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Alright, I’m out. I got shelled yesterday on my casino shorts. Some idiot analyst thought Macau would save them.

    Trump will kill that hope.

    Wasn’t gonna go down forever but we are ready for tomorrow. Time for bed. Ciao
    Those so called analysts come out every other day on both sides of how macu is doing. Bottom line, who knows? Mgm is a real head scratcher after Just spent a week in Vegas —the house is still doing well so their stocks inability to reflect this is bizarre which leads me to conclude something is afoot. That said, I’m following ichan’s money in cet and unrelated nwl.

  12. #20032
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Alright, I’m out. I got shelled yesterday on my casino shorts. Some idiot analyst thought Macau would save them.

    Trump will kill that hope.

    Casinos weren’t gonna go down forever but we are ready for tomorrow. Time for bed. Ciao
    I must be a total degen betting on the weather but looks like a really good spot.

  13. #20033
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    I do like Betfair. Over $2,000,000 just on the 'completed game' yes/no market.

    Have been studying the rainfall radar like a hawk for the last three hours, and rainfall is moving to the south west now so I bailed and took a 25% profit... like a coward

  14. #20034
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Boy I got fucked hard in that Pittsburgh game.

    Gausman was awful as expected, but Musgrove got ejected in the 1st for bullshit.




  15. #20035
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Dog day afternoon, Druff

    Lots of worthy dogs

    Consider
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 971 New York Mets - Game #2 +185 for Game W
    Bit of an unexpected shit show in the Bronx atm. Think about the bullpens and affect on tonight

    Another funny spot is Cubs Rockies 12 in Coors. Prolly not enough. There must be a way to play this.

    Yesterday had little opportunity and today is very rich.

    Not gonna talk to myself though. I’m going to assign Reds & Tigers analysis to you.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-11-2019 at 06:41 PM.

  16. #20036
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here are two games starting shortly

    Miami (E. Hernandez) +139 at St. Louis (Hudson) - Hernandez with 1.19 ERA in minors this year
    Oakland (Fiers) +141 at Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Jalen Beeks likely to pitch for TB

  17. #20037
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Reverse Trapper John alert:

    Despite all appearances that Houston should be the clear favorite, and despite most of the money going on Houston, the line has consistently been moving toward even money, and the sharps have been on the Brewers.

    Milwaukee (Peralta) +106 at Houston (Peacock)

  18. #20038
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dog day afternoon, Druff

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 971 New York Mets - Game #2 +185 for Game W

    Another funny spot is Cubs Rockies 12 in Coors. Prolly not enough.
    Woof

    Had the Rangers too off the record and more
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 965 Texas Rangers +170 for Game


    The biggest reason in retrospect was that 75% of all day/night double headers are split. Yankees won 1st (make up) game

    Bensmokin is pitching for LAA v Dodgers. The long slide has begun.

    Gonna admit I took
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 958 Chicago Cubs/Colorado Rockies over 12 -110 for Game 10 now but will cash

    I also took
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 956 Pittsburgh Pirates/Atlanta Braves over 10 -105 for Game W

    These totals are just insane and I gotta embrace the program more earnestly
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-11-2019 at 07:31 PM.

  19. #20039
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays -115
    Houston -133

    Tomorrow? Today? Depends on the time zone but it’s all Wednesday to win.

  20. #20040
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Jays -115
    Houston -133

    Tomorrow? Today? Depends on the time zone but it’s all Wednesday to win.
    Wow Jays Orioles. This might simply be the worst game in the MLB so far. I have -105 Jays.

    Awfulness is a synonym for variance.

    You might wanna break out the 1st inning YES. I’m serious. The over is intriguing but the offenses are so bad.

    David Hess is 8.25 ERA 1st

    Edwin Jackson is only 1.25 1st but I can overlook that lol.

    Depends on the price but 1st P could be nice

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