Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #32661
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    New MLB strat, see when Angel Hernandez is home plate umpire, bet under.

  2. #32662
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Oakland (Irvin) +101 vs. Texas (G. Richards)




    BTW, unders have been killing it. True story, the other day when I bet Cleveland +165 and lost, I was considering instead two unders, and both won. I talked myself out of both of them, and then noticed Cleveland and liked it, so I went that way. But if you just blindly bet unders for all games every day so far, you'd be up big. Batting averages are really in the toilet. Maybe the three-true-outcome (HR, walk, strikeout) approach to offense is finally backfiring.

    I wouldn't read too much into it, though. Today's games overwhelmingly went over. I think the hitters are finally starting to warm up. Perhaps the short spring is what was messing things up for a bit.

    Overall I'm off to a pretty nice start in MLB, and hope to keep it going.

     
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      Sanlmar: The alchemy of Humidors, temperature and humidity

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    On a side note, can anyone explain the BOL freeplay policy to me?

    I loaded some new $ there because I sometimes like their MLB lines, and there was a pretty good deposit bonus, which presents as freeplay.

    However, when I go to use the freeplay, I am extremely limited. Some games restrict me to $100, others $200. I can bet the rest with real money, so it's not an overall restriction on my account.

    I cannot find anything about this in the terms. The freeplay isn't sticky (it disappears whether you win or lose the bet), so I'm almost done with it anyway. However, I'm curious what's going on here.

  4. #32664
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Not ignoring the BOL question. It’s been a long time since I deposited and I ignore the bonuses cause they hog tie you on withdrawals until the bonus are cleared. At least that’s an experience I remember

    I wonder if bonuses are getting more lush as with the legal sites.

    The waning days of the Golden Age of Sports Waging:
    US gambling lobbying group the American Gaming Association has called on the US Department of Justice to crack down on offshore unlicensed iGaming companies as the American market continues to regulate online betting.

    The call was made in letter form by AGA CEO Bill Miller, where he called for the DOJ to take action on sites like Bovada, BetOnline, and MyBookie, who offer services to states where online gambling hasn't been regulated. Miller is calling for those running unlicensed sites to be indicted and prosecuted, claiming they knowingly violate state and federal laws.

    Lobbyists must die. Remember the PPA? That useless turd, John Pappas? Time flies.

  5. #32665
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Not ignoring the BOL question. It’s been a long time since I deposited and I ignore the bonuses cause they hog tie you on withdrawals until the bonus are cleared. At least that’s an experience I remember

    I wonder if bonuses are getting more lush as with the legal sites.

    The waning days of the Golden Age of Sports Waging:
    US gambling lobbying group the American Gaming Association has called on the US Department of Justice to crack down on offshore unlicensed iGaming companies as the American market continues to regulate online betting.

    The call was made in letter form by AGA CEO Bill Miller, where he called for the DOJ to take action on sites like Bovada, BetOnline, and MyBookie, who offer services to states where online gambling hasn't been regulated. Miller is calling for those running unlicensed sites to be indicted and prosecuted, claiming they knowingly violate state and federal laws.

    Lobbyists must die. Remember the PPA? That useless turd, John Pappas? Time flies.
    I wonder how much $$ Pappas pocketed over the years in salary from that position. What a racket. That was the easiest way to win in poker.

    I have no doubt that, at some point, the offshore books will face the wrath of the US government. It amazes me that Bodog/Bovada/Ignition has operated for 22 years, doing substantial business, and never been busted. To their credit, they've always been able to do fast cashouts, even in the dreadful early 2010s when it would take months to get money from anywhere else.

    I didn't worry about the BOL rollover prior to withdrawal because I put in enough action there during MLB season to where that gets cleared fairly quickly.

     
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      Sanlmar: PPA offers great medical benefits?

  6. #32666
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    NBA Prop Picks for tonight:

    Celtics @ Nets
    Jason Tatum o5.5 Assists -140
    Marcus Smart o19.5 Points+Assists -115
    Bruce Brown o1.5 Three Pointers Made +125

    Raptors @ 76ers
    Tobias Harris o7.5 Rebounds -150
    Gary Trent o20.5 Points +100
    James Harden o 31.5 Points + Assists +100
    Tyrese Maxey o18.5 Points +100

    Jazz @ Mavericks
    Reggie Bullock o 2.5 Three Pointers Made -140

  7. #32667
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    No hockey tonight so we will dabble in MLB.

    Haven’t gotten a handle on the Dodgers yet. They’ve cost me some money this year and that surprises the Dodger Whisperer. We will figure it out.

    Maybe I’ll find out about BOL’s reload bonus after tonight

    The 3 team parlay is +289 (just treating myself to some degeneracy following a good day)

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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-25-2022 at 01:43 PM.

  8. #32668
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    Did a small bet on the Tribe and Bieber at +100

    Velo still down, but results havent been. Lorenzen inspires little confidence on the other side. Angels have been mashing but i'll take that price.

