Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #35561
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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  2. #35562
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Refball.

    Mid 50’s FG or flag.

    One or two NFL a year is all I can take. Nearly as gay as NBA became

    We middle tho

  3. #35563
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Tony Romo just came on air

    He compared Mahomes to MJ at one point. Twitter is gonna roast him good.

  4. #35564
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    Cinci only have themselves to blame. KC didn’t show up for 3 Qs

    Ossai was idiotic at the end but it was his plays that kept Cinci in it in the first place
    BALLIN'!!

  5. #35565
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Refball.

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    Glad to see the refs from last nights Lakers Celtics game had time to make it from Boston to officiate the 4th quarter.

  6. #35566
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JoeD View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Refball.

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    Glad to see the refs from last nights Lakers Celtics game had time to make it from Boston to officiate the 4th quarter.
    If only there was a sport where penalties didn’t hold such a large role.

    Is that something you’d might be interested in?

    As a gambler this stuff has been stricken from my menu except for lulz on a slow night

     
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      JoeD: Officiating seems to be getting worse, making harder to watch these games

  7. #35567
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    Had Cinci and the Over. It is what it is.

    That being said, game goes over easy without every big play in the 2nd half being called back due to penalty. Horrible.

    That last play with the laterals though. WTF. Thought I was going to get a KC TD for sure. Do we even know why the ref blew the play dead when the KC guy was running it in?

  8. #35568
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    Early money piling in for the Eagles already. Started -1

     
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      Sanlmar: -2.5
    BALLIN'!!

  9. #35569
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    If you can find -130 and under 50 thats where the “value” will be

  10. #35570
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  11. #35571
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    This afternoon’s game was a shit show. 4th string qb. Ouch. I bet some high schools could have put on a better show.

    Tonight’s game was flag football.

    Somewhat ironic that on Friday I was asking a ref to use his whistle more while coaching. Maybe I can’t have it both ways

  12. #35572
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    NFL without a bet is called a nap.

    Took a look and it’s a Bangles and 49’ers teaser. Anything else, Tellafriend?

    on a 7pt teaser you can middle kc now so i would def pick that up too
    uh-hmm.

    i made a fortune last night b/n this and teasing the ou to 40.5 with both teams as well. Needed it.


    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Refball.

    Mid 50’s FG or flag.

    One or two NFL a year is all I can take. Nearly as gay as NBA became

    We middle tho

  13. #35573
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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  14. #35574
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I bought up under 50 and -130 last night. See where the market takes us from there.

    I think the one bet Ill add, if I can find it, will be Under 24.5 1H and 10 1Q. Who knows for game but there has been a distinct tightness to super bowl games as teams get their legs under them.

    As a in general guideline you will start to see all sorts of ridiculous props come out. The value is almost always that something wont happen over that it will. This is the flagship broadcast for the NFL and there isn't a whole lot of clowning around.

    Under and No’s

    Dont be that guy who bets yes on a safety at +750. Lay the 1000 to win 100 on No…. As an example.

     
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      Tellafriend: props to the prop guy

  15. #35575
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Why would you buy an under 2 weeks before the most public game in America?

    That’s not right, man.

    tbf, your handicap has merit but it’s akin to fundamental stock market analysis vs stock market sentiment when forecasting price. Sentiment wins short term.

    The Super Bowl hype machine will whip the all these fresh legal punters into a frenzy. You remember your first time? Did you go under?

    Every ploppy will have a stain on the front of their trousers like Tony Romo last night. “Mahomes is MJ” and all that. Precious

    Embrace the spectacle. Let it work for you.

     
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      Tellafriend: right is right
      
      BlunderMaker: wisdom speaks
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-30-2023 at 11:35 AM.

  16. #35576
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NBA
    Toronto +2 at Phoenix


    NCAAB
    Texas Tech -1.5 vs Iowa State

  17. #35577
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Why would you buy an under 2 weeks before the most public game in America?

    That’s not right, man.

    tbf, your handicap has merit but it’s akin to fundamental stock market analysis vs stock market sentiment when forecasting price. Sentiment wins short term.

    The Super Bowl hype machine will whip the all these fresh legal punters into a frenzy. You remember your first time? Did you go under?

    Every ploppy will have a stain on the front of their trousers like Tony Romo last night. “Mahomes is MJ” and all that. Precious

    Embrace the spectacle. Let it work for you.

    Because the public has little to no impact on the super bowl line.

    “not to be a dick”

    But if Limitless, Badguy, tyde, cmoney and 100 other PFA regulars show up at the super book and bet 1000 each on the over 50 the line would still be at 50 for customer 101.

    If the 101 customer is Krack and he bets 10K on the under they take notice.

    If customers 102-148 are Tine and Todd and Zod and they all bet the over 50 for 1K each they it will be 50 for customer 150.

    If customer 150 is Billy Waters and he bets 10K on the under there is a good chance the line fir customer 151 will be 49.

    It sounds counter intuitive but the SB line is the most anti public line there is.

     
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      Dan Druff:
      
      Tellafriend:

  18. #35578
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If anyone wants to bet yes on “the octopus” let me know and Ill do better than 14-1 for you. Ill even escrow with todd. Lmk

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      The Boz: Talk about a House Advantage. Fucking criminals.

  19. #35579
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Toronto had a nice 3rd quarter comeback, took a 5-point lead. They were 1 point ahead going into the final 2 minutes, then collapsed. I always lose betting on the Raptors.

    On the plus side, Texas Tech was getting obliterated in the first half, down 39-22. They came back and tied the game, sending it to OT, then squeaked ahead by 3 at the very end. 80-77 final and somehow I won that one. Would've been super pissed if I had the other side.

  20. #35580
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Closing in on 50,000 PFA posts for me.

    This is #49,992. I'm averaging about 12.5 posts per day, which is more than I would have guessed.

    Here are two picks:

    Chicago vs Clippers - Under 225.5

    West Virginia +2 at TCU

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