Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29301
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    AZ / +187
    CWS / Pick em

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    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Picked up

    Carolina -1.5 series bet. -120
    Leafs -1.5 -140 series bet

  3. #29303
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Here, I’ll start. Speak now Padre or forever hold your peace.

    I haven’t been setting the world on fire. Too many dogs.

    If the White Sox against lefties thing doesn’t work I’m not sure what I can count on any more.

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    Lets get the cheddar this week fellas.

    So far so good for Larussa. I didn't like the move at first. That deep lineup DesertRunner can manage them over .500 Lets Gooo ChiSoxName:  Screen Shot 2021-05-17 at 3.37.47 PM.png
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      Sanlmar: ChiSox baby

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    Gonna add a few hockey plays and you guys decide those for me

  6. #29306
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by shoeshine box View Post
    AZ / +187
    CWS / Pick em
    I imagine you had a smile on your face all day


    Padre has me wondering about Reds. The Dodgers over seems smart given pitching but offense, I dunno
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-17-2021 at 04:36 PM.

  7. #29307
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by shoeshine box View Post
    AZ / +187
    CWS / Pick em
    I imagine your had a smile on your face all day


    Padre has me wondering about Reds. The Dodgers over seems smart given pitching but offense, I dunno


    Gray has been good so far this year and I have watched a few of his starts and liked his stuff. He didn't have it today, the good news is in that park the Reds are still in it. Mets ready to take a lead and great start for the Sox San. Nice to get 3 of the 4.5 out of the way in the 1st.

  8. #29308
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by padre33 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I imagine your had a smile on your face all day


    Padre has me wondering about Reds. The Dodgers over seems smart given pitching but offense, I dunno


    Gray has been good so far this year and I have watched a few of his starts and liked his stuff. He didn't have it today, the good news is in that park the Reds are still in it. Mets ready to take a lead and great start for the Sox San. Nice to get 3 of the 4.5 out of the way in the 1st.
    The Atlanta bullpen is garbage. Let the games begin. If only the Mets could hit. It’ll be tight.

    ChiSox making me happy.

    Explain the offsetting Dodgers total to me.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-17-2021 at 04:41 PM.

  9. #29309
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by padre33 View Post



    Gray has been good so far this year and I have watched a few of his starts and liked his stuff. He didn't have it today, the good news is in that park the Reds are still in it. Mets ready to take a lead and great start for the Sox San. Nice to get 3 of the 4.5 out of the way in the 1st.
    The Atlanta bullpen is garbage. Let the games begin. If only the Mets could hit. It’ll be tight.

    ChiSox making me happy.

    Explain the offsetting Dodgers total to me.
    Mistake.. Wanted the over and put in under at first.

  10. #29310
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    I have been betting a lot of Yankees unders this year and liked it today as well. Glad I stayed away Cole finally getting hit hard.

  11. #29311
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So majors are always tough. Fields are always best in class and you know everyone is bringing the A game.

    You got two factors. This course is going to play long, 7600 yards. It’s also going to be on the ocean, so need to back someone who can play in the wind. I have no faith in anyone at the “top top” of the card at the prices offered. The only guy who I fancy is X at 22-1.

    The best value plays Are Fleetwood and Niemann at ~75-1. Both hit long. Both have great Irons. Both play in the wind very well.

    Grace and SW Kim at between 150 and 100-1 is stealing. Grace just won in PR 2 months ago on a similar course.

    So to double down here - if I had to pick one give me Niemann. +7600 at “Buckeye” is a real value.

    He went back to back second place in Hawaii. 8th place at Innisbrook a few weeks back.

    Get him in a windy location by the water and it fits his game perfectly. And this course is longer and Pete Dye.

    I don’t make him 8-1 or anything but 76-1 is way too long.