  9. #32669
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    The announcers were talking about the dead ball in Dodger stadium tonight. The look on players faces like Bellinger when the ball died in the outfield.

    The 2022 MLB Baseball Has Higher Drag. Baseball Prospectus
    https://www.baseballprospectus.com/n...l-higher-drag/

    I really need to stop with the totals.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-25-2022 at 08:59 PM.

  10. #32670
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Aight Simpdog

    I know you parked all your dough in the safe haven of Bitcoin. I can’t be counted on to bail you out forever but I can this once

    +198 parlay
    Blues +150 for Game Colorado gives zero fucks about this game
    Wild -520 for Game

    Ottawa -140/Minny is another +100 parlay. Of course, Minny PL or alt PL is approved depending on your financial circumstance.

  11. #32671
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Is everyone around you thinking the Celtics are winning it all?

    Sorry too busy celebrating the Raptors win.

    Vegas in a must win tonight. -110
    Senators -145
    Rangers -115

  12. #32672
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Is everyone around you thinking the Celtics are winning it all?
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    Few things you can consistently count on in life. Kyrie being a knucklehead is one of them. Ship him back to LeBron

  13. #32673
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So no such thing as a lock and all of that….

    W Clark is a horse for corse and recent form darling this week and has been beat down to +3500 in Mexico. He’s more or less the 7th favorite to win this week.

    Brian Stuard is like playing golf with your dad. Hits every single drive right down the middle…… but is short of the rest of the group by 50 yards. This course has extremely wide fairways and all the bombers are the ones who are touted this week. Stuard can’t catch a bid and is on sale for +17500 which is near the bottom.

    Time to bet this was at the open at -140 and it’s now up to -200. That said the numbers and form suggest if they played this 100 times Clark would beat Stuard more than 66 times.

  14. #32674
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    As I mentioned in the MLB thread, the Pirates are better than expected thus far.

    Today they send up Dillon Peters, who has allowed just 1 hit and zero runs in 10 1/3 innings, all in relief. He is replacing Bryce Wilson, who hasn't been good this year, and is suddenly unavailable.

    The Brewers send up Aaron Ashby, who is talented and may be a great pitcher in the near future, but he has struggled in the early goings, holding a 1.765 WHIP.

    I like the dog line here. Both teams hit well yesterday, but the Brewers won 12-8.

    Pittsburgh +155 (Peters) vs. Milwaukee (Ashby)

  15. #32675
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
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    UFC Saturday Fight Night early bets...

    Carlos Candelario +200
    Grant Dawson -180
    Marlon "Chito" Vera +120

    I have my eye on three others, Gina Mazany (favorite), Tristan Connelly (underdog) and Andrei Arlovski (favorite), but I'll wait for the weigh ins and face-offs tomorrow to pull the trigger depending on how they look and the post-weigh in lines.

  16. #32676
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    a few draft hunches mixed with some degen dart throws.

    Gardner 1st CB -140
    Cine 2nd S +175
    Ridder 1st qb +1000 and 2nd qb +400
    Willis 1st qb, Ridder 2nd +600
    J Williams o11.5 +120
    J Johnson II o7.5 -175
    R McCreary u47.5 -115
    Last edited by gut; 04-28-2022 at 08:14 AM.

  17. #32677
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays -135ish. LOL my Canadian facing site has -160.

    Team is a perfect 3-0 this year with Manoah on the mound. Going back to last year Jays have won 11 straight with him on the mount.

    Game is at 3:07 Eastern, so early enough we can still hit the night time GA meeting if we lose.

     
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      Sanlmar: Another win.

  18. #32678
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    a few draft hunches mixed with some degen dart throws.

    Gardner 1st CB -140
    Cine 2nd S +175
    Ridder 1st qb +1000 and 2nd qb +400
    Willis 1st qb, Ridder 2nd +600
    J Williams o11.5 +120
    J Johnson II o7.5 -175
    R McCreary u47.5 -115

    I’ve seen sharp action today on…..

    Stingley U7.5 (I think he’s going 3 in fact)
    Gardner U5.5
    London U11.5
    Davis U14.5 (every mock in the world has him going to the Ravens)
    Thibodeaux O4.5

  19. #32679
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    St Louis (D. Hudson) vs Arizona (Castellanos) - Under 7.5 -116

  20. #32680
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    a few draft hunches mixed with some degen dart throws.

    Gardner 1st CB -140
    Cine 2nd S +175
    Ridder 1st qb +1000 and 2nd qb +400
    Willis 1st qb, Ridder 2nd +600
    J Williams o11.5 +120
    J Johnson II o7.5 -175
    R McCreary u47.5 -115

    I’ve seen sharp action today on…..

    Stingley U7.5 (I think he’s going 3 in fact)
    Gardner U5.5
    London U11.5
    Davis U14.5 (every mock in the world has him going to the Ravens)
    Thibodeaux O4.5
    Lol - 5-0


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