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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31621
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Jesus - some really wide middle opportunities for ncaa player props.

    ďSportsbookĒ lines are 10-15 yards lower than buckeye lines.

  2. #31622
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    So Raiders gameplan seems to be to just chuck it deep and hope for a catch or pass interference (more likely). And so far seems to be working. Through 1st Q Cowboys have 50 yards of penalties and Raiders scored 14.

    Under DOA and Cowboys winning not looking super great either the way this game is being reffed.
    And Cowboys gameplan somehow involves attempting 59 yard FGs.

    Dark times.

  3. #31623
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    So Raiders gameplan seems to be to just chuck it deep and hope for a catch or pass interference (more likely). And so far seems to be working. Through 1st Q Cowboys have 50 yards of penalties and Raiders scored 14.

    Under DOA and Cowboys winning not looking super great either the way this game is being reffed.
    Sounds like Simp’s Dak passing under is in good shape. I got 267.5 under so I’m smarter than him obv

    I didn’t bet the runnning back guy cause I had a far worse offering

    Just finished playing tennis with an electrical contractor. He had some good stories. I’ll post em in the right place
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-25-2021 at 03:03 PM.

  4. #31624
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    So Raiders gameplan seems to be to just chuck it deep and hope for a catch or pass interference (more likely). And so far seems to be working. Through 1st Q Cowboys have 50 yards of penalties and Raiders scored 14.

    Under DOA and Cowboys winning not looking super great either the way this game is being reffed.
    Sounds like Simpís Dak passing under is in good shape. I got 267.5 under so Iím smarter than him obv

    I didnít bet the runnning back guy cause I had a far worse offering

    Careful before you start announcing that sort of evil into the world. Cowboys will keep throwing until the game is over or up by 21

  5. #31625
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Dallas Pollard over 45.5 yds
    Dak under 265.5 yds
    Pollard 29 at half. Had a 32 yard run brought back due to flag ugh.

    Dak 141 at half. Live bet but letís hope the game keeps close

  6. #31626
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Sounds like Simp’s Dak passing under is in good shape. I got 267.5 under so I’m smarter than him obv

    I didn’t bet the runnning back guy cause I had a far worse offering

    Careful before you start announcing that sort of evil into the world. Cowboys will keep throwing until the game is over or up by 21
    Yeah. Raiders moving the ball at will (even if it is through penalties) without using much clock is probably the opposite game flow you want for Prescott under.

  7. #31627
    Wow. These refs just don't want the Cowboys to win this game and they are going to make sure they don't. Sometimes it really is that simple.

    Carr is scrambling and throws the ball off balance and falls into the defender and his helmet hits the guys knee and they call roughing the passer. Just completely absurd call.

    And then the coup de gras Mariota comes in and the Cowboys decide to leave him completely open on an option play, and Mariota waltzes it in.

    For the rest of this game I imagine Raiders actually have greater EV to win if Mariota stays in. It is one thing if you have a week to practice for it, but Mariota coming in and running the option could really fuck up the Cowboys D and let Raiders bleed clock.

    Edit: Never mind, Carr is back in.
    Last edited by Kalam; 11-25-2021 at 04:01 PM.

  8. #31628
    Did McCarthy really just call a timeout in the 3rd Q on a 1st and 10 when the Raiders are still on their own side of the field?

    WTF?

  9. #31629
    And refs call another BS pass interference to give the Raiders 30 yards on a long bomb on 3rd and long on an uncatchable ball. It really is a shame the refs have taken over what could have otherwise been a good game.

  10. #31630
    Damn. Schultz was open, him and Dak just weren't on the same page. On to OT we go (hopefully, Raiders have 19 seconds to get a PI on a bomb and get in FG range).

  11. #31631
    NO Saints +7. Skill position players are overrated anyways. Who cares if their top 2 options at every position are out. Not I.

  12. #31632
    And Cowboys lose on a PI call on an under thrown ball. The defender never even made contact with the receiver. The ball was just so underthrown it just hit him in the back and refs called a PI for "reasons". Very fitting end. The refs really made their mark.

  13. #31633
    Sorry for looping you into a massive fail San.

    I liked the narrative of a run heavy offense from the cowboys but they got down and did what they had to do.

  14. #31634
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    NO Saints +7. Skill position players are overrated anyways. Who cares if their top 2 options at every position are out. Not I.
    So it would appear skill position players are not overrated after all. Just going to have to take the L for the day and move on.

    Unless there is 5 TDs in the last 10 minutes of the Egg Bowl at least the Under will hit there, so that helps with the bleeding a little.

