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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #33461
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays/Orioles over 7.5 +100 in the first game of a double header.

    Mitch White starting for the Jays. 3,3,3,5,6,7. Amount of runs given up in the past 6 games.

    Lineup isn't out yet Jays could be resting some bats but I still feel with the starting pitchers we could easily get 5-6 runs in the first 3 innings.

  2. #33462
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Jays/Orioles over 7.5 +100 in the first game of a double header.

    Mitch White starting for the Jays. 3,3,3,5,6,7. Amount of runs given up in the past 6 games.

    Lineup isn't out yet Jays could be resting some bats but I still feel with the starting pitchers we could easily get 5-6 runs in the first 3 innings.

    Richards may be starting line down to 7 now. I added more for over 7 and am stopping now.

  3. #33463
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Jays/Orioles over 7.5 +100 in the first game of a double header.

    Mitch White starting for the Jays. 3,3,3,5,6,7. Amount of runs given up in the past 6 games.

    Lineup isn't out yet Jays could be resting some bats but I still feel with the starting pitchers we could easily get 5-6 runs in the first 3 innings.

    Richards may be starting line down to 7 now. I added more for over 7 and am stopping now.
    Send in the clowns - I mean bullpens

    Nice hand sir.

  4. #33464
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Mitch White did not start, but he did not disappoint.

    4 innings, 7 hits, 5 ER

  5. #33465
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NL East champ Braves get a break after this bullpen game where they are dogs against this awful Miami sometimes starter.

    Atlanta +108 (J. Stephens) at Miami (E. Hernandez)

  6. #33466
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Single @
    +120
    Open
    Oct 5 2022
    Ticket ID: 50346
    Moneyline: SMU
    SMU @ UCF

    Single @
    -117
    Open
    Oct 5 2022
    Ticket ID: 5034654
    Point Spread: SMU +3.0
    SMU @ UCF

  7. #33467
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    NL East champ Braves get a break after this bullpen game where they are dogs against this awful Miami sometimes starter.

    Atlanta +108 (J. Stephens) at Miami (E. Hernandez)
    Atlanta kept teasing me. They go down 3-0, get ahead 4-3, then fall behind 5-4, then up 6-5, and then they shit the bed and never come back. But they still ended up with 9 runs, yet lost the game.

    Oh well. I was right that Hernandez was going to be crap, I just didn't expect the Atlanta bullpen was going to be so horrendous.


     
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      Sanlmar: Cigars, bong hits and beer were your enemy

  8. #33468
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Stupidity doesn’t wait til the last minute.

    Cleveland Guardians -116 nice price. Thought it would be -130 or more. Difference is a couple extra one topping pizzas if I win

    Bieber vs Tampa Bay McClanahan

    I think McClanahan might be hurt. Every pitcher has wear and tear at this point but something is off with Shane. His last few outings don’t inspire confidence either

    Gonna be a fun series. On paper two similar teams but I don’t really think they are that close.

    Thinking of taking Mariners adjusted series price after game #1 vs Jays. Honestly, I haven’t watched the Jays during their blackout period (banned). Manoah an animal so that should be a Jays win…. I’m trying real hard to give my Jays relationship another chance but I have trust issues.

    Cards big time over Phillies but no action yet.

    Mets are unbettable at that price.

  9. #33469
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Indy at Denver - Under 42

     
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      country978: druff on fire with nfl picks

  10. #33470
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Indy at Denver - Under 42
    Fell asleep in my chair. Missed nothing. Boring is a good thing.

    Any wildcard thoughts Druff?

  11. #33471
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Indy at Denver - Under 42
    Fell asleep in my chair. Missed nothing. Boring is a good thing.

    Any wildcard thoughts Druff?

    I hate the lack of home games for the lower seed wildcard teams. Super dumb.

    I have nothing for today. I think these might be hard to handicap because the format is new, and a 3-game series with the lower seed being on the road for all 3 games is unprecedented.

    Might just sit out this first round, and concentrate on keeping my inexplicable 18-2-1 NFL record in good shape.

  12. #33472
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Game 1 Jays moneyline.

  13. #33473
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Verm, where we at son?
    he tries to fly under the radar with his gay big words - Big Bird

  14. #33474
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Verm, where we at son?
    I'll post them later. Meanwhile I have Houston +3 and Over 57.5.

    Houston is down 19-29 halfway though the 4th, and they have missed twice on 2 point conversions, missed a 21 yard FG, and had another possession that was first and Goal from the 4 where they got stuffed on the goal line. It is amazing I am likely to go 0-2 in this game.

    It is definitely a thing that college coaches have fallen in love going for 2 (because it is theoretically +EV), but they neglect the part where they need to actually draw up a non shit play that has a chance of converting. Over and over and over I see these teams go for 2 when they dont really need to, and the play sucks (normally a fade where the QB throws it out of the end zone) that never has a chance from the snap.

  15. #33475
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Verm, where we at son?
    I'll post them later. Meanwhile I have Houston +3 and Over 57.5.

