Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #21201
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Your -185 NO
    I have been auto betting playoff 1st inning YES. That has run pure. Nobody else seemed to latch onto it.

    I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me

    this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness

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  2. #21202
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Your -185 NO
    I have been auto betting playoff 1st inning YES. That has run pure. Nobody else seemed to latch onto it.

    I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me

    this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness

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    My nationals series bet could help.

  3. #21203
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post


    I don’t shit talk you much Simp but you defied me

    this “1st inning YES” has been an insane streak of purity and goodness

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    My nationals series bet could help.
    Sweet

    I bet a Soto future to win the HR title. Pretty good odds. No regrets. Great bet.

    Kid is other-worldly & clutch .... on the big stage

    Kid won the NL title but couldn’t buy a drink that night.

    Great game. Corbin losing would be front page

    I am naked and afraid. No hedge...., yet


    Whole series hinges on inning 6 on here. If Scherzer comes back out and survives you can have my money. HOF

  4. #21204
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    My nationals series bet could help.
    Sweet

    I bet a Soto future to win the HR title. Pretty good odds. No regrets. Great bet.

    Kid is other-worldly & clutch .... on the big stage

    Kid won the NL title but couldn’t buy a drink that night.

    Great game. Corbin losing would be front page

    I am naked and afraid. No hedge...., yet


    Whole series hinges on inning 6 on here. If Scherzer comes back out and survives you can have my money. HOF
    Scherzer done. 112 in 5 huge pitch count

    Still lots of time for Astros. Cole should be able to pitch 7 or 8.

  5. #21205
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Sweet

    I bet a Soto future to win the HR title. Pretty good odds. No regrets. Great bet.

    Kid is other-worldly & clutch .... on the big stage

    Kid won the NL title but couldn’t buy a drink that night.

    Great game. Corbin losing would be front page

    I am naked and afraid. No hedge...., yet


    Whole series hinges on inning 6 on here. If Scherzer comes back out and survives you can have my money. HOF
    Scherzer done. 112 in 5 huge pitch count

    Still lots of time for Astros. Cole should be able to pitch 7 or 8.
    It has been 1000 pitches since Cole was last pitching from behind.

    Great trivia

  6. #21206
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    At the risk of repeating 2018-19's mistake, here's an NBA under...

    Lakers/Clippers - Under 224 -106
    Okay

    1-0 start.

    So far, so good.

  7. #21207
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Josh Gordon done for the year. Makes sense why they went out to get Sanu

    Still favorites for Superbowl....but would be nice to have 2 big threats.

  8. #21208
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Guys, you have to tail these picks. My picks have a 100% success record in the 2019-20 NBA season.

    Absolute truth.

    Boston at Philadelphia - Over 215
    Denver at Portland - Under 217.5

    Boston starting soon

  9. #21209
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    D Smith Jr Under 12.5 points but has to be at a “must play” book, not “must start”

  10. #21210
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Looks like I'm going to take my first loss of the NBA season on the Boston over. Celtics can't score. 5 points through the first 5:30 of the 3rd ain't gonna cut it.

    I really like the Portland under through, so maybe I'll at least get a split tonight.

  11. #21211
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    D Smith Jr Under 12.5 points but has to be at a “must play” book, not “must start”


    2 points

  12. #21212
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    just how big is that Nantucket house that you're buying off these 1st inning YES bets, san?

  13. #21213
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    just how big is that Nantucket house that you're buying off these 1st inning YES bets, san?
    It’s the most amazing thing. Have you seen anyone talking about this streak in the press or twitter? Somebody must have picked up on it.


    On the other hand, I have 3 units of Astros futures that return 8. In other words I have Astros at an average +265

    I never hedged. I never hedged during a Series where Mattress Mack gifted everyone with stupid National odds - I said no thanks.

    Mattress Mack got down around $8m on the Astros across the country I heard. That has treated guys like Simp with the gift of skewed Nats odds. The books were begging for Nats action to balance. Simp took it.

    I got the first inning and the game total over live tonight but almost nothing will erase my feeling of being fucking stupid.

    I am so annoyed

  14. #21214
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    so in summary:

    san is going to have to settle for gold toilets in his mansion instead of platinum...


  15. #21215
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    When everyone and their brother is calling a World Series in 4-5 games ....take the other side

    Washington has 2 amazing pitchers who can match the Astros (if not 3).

    That being said after tonight I may need to hedge some. I am reckless moreso than Knish (Sanlmar) but it
    may be time to take the money and run.

  16. #21216
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Gonna respond to you publicly GBCP. Druff’s server might have a dead man’s timeout so it’s a public service.

    No I don’t have 2P’s. My observation is that I can instantly do better after the puck drops live vs preflop on 1P & 2P’s anyway.

    However, that is work. I recognize I am procrastinating about NHL. My therapist believes I am subconsciously avoiding the stress I was experiencing especially toward the end of last season.

    I am a hybrid Kelly Criterion disciple. (There’s an app for that). Amongst the rules you bet a percentage of your bankroll. I have separate (ledger) bankrolls for each sport. So hockey bet sizing got larger and larger as we won more and more. I started to really get freaked.

    Then I had Bruins and Blues futures and they met in the Stanley Cup. The only futures I bet. I was sharing with Simp the choices all along. Exhausting.

    I watch most games on ESPN+. I have not renewed the subscription. It’s 2pm on a dead sports night and I am still procrastinating about handicapping NHL

    I am also verklempt about this Nationals thing. It’s not the outcome. It’s not that the Nats are winning. It’s the fact that I missed one of the historically fucked up lines in wagering history. The Mattress Mack thing obv.

    For ex: Strasburg was no fucking way +170 to Verlander. But there it was. The futures liability demanded it. Handicapping had nothing to do with it.

    I am a damaged human.

  17. #21217
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    aight we're gonna try this again boys...seemingly good prices here...all 1Ps...

    SJ/MON O -141
    LAK/STL O -121
    ANA/DAL U -152
    FLA/CGY U -108


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    and since im a glutton for punishment, im going for one 2P because the juice isn't too bad...

    MIN/NSH O -175

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    Last edited by GambleBotsChafedPenis; 10-24-2019 at 12:23 PM.

  18. #21218
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    FWIW

    NBA - 529 MILWAUKEE BUCKS -103 FOR GAME W

    NBA - 531 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS PK -112 FOR GAME

    NBA - 532 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS/GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS UNDER 227 -105 FOR GAME

    NCAA - 103 SMU -13½ -108 FOR GAME

    NHL - 2 BUFFALO SABRES/NEW YORK RANGERS UNDER 1½ +128 FOR 1ST PERIOD L
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-24-2019 at 06:29 PM.

  19. #21219
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Detroit vs. Atlanta - Under 222

    Was considering opposing San and going with Clippers over, but the line has been bet up to 227.5, and I'm still feeling out the Clippers' defense, so I will skip this one.

  20. #21220
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So I found myself limited to $50 on the Atl/Det under 222 bet on Bovada.



    Either something funny was going on with that game, or I've been limited in NBA spread/totals betting, which would be insane.

    It is true that I've run well on Bovada with my NBA bets and run very poorly on 5Dimes, with Betonline being kind of a middle ground. So on 5Dimes I look like a huge sportsbetting fish (RIP Tony), and Bovada I probably look way better than I am.

    I'm 2-1 in this young season, and none of those bets were on Bovada. Maybe they banned me in the offseason?

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