Sanlmar is God... straight sets victory for me at +390
Tellafriend binks his Lojovik San Fran parlay and my conscience is clear. He maybe hit +250 on that.. sweet prince
I hear Federer is smoking Marlboro Reds to get ready for his match. They could shut this thing off any time. Not a good spot.
Hit 'em both with little sweat.
Really the big take away for me is BOL is getting into the screw the squares game. Sportsbook and Bovada it’s nothing new.
I guess I can’t really blame them. I can’t imagine having 550,000/500,000 of action on KC -3, All pre paid cash up front. Shit they even paying the processing fees for me to hold the $$. Can hold it as a bet knowing you got a ton of +EV. Can find a shop to give you KC -1.... can arb the hell out of it.
Who has the best defense in the NFL? 49ers
Who has the best offense in the NFL? 49ers
What team is more likely to fuck up? Chiefs
There will be fumbles, turnovers and mistakes committed by the Chiefs.
The last two games the Chiefs have played well.
That comes to an end in the Super Bowl.
49ers will stop Mahomes and destroy the Chiefs.
49ers and over 53.5 points.
What is the saying?
Defense wins championships.
49ers will be Super Bowl Champions.
Yeah Bovada is just so dirty with their tactics.
They have their square lines where any square over or favorite is one notch worse. Then they put the sharp bettors on regular lines so they can't take advantage.
And now they review any bet over $50 for anyone remotely sharp, and take a minute to do it so they can fuck you and accept it if the line got better for you in that minute.
And their live betting... oy vey.
The most important person in the NFL is the QB. The Chiefs have the best one in the league. Mahomes has never lost an NFL game by more than 7 points (he’s 27-7 overall btw). No one is “destroying” anyone. Mahomes alone will keep the Chiefs in it. I think this is a 31-27 game either way
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
So I bet tsonga last night, hedged live in 2nd set. Pushed the live bet and lost on tsonga. Aids
I know you were a Yastremska guy, Krypt. I’m leaning Woz vs the Yaz recency.
8:15p
YASTREMSKA, DAYANA VS WOZNIACKI, CAROLINE +145
I’m ready to move on to the next chapter in my life," Wozniacki, 29 "Australian Open 2020 is going to be my last tournament."
She just got married to some ex nBA guy.
She’s gonna leave it all out there. She gives a shit.
I think her numbers are better than Yaz and we have value.
Talk to me
This is has got to be the darkest time of the sports wagering year. Just grim
NHL is about to take a break. Dead of winter and you gotta be up at 2am to wager smoky tennis on the other side of the planet.
I feel like some ancient who prayed to his god for spring not fully sure that it would come because even he knew there were no locks.
No picks from druff or simpdog so I had to go it alone Bruins - 1 1/2 @+155
-Allergic to the struggle
I do love super bowl props. Every year I put way too much time into the anthem prop but it’s paid off.
Right now the time is 2:03:50 -150 to the over +135 to the Under - so two minutes three and a half seconds.
Demi has sung the anthem publicly four times.
So the first three at 1:50ish - all outside non recorded. The fourth and most recent was indoors at the Floyd McGreggor fight. Timed at a lengthy 2:11. So clearly the bettors are taking the big moment into account allong with the most recent version.
I have a slightly different spin, not without risk. If you pull up and watch the latest version she had to pause on four different occasions for 3-5 seconds. She “had to” do this because the crowd was going fucking bonkers for her rendition and obviously they were a super hot crowd in an indoor arena. The super bowl is going to be outdoors and the accompanying music is almost always recorded. There is almost always a flyover. In short they have it timed down to the second because 15 seconds = 2-3 Million dollars in advertising time. They simply don’t fuck around with the schedule.
I think this year there is value on the under. She won’t be able to pause/stop for long stretches in the middle on the rendition and she shouldn’t have too. “Dead time” isn’t something I can ever recall any other anthem having a lot of.
I’m waiting to see if people continue to pile into the over and we start to see some 2:06 or higher.
You must be drunk. SF got torched by Atlanta. KC’s offense is better. SF gave up 46 to NO. KC is better. To think anyone can shut down this healthy KC juggernaut when Reid has two weeks to prepare is asinine at best. The Chiefs o27 and game o54 are the prudent bets. Those could both happen and SF win, don’t get me wrong.
It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?
Penguins -135 moneyline
Young hotshot with the cool name, Sinner, vs the guy who snuffed Shapo. Except we all know Shapo defeated himself cause he’s a Candadian mental defective (5¢ head) thus, the Fucsovics recency is mistaken.
This is really how my mind works. Lol.
9pm match. If Simps bet looks ready to cash maybe you fire.
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