    Houston is down 19-29 halfway though the 4th, and they have missed twice on 2 point conversions, missed a 21 yard FG, and had another possession that was first and Goal from the 4 where they got stuffed on the goal line. It is amazing I am likely to go 0-2 in this game.

    It is definitely a thing that college coaches have fallen in love going for 2 (because it is theoretically +EV), but they neglect the part where they need to actually draw up a non shit play that has a chance of converting. Over and over and over I see these teams go for 2 when they dont really need to, and the play sucks (normally a fade where the QB throws it out of the end zone) that never has a chance from the snap.
    Houston scores 2 TDs in the last 2 minutes of the game. Easy Peasy.

    FWIW I also took UNLV +6.5, and that game is looking like a blow out the wrong way, but 2-1 better than the 0-3 night I was staring at 10 minutes ago.

     
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      BCR: We caught a miracle

  16. #33476
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I have you beat kalam.


    This is when youre running like God. Over 57.5 in Memphis-Houston game. Houston gets stopped on two separate drives with 1st and 10 inside 5. 0 points. Miss a FG from 6 yard line.

    After 3 quarters, Im sitting at 27 points. I need 31 4th quarter points to win. Miracles occur. 100 yard kickoff returns. With 1 minute left, they score TD, kick the xp, and Ive covered the miracle over 57.5 with 32-26 score.


    Single @
    -114
    Won
    Oct 7 2022
    Ticket ID: 504190
    Total Points: Over 57.5
    Houston @ Memphis






    HOU 0 7 0 26 33

    MEM 14 3 3 12 32

    But wait. I have an over 64.5 for +188. Onside kick. Houston recovers. Drives the field and scores with seconds left and kicks XP.

    33-32 final, 38 fourth quarter points, and I cover the over 64.5 also by .5 now.





    Single @
    +188
    Won
    Oct 7 2022
    Ticket ID: 504192
    Total Points: Over 64.5
    Houston @ Memphis

     
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      Sheesfaced: Wow
      
      Dan Druff:

  17. #33477
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I probably won't have a lot of picks for this Sunday, but take a gander at the Seahawks/Saints situation.

    The 1-3 Saints are almost 0-4 this year (they squeaked by the Falcons by 1 point in the season opener), and are one of the NFL's bigger disappointments thus far. QB Jameis Winston is almost certain to miss the game again this week, and while Andy Dalton did a decent job during last week's loss to Minnesota, I can easily see the Saints losing this one outright.

    I'm leaning toward a Seattle moneyline bet. They might not score 48 like last week, but I think they might take it.

  18. #33478
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Also looking at Browns moneyline. I've thought from the start of the season that the Chargers were overrated, and indeed their only 2 wins have come against the not-so-good Raiders and awful Texans. (To be fair, the Browns competition hasn't been particularly good thus far, either.)

    A lot of ploppies are going to fire on the Chargers here, because they are perceived to be the far superior team, and the line is only -2.5 for LA right now. Looks like a trap to me. Browns have looked better than expected overall, given that they were left for dead by many after Deshaun Watson's suspension.

  19. #33479
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    Single @
    -113
    Open
    Oct 7 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5041911
    Moneyline: CLE Guardians
    TB Rays @ CLE Guardians

    Up for breakfast at Progressive Field or whatever the fuck it’s called now.it will always be the Jake to me. Fucking woke corporatist overlords. The ultimate small market matchup was sure to end up with a noon start.

    Really happy I opted for the club seats over my normal behind the dugout seats. I figured it may be cold and it’s looking to be around 48 degrees at gametime. My proximity to a private bar where I can get another shot to warm up trumping my need to be close is a tier 1 over 50 old man symptom.

    Added more on Tribe and all my action for today. Have a good chunk on Cleveland and a lot on BYU. Really expect them to win that game.

    I laid off betting against the fake Jays because I once again won’t have the option to live react as I’ll go across street to watch Buckeyes and Robbie Ray’s recent form doesn’t make me comfortable to just bet straight up.


    Single @
    +135
    Open
    Oct 8 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 5043068374
    Moneyline: BYU
    BYU @ Notre Dame



    Single @
    -114
    Open
    Oct 8 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 504306
    Point Spread: BYU +4.0
    BYU @ Notre Dame


    Single @
    -109
    Open
    Oct 8 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 50430
    Point Spread: Ohio State -27.0
    Ohio State @ Michigan State



    Single @
    -112
    Open
    Oct 8 • 2022
    Ticket ID: 504307
    Moneyline: CLE Guardians
    TB Rays @ CLE Guardians

     
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      Sanlmar: Let’s do it again BCR

  20. #33480
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Enjoy the game. You've really done well on your Tribe bets at the end of the season.

    Decided I'm firing both NFL picks I talked about. Lines degraded a little since I posted. Should've just bet them then. Oh well.

    Cleveland +110 vs Chargers (+2 ok)
    Seattle +190 vs New Orleans (+5 ok)

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