Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31581
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Honestly forgot I even made this bet. Basically an auto-bet because of all the money burnt on him. So much for a nice night’s rest. He’s probably going to lose, but these are the spots you need to let play out and chips fall where they may. Here’s comes the pain I’m sure. Power of negative thinking.

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  2. #31582
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Just when I was feeling good at fading her at a shitty price. Is this even real? JFC

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  3. #31583
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    San we will gladly take some ideas.

    Leafs Pens and Philly Boston only games I see with both goalies confirmed.

    Arizona Wedgewood. Coyotes awful but Detroit isn’t much better and Wedgewood gets Ws. Stay away? Or take Coyotes at home?

    Montreal young kid. Like Nashville
    Order of preference, I guess


    Regulation Edmonton Oilers -135 W

    Boston Bruins/Philadelphia Flyers over 5½ -116 (awful Bruins goalie Ullmark) W
    Philadelphia Flyers +127 (Bruins fade) L

    Regulation Toronto Maple Leafs -110 L
    Toronto Maple Leafs -1½ +150 L

    Regulation Tampa Bay Lightning -135 L

    I have a lot of regulation … wasn’t intentional.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-21-2021 at 09:58 AM.

  4. #31584
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    San we will gladly take some ideas.

    Leafs Pens and Philly Boston only games I see with both goalies confirmed.

    Arizona Wedgewood. Coyotes awful but Detroit isn’t much better and Wedgewood gets Ws. Stay away? Or take Coyotes at home?

    Montreal young kid. Like Nashville
    Order of preference, I guess


    Regulation Edmonton Oilers -135

    Boston Bruins/Philadelphia Flyers over 5½ -116 (awful Bruins goalie Ullmark)
    Philadelphia Flyers +127 (Bruins fade)

    Regulation Toronto Maple Leafs -110
    Toronto Maple Leafs -1½ +150

    Regulation Tampa Bay Lightning -135

    I have a lot of regulation … wasn’t intentional.
    Following your picks + let's make it official

    Nashville -130
    Arizona +125

  5. #31585
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Every ploppy pointing out the Islanders first game in their new rink after the long road trip. How is fading this not value?

    I forgot about this game. Idiot.

    Calgary Markstrom in net? Islanders playing goalie games?

    His is an autobet on Calgary. I coulda had plus money too. Oh well.

    Gotta do what I gotta do. If I didn’t bet it I’d hate myself.

    Calgary Flames -121 for Game W

    I’m adding games like I’m ordering fast food ……lol
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-21-2021 at 09:59 AM.

  6. #31586
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    In order of preference

    Washington Capitals -113

    Islanders +106

    Capitals/Seattle Kraken over 5½ -117

    Your parlay piece
    Angeles Kings -240 for game not regulation

  7. #31587
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So here is my hybrid college football play of the year I’ve been teasing

    Unfortunately I was picked clean of value in most Vegas spots. Stopped by the Wynn this morning and saw it posted at 35-1. Went the counter to fire and it was down to 10-1. Willy hill is 16-1. The good news is there are a bunch of PPH that are hanging between 25-40 to one.

    The bet is CJ Stroud, Presumptive Ohio St QB, to win the Hiesman trophy @ any price +2000 or better. I don’t hate it at +1600.

    So the theory is real short and sweet. There are four teams who are going to be favorites to make the playoff every year. Bama, clemson, OU and The Ohio State. Sure there are some others in any given year like Georgia or Penn St bit more or less it’s these four unless you have a party crasher. The Ohio State has the two best WR in college football this year. If either one of them transferred they would be Wr1 on the new team. Both will be first round WR. They are going to throw the fuck out of it and be god damned good at it.

    This is a bet that they go 12-0 (good shot) and make the playoffs (good shot) And this top Recruit performs up to his anticipated level.

    Bet should be +800-+1000

    Glgl

    Please please please tell me some of you got down on this.


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  8. #31588
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Glad to see things are moving right along in here and that most of you (other than Todd’s NBA start) are doing well.

