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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #21
    Week 9 flame away. I will bold my picks

    SD @ MIA- SD +1(EVEN) O/U 45- O 45

    Obviously like most people here I love SD in this spot. They seem to win these games more often than not. They are basically playing at the highest level they have in years, even though they have lost a few close games. Donald Brown will take away 8-15 touches from Oliver which could actually slow them down, but I see this being a 29-21 type of game where MIA has a chance to come back one last drive and doesn't or SD needs that last drive to get that score. I think SD would blow them out at home without question. You would see a huge spread of 6-8 if they were home. That being said they had to travel, but I don't see Rivers not producing in beautiful MIA

    JAX @ CIN- JAX +11 O/U 43- U43

    I just don't like where CIN is headed health wise and production wise. I see this being a FG fest with Jax getting one of those long TDs to just keep it within a score. I see CIN pulling it out 24-14. Being a really slow methodical game. If JAX doesn't cover this spread I think it means they got shutout of the endzone all day.

    TB @ CLE- CLE-7(-105) O/U 43.5- U43.5

    I see this almost like a mirror of the game above, but less talented teams. I see CLE methodically pounding the ball with Crowell, West, and Tate all day long. Coming out in the 4th quarter with a comfy 24-10 victory. I don't see TB improving at all this season as long as they keep feeding Martin. Only way they cover is if Sims comes back and has a decent week and scores a TD on the ground. But 24-10-24-14 type score.

    WAS @ MIN- WAS +1 O/U 43.5- O43.5

    RG3 returns, but honestly it's like being in foster care being a QB for WAS. They haven't been able to stick with one QB and get the chemistry needed. Luckily they actually have some decent athletes who can score and get YAC. Regardless if RG3 finishes this game or Colt McCoy I just don't see Bridgewater beating them. I do however see him having his best NFL game yet. 3 TDs and 1-2 picks with one being crucial. I see this being kind of a shoot out once it get's going. Unless McKinnon can just run run run. Asiata is no longer a factor. I see WAS winning this 35-27

    PHI @ HOU- PHI -2 O/U 49- O 49

    Normally, you would get the homer alert, but I actually see Houston winning this game in one of the highest scoring of the year. I think something is wrong with Shady and Watt will shut him down anyway. I don't see the Foles I saw last year. Already more than tripled his INT's from all of last year. He has so many options with Chip Kelly's offense, so they will score during this game, but they will get run all over by Foster as long as he's healthy, and that will open up Fitzparicks best day of the year for him. 4TDs coming. HOU 45-38. Huge day for whatever scrub Houston has as a TE. don't even know his name I just know PHI Lb's can't cover me, let alone a real athlete.

    NYJ @ KC- KC-10 O/U 42- U42

    Two teams who just pound pound pound. Jet's have one of the worst secondaries in the game though. Wouldn't be surprised if we see Geno when Vick get's hurt. He always does. It'll just be another Jet's mess with a little more HArvin involved. He might even run 3-5 times. KC D is pretty stout. Wouldn't be surprised to see a 24-3-6 type win. KC could potentially also just smash the Over on their own.

    ARI @ DAL- ARI +3 O/U 44.5- O44.5


    Shootout alert. This is when DAL D get's exposed. I know everyone is saying Palmer Palmer Palmer, this is the week it becomes true(again, he did it last week too). Murray will get his 100 yards, but I don't even know if Romo will finish the game. I see ARI winning 30-27 or the likes. It's gonna be a one possession game most of the time unless someone keeps turning it over. Travel not an issue from ARI and they just find ways to win these games. Alla SEA last year @ SEA



    I will do the late games in a little
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  2. #22
    SL @ SF- SF-10 O/U 44- U44

    SF blowout. Things are crumbling for SL. Lost the best WR they had for the year. Stacy already looks like he's running in his tenth year, and apparently they are not smart enough to just feed Tre Mason all day with a mix of Cunningham. The Cookie will do his athletic thing and beat the Rams up. Maybe Vernon Davis even makes an appearance since he's been basically invisible since week 1. 31-10 SF

    DEN @ NE- DEN -3.5(+105) O/U 55- U55

    I think Peyton wins this matchup. I don't think it's the big game where Manning doesn't have any time and can't score at all. I hope the O line gives him the time he needs and I can see them crushing NE. We are only a few weeks removed from them sucking dick. It can easily go that way again. I see DEN winning this one 32-17. I think Lafell will be covered and Gronk won't be running all over people. I think they swarm them and let the little white guys get their 8 yard gains. I just don't see this being the big 55-54 game everyone is expecting. They never are once they're touted as so.

