San - i think we still have a few more years left of being able to advantage play with the public books. They are and have started to tighten up with sharp players and I think the results are more people complaining about how winning players are treated. Once Florida/California/others are squared away you will see a “fuck the players” backlash.
Just a few UFC 275 Singapore bets for Saturday (Sunday morning local time)…
Ramona Pascual +142, 1 unit
Mahershate +150, ˝ unit
Jiri Prochazka -195, 1 unit
Jiri Prochazka wins in 1st round +270, 1 unit
Happy Fathers Day
The rake from the purchase of the card to (assuming a win) cash out has got to be stupidity wagering at its finest
MLB Jays -1.5 -130
NHL tomorrow Under 5.5 -140. Get it before the 5 is out there.
No Bets Allowed. IMO Warriors win tonight. Klay or Wiggins need to score more and Draymond will have a game. That being said I promised GA I wouldn't bet on the game tonight.
If they shoot Curry up with enough pain killers and the Warriors somehow win I will drop to my knees - and fully hedge my Warriors future.Originally Posted by simpdog
I’ve seen very little but what little I have watched the Celtics are 3x as athletic as the Warriors.
BTW: I have NEVER seen such trashy (turnover) play in a Final from allegedly the two best teams in the NBA
Enjoyable article on the Celtics Williams kid in the Athletic.
I'm breaking this rule for this one bet...
Steph Curry UNDER 4.5 assists +124
To the extent Curry is out there it will be to launch threes, especially if the Warriors are down a bunch early. And if the Warriors are up a bunch early, Curry's minutes will be limited down the stretch. Under 5.5 assists is nearly a lock, but I'd rather take the + money than lay -160 or -165 on Curry's performance tonight.
The Klay Thompson assist under is another bet the degenerates are pitching.I'm breaking this rule for this one bet...
Steph Curry UNDER 4.5 assists +124
To the extent Curry is out there it will be to launch threes, especially if the Warriors are down a bunch early. And if the Warriors are up a bunch early, Curry's minutes will be limited down the stretch. Under 5.5 assists is nearly a lock, but I'd rather take the + money than lay -160 or -165 on Curry's performance tonight.
I have self banned the NHL too and that has made me sad. My resulting depression has meant I’m not watching NHL too much. I hope to snap out of my funk for the Finals. I think I can find an edge there. In the mean time, I have no effing clue.
MLB has been ridiculously kind to me. I started the year thinking it would be poison.
Buehler Buehler? Kershaw this weekend. The juices are flowing baby. Folks are catching on though. Sorry Druff
The sharp kids are doing MLB F5 team totals. I know a crew who is murdering this derivative. Their results are a daily torture cause as far as I know only Bovada offers them.
I have a beef with them that goes back to Bodog. A life without grudges is not worth living. Vengeance gives us purpose. Bovada cuts your limits pretty quick anyway - so fuck ‘em.
Still, daily jealousy.
I’m playing the 7 deadly sins in a round robin parlay
Literal last minute (bet live if you want):
Pittsburgh (R. Conteras) +190 at Atlanta (Strider)
By the way, watch Roansy Contreras (the pitcher I'm betting on tonight) for upcoming games, as well. He's been great thus far, and is one of Pittsburgh's best pitching prospects. This is his rookie year, and so far he's been great.
I'll take +190 with him any day. Keep in mind that this Strider guy for the Braves is mostly a reliever, and has only gone 4 innings twice. That's the reason I didn't do a first 5 innings on this pick. If they try to stretch him into the 6th, that could be when Pittsburgh breaks through. Even if not, there's a decent chance Contreras will still be pitching when the Braves have to go to middle relief, so I'm going whole-game with this one.
Well, this isn't going well. Wish I was just a few minutes later with my decision to bet this one.
Roansy not having a good game. 3-0 Braves after 4. Pirates with only 2 hits. Hopefully Strider starts to fade now.
Los Angeles Dodgers/San Francisco Giants over 9 +101
I don’t think Buehler is gonna find the answer anytime soon. Betts, Freeman & Trea are the best combo I’ve seen since Ramirez & Ortiz.
This is pretty much the handicap.
Maybe Buehler is too small. I was a fan too. It’s a nagging suspicion I have. I digress.
Bet is marginal but so am I
That Williams kid.
C’mon NBA let’s stretch this series out
Don’t worry Simp, I had Jays
Everything I own in the betting world atm. The Celtics +135 was just a little hedge. If I knew then what I know now. I just need Warrior miracle tonight and I bail Warriors future and pocket some cash
Sweating the Astros under.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-10-2022 at 05:43 PM.
Not a bad over bet. Today is an unusually warm day in the west (109 in Vegas, 80 in SF), so the cool, heavy air in SF situation doesn't really apply tonight.
Something is wrong with Buehler. You can't say "too small" about an LA pitcher without bringing on Pedro Martinez memories. After a great rookie year in 1993, Lasorda infamously said that Pedro was "too small" to succeed as a starter, and they shipped him off for lol Delino Deshields.
It is possible that Buehler burned himself out last year, and just never completely came back from it. Jake Junis is one of those pitchers who might be pitching over his head in 2022. I could easily see the Dodgers slamming him, and Buehler having yet another bad game.
Oh and Pittsburgh has decided to tease me in the 8th, plating one and having the tying run at the plate right now, down 4-1.
I won't hold my breath.
I'm breaking this rule for this one bet...
Steph Curry UNDER 4.5 assists +124
Are you really invoking Pedro into this discussion? That Pedro accomplished what he did with his body was miraculous. On another plane. Nobody is likely to do it again. Lasorda was right given his experience. Martinez was a freak. He was also an animal on the mound. It was mental too. Buehler has good compete. Your 6’4” friend does not.
Every promising smaller righty is compared to Pedro. Nobody compares except in very small windows. Remember Sixto Sanchez? He just popped into my head.
Anyway, I encourage you to read the Athletic article. That article has earned me a lot of money. It gave me confidence to fade Buehler. It’s a mechanical (arm slot) issue. In my mind, maybe it is a bit of lack of size in today’s day and age. Pedro also didn’t have to live in the 100mph world.
The nit in me dicked around with the total instead of the straight fade tonight.
I guess it’s academic now:
DODGERS PITCHER WALKER BUEHLER LEFT GAME DUE TO AN INJURED ELBOW.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-10-2022 at 08:58 PM.
Celtics adjusted series price +110.
Warriors -3.5 Monday
I need to think about this. Was hoping for better Celtics. Bastards priced it exactly and exquisitely right.
Absolutely nobody cares and that’s the primary appeal.
Staring the chalk in the eye and not blinking today.
I must be insane with this Philly action. I really am not just playing the streak.
If shit works early we’ll reward ourselves by fading Kershaw somehow tonight.
Jays is Sunday not today. Say a few Hail Marys and take them tomorrow to get your money back.
Today was a let down game.
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