    Jeff - nice job with KO. She’s a fucking beast. Glad to see your bankroll in the black. When I have time I’ve been sending in matchup plays. In short it’s find a player that’s 2x likely to win the tournament and bet them if they are listed -130 or better. Not rocket science but it works.

  9. #31589
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So here is my hybrid college football play of the year I’ve been teasing

    Unfortunately I was picked clean of value in most Vegas spots. Stopped by the Wynn this morning and saw it posted at 35-1. Went the counter to fire and it was down to 10-1. Willy hill is 16-1. The good news is there are a bunch of PPH that are hanging between 25-40 to one.

    The bet is CJ Stroud, Presumptive Ohio St QB, to win the Hiesman trophy @ any price +2000 or better. I don’t hate it at +1600.

    So the theory is real short and sweet. There are four teams who are going to be favorites to make the playoff every year. Bama, clemson, OU and The Ohio State. Sure there are some others in any given year like Georgia or Penn St bit more or less it’s these four unless you have a party crasher. The Ohio State has the two best WR in college football this year. If either one of them transferred they would be Wr1 on the new team. Both will be first round WR. They are going to throw the fuck out of it and be god damned good at it.

    This is a bet that they go 12-0 (good shot) and make the playoffs (good shot) And this top Recruit performs up to his anticipated level.

    Bet should be +800-+1000

    Glgl

    Please please please tell me some of you got down on this.


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    Welcome back

    And to answer your question, Nope. Didn’t get any. Great call. If they lose to Michigan and Alabama thrashes auburn do you think Young gets it?

  10. #31590
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Thanks / very much a short term return. I just shut down for thanksgiving and Monday I go back to 12-14 hour days.

    Best way to put it is the only way Young wins, assuming OSU goes 2-0, is if they beat Georgia and he looks very good while doing so. That is absolutely mandatory.

    Stroud isn’t a lock to win it. But I do think it’s a lock that Stroud or Young will.

  11. #31591
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    Love this UCLA Basketball team. Getting +7 v. Gonzaga at T-Mobile in Vegas tonight.

    Hopefully I did not just curse them

  12. #31592
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So here is my hybrid college football play of the year I’ve been teasing

    Unfortunately I was picked clean of value in most Vegas spots. Stopped by the Wynn this morning and saw it posted at 35-1. Went the counter to fire and it was down to 10-1. Willy hill is 16-1. The good news is there are a bunch of PPH that are hanging between 25-40 to one.

    The bet is CJ Stroud, Presumptive Ohio St QB, to win the Hiesman trophy @ any price +2000 or better. I don’t hate it at +1600.

    So the theory is real short and sweet. There are four teams who are going to be favorites to make the playoff every year. Bama, clemson, OU and The Ohio State. Sure there are some others in any given year like Georgia or Penn St bit more or less it’s these four unless you have a party crasher. The Ohio State has the two best WR in college football this year. If either one of them transferred they would be Wr1 on the new team. Both will be first round WR. They are going to throw the fuck out of it and be god damned good at it.

    This is a bet that they go 12-0 (good shot) and make the playoffs (good shot) And this top Recruit performs up to his anticipated level.

    Bet should be +800-+1000

    Glgl

    Please please please tell me some of you got down on this.


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    Nice pick. Don’t even recall seeing the post, but I rarely bet futures anyway. The funny part is it’s the third receiver that has really made this a fantastic pick. With all the attention on the other two, Smith-Nijigba went crazy.

    Am I crazy or was Rattler the pre-season fave? From Heisman fave to probably in transfer portal to Az State or Az.

    Nice to see you back.

  13. #31593
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Rattler
    Young
    DJ
    Daniels
    Bijan/Stroud/Slovis/corral
    All others

    Rattler was the top pick but by a short range of value, was marginally better than Bama/Geo/clemson QB all in the 8-1 category. Then there was a gap to the “also rans” who were all between 15 and 35 -1. Then there was everyone else.

     
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      BCR: Glad my short term