  15. #31635
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    NO Saints +7. Skill position players are overrated anyways. Who cares if their top 2 options at every position are out. Not I.
    So it would appear skill position players are not overrated after all. Just going to have to take the L for the day and move on.

    Unless there is 5 TDs in the last 10 minutes of the Egg Bowl at least the Under will hit there, so that helps with the bleeding a little.
    In 2 minutes of gametime since I posted this there has been 2 TDs. So now have to sweat 3 more in the next 6 minutes. Sigh.

  16. #31636
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post

    So it would appear skill position players are not overrated after all. Just going to have to take the L for the day and move on.

    Unless there is 5 TDs in the last 10 minutes of the Egg Bowl at least the Under will hit there, so that helps with the bleeding a little.
    In 2 minutes of gametime since I posted this there has been 2 TDs. So now have to sweat 3 more in the next 6 minutes. Sigh.
    Ole Miss defenders keep coming up with mysterious leg injuries. It looks like they are faking it to mess up the Miss St. offense. But meanwhile all it is doing is stopping the clock and one more TD scored with little time off clock. So now magic number is 2 more TDs for the most horrible of horrible bad beats.

    Ole Miss only needs one more first down and they can kneel down and win the game. But I fully expect them to score anyways, because that is how these things go.

  17. #31637
    I know shit about NBA. Haven’t seen a game yet. Prolly won’t either. But like the LOL Lakers don’t we owe it to ourselves to autobet a unit here? And if you do, overnight on a ploppie day drinking holiday is the time to do it

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    Trail Blazers are 1-8 ATS Away

    Basketball - 556 Golden State Warriors -6Ĺ -113. Drop a deuce

    I been hearing about the Warriors but haven’t acted on it.

    Let me save you some trouble. The LOL Lakers are home (3-8-1) ATS against the Kings who are an uninspiring 5-4 ATS away. I’m not even offered this shitty game yet… shenanigans. The meth addled LA fans may lay some stupid line by tomorrow night. This is the Lakers home ATS fail recipe. We will see. Don’t do druffs kids.

    This is the extent of my NBA in depth handicapping.

    No sweat Simp. My mind never runs to blame. Never. Betting the NFL triggers self loathing not blame. I autobet your picks sometimes cause it’s been profitable over the years. The NFL is just a fun thing.

    I read a funny line on Twitter about the early games. It wasn’t Thanksgiving it was Flag Day.

    The heads up deal in Vegas between Koepke and DeChamb. They blanked out Koepke and only offered DeChamb. I was kind of interested.

    Hockey looks hard tomorrow. Days like Weds are becoming unicorns as the season becomes established. We need more Covid ravaged teams.

     
    Comments
      
      Rayo88: Great call!
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-25-2021 at 11:23 PM.

  18. #31638
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I know shit about NBA. Havenít seen a game yet. Prolly wonít either. But like the LOL Lakers donít we owe it to ourselves to autobet a unit here? And if you do, overnight on a ploppie day drinking holiday is the time to do it

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    Trail Blazers are 1-8 ATS Away

    Basketball - 556 Golden State Warriors -6Ĺ -113. Drop a deuce

    I been hearing about the Warriors but havenít acted on it.

    Let me save you some trouble. The LOL Lakers are home (3-8-1) ATS against the Kings who are an uninspiring 5-4 ATS away. Iím not even offered this shitty game yetÖ shenanigans. The meth addled LA fans may lay some stupid line by tomorrow night. This is the Lakers home ATS fail recipe. We will see. Donít do druffs kids.

    This is the extent of my NBA in depth handicapping.

    I could be completely wrong about this and the numbers dont back it up at all, but I feel like Portland always plays GS tough over the years. But most of that was in Oakland, so I don't know how moving to the burbs factors in either.

    But yeah, GS keeps covering and the books aren't really adjusting the lines much. Seems like everyone thinks it is a fluke and are just waiting for the other shoe to drop.

  19. #31639
    The lakers ineptitude the books have very much caught on to. There isnít much public basketball money in November, and I am guessing the sharps were destroying the books fading the lakers and they just had to lower the lines accordingly.

    Dark times indeed when they are a home dog playing mediocre teams, but it is what it is.

  20. #31640
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    The lakers ineptitude the books have very much caught on to. There isn’t much public basketball money in November, and I am guessing the sharps were destroying the books fading the lakers and they just had to lower the lines accordingly.

    Dark times indeed when they are a home dog playing mediocre teams, but it is what it is.

    The line has moved from -6.5 at the time of my post to -7.5
    Do not underestimate the mindless love your neighbors have for LeBron and the Lakers. If I see +8 I will be obliged to fade LOL LA.

    I could post some hockey but nobody cares.

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