  12. #29312
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by padre33 View Post



    Gray has been good so far this year and I have watched a few of his starts and liked his stuff. He didn't have it today, the good news is in that park the Reds are still in it. Mets ready to take a lead and great start for the Sox San. Nice to get 3 of the 4.5 out of the way in the 1st.
    The Atlanta bullpen is garbage. Let the games begin. If only the Mets could hit. It’ll be tight.

    ChiSox making me happy.

    Explain the offsetting Dodgers total to me.
    The time is now Metropolitans! Made it thru three scoreless from the middle relief mustache dude. They hit Fried in the 6th and he has a long at bat. Bottom of the order lets get a couple here.

  13. #29313
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    Avalanche first period Cashed (Thank you Sanlmar)

    Carolina-175 cashed

    I'm entertained

    Avalanche under 5.5 to start playoffs 4-0

    Puck is God

  14. #29314
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Penguins bounce back -140
    Tampa goes up 2-0 -110

     
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      jsearles22: Killing it

  15. #29315
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So majors are always tough. Fields are always best in class and you know everyone is bringing the A game.

    You got two factors. This course is going to play long, 7600 yards. It’s also going to be on the ocean, so need to back someone who can play in the wind. I have no faith in anyone at the “top top” of the card at the prices offered. The only guy who I fancy is X at 22-1.

    The best value plays Are Fleetwood and Niemann at ~75-1. Both hit long. Both have great Irons. Both play in the wind very well.

    Grace and SW Kim at between 150 and 100-1 is stealing. Grace just won in PR 2 months ago on a similar course.

    So to double down here - if I had to pick one give me Niemann. +7600 at “Buckeye” is a real value.

    He went back to back second place in Hawaii. 8th place at Innisbrook a few weeks back.

    Get him in a windy location by the water and it fits his game perfectly. And this course is longer and Pete Dye.

    I don’t make him 8-1 or anything but 76-1 is way too long.
    I typically shy away from favorites because there’s no value. However I put a multi-unit bet on Rory to finish 20th or better -110. Seems like stealing. He won by 8 last time at Kiawah. He won his last tournament. He’s long. He plays in the wind etc. He either misses the cut or finishes top 20 without a doubt imo. Easy bet

    I was also going to tail Niemann but I can only get +4900 and Fleetwood is +4100. I did splash Max Homa at +10,000 and Sam Burns at +6000

     
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      Daly: Cant really build a case against Rory for top 20 here. GLGL
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  16. #29316
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    No lefty for ChiSox so we will have to just grind. No dog lottery tickets either.

    Red Sox v Jays is a huge matchup. I continually deny any interest in weather plays but I’m a weather denier, I guess. I’m a flawed human.

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      jsearles22: 2-8 rep

  17. #29317
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    PGA - No real good read. I have a decent amount on DJ at +1800 a few weeks ago when it was an exploitable line. Now he is anywhere from 1600-1800 so I am stuck with him. I am going to tail Daly on a few middle/long shots. I’ll post what I end up spreading.

    LPGA - I was hoping Nelly would be favored but it seems like the books like SY Kim here as much as I do. Neither Ko and no Inbee in the field. Obviously the big fade is the Korda sisters, especially Nelly. SY Kim does very well on Par 5s for a shorter hitter. Think she’s going to be hungry to get back in the winner circle. Ploppy but I’m pounding her for $1500 at +600. Not worried about Brooke Henderson at all. She had a good weekend in her win, but way over valued at +650.

  18. #29318
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    That's some ticket there, San. Good luck.

    I just have two plays, both MLB

    Cleveland (Plesac) +102 at Angels (Heaney)
    Texas (Foltynecwiczczcziecz) +135 vs. Yankees (Taillon)

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    I get leads of 3-0 and 5-0 on my two picks.

    The 3-0 lost by 3 runs.

    The 5-0 is up by 1.

    I've lost so many 3-0 lead games in MLB this year, it's pretty sick. I really need to start betting First 5... though that wouldn't have won for Texas, either.

  20. #29320
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Obv....

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