    OAK @ SEA- OAK +15 O/U 43- O43

    No offense to Tony but I feel like SEA has lost that huge huge edge when they play at home. People are actually winning a game or two a year there. That being said, I don't see OAK winning this at all, but I don't see them getting blown out. Old man in the OAK secondary is taking care of business quietly, and SEA isn't exactly killen it on O. I see them winning this quietly and comfortably, 24-14, but I don't see Oakland completely folding. they have been trying to at least compete. That's just a lot of points, and I can see Oakland sneaking in a few TDs to cover.


    Will do night games later.


    Let's discuss why my picks are retarded, or why they are not. I'd like someone to break down my train of thought.
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  3. #23
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I'm going big on the Phil Steele tails this week.

    Oregon -8 2 Units
    K-State -12 2 Units
    Ore/KSt 1 unit parlay
    Purdue +24.5
    Ole Miss -1.5
    Ark +11

    And as already said TCU O 70.

  4. #24
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The public loves the Clippers and over tonight.

    O/U back to 210, line to 12.5.

    I'll pass.

    Did bet around 550 on Cavs spread & 500 ML so I'll be watching that.

     
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      BCR: Good luck. You know I'm obviously pulling for you. Hope they figure it out quick for you.

  5. #25
    Platinum mulva's Avatar
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    i don;t think they can make the kc/nyj spread large enough to take the jets..lol @ thinking vick gives them a better shot. he gives them an equally bad if not worse shot.

    i went onto this weekend liking two road fav's..nor..who won easily and washington. nice to see teddy's name right next to geno in terms of QB stats. put these fuckers in the same uni and you couldn't tell them apart
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



  6. #26
    Nice hit Druff and Simp on ML wagers

    What a bitch D Rose is. You'd think he was a 145lb Persian. He's that much of a bitch. Like a teen age girl.


    Lebron tweaked already bad back at end of 1st half, stayed in, lead team unlike DBitch

  7. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    The public loves the Clippers and over tonight.

    O/U back to 210, line to 12.5.

    I'll pass.

    Did bet around 550 on Cavs spread & 500 ML so I'll be watching that.
    Never any doubt. Got a bit lucky to scoop, Bulls were up 98-93 with 45 seconds left or so.

    :moneytruck
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  8. #28
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I admit I wasn't feeling too confident when it was 98-93, and was just hoping to lose within the spread so I would break even.

    Pretty amazing that they won by 6. Nice $1225 hit. Still feel like shit physically tonight so this made me feel a bit better.

  9. #29
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I admit I wasn't feeling too confident when it was 98-93, and was just hoping to lose within the spread so I would break even.

    Pretty amazing that they won by 6. Nice $1225 hit. Still feel like shit physically tonight so this made me feel a bit better.
    Nice hit, thats the NBA for ya, your never out of it and always in it till the final buzzer.

  10. #30
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Derek Rose is injured more often than he's healthy.

  11. #31
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I admit I wasn't feeling too confident when it was 98-93, and was just hoping to lose within the spread so I would break even.

    Pretty amazing that they won by 6. Nice $1225 hit. Still feel like shit physically tonight so this made me feel a bit better.
    Nice hit, thats the NBA for ya, your never out of it and always in it till the final buzzer.
    Here is a scene from "The Gambler" (1974) where degenerate gambler James Caan has everything riding on the Lakers money line. Makes one think twice before making an NBA bet.

    Sharing my love of card counting and casinos without charge. https://twitter.com/Casino_Examiner

  12. #32
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Baylor -35 / thread

  13. #33
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Baylor -35 / thread
    Baylor was $$$$ for me early on but lately they just burn me every time so I'm staying away from there games and ECU who is another team that continues shitty the bed when when it comes to covering the spread.

  14. #34
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Baylor -35 / thread
    Also baylor 1h -21

  15. #35
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Derek Rose is injured more often than he's healthy.


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  16. #36
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I'll kick it off. The only way that TCU and WVU wont' combine for more then 10 TD's is if the weather kicks up much worse then anticipated or if the TCU plane crashes. If the weather is average they might have 50 at half.

    Over 70 is a play for me.
    I'm wishing I didn't lock this in at 70.5 a few days ago cause I can get it at 67 now. The weather sounds like it will be a bit sloppy but possibly not too bad.

  17. #37
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Georgia -11

    Georgia 1h -6.5 -115

  18. #38
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Georgia -11

    Georgia 1h -6.5 -115

    I love that first half line. go big
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  19. #39
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    WV +$150 ML

  20. #40
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    USC Wazzou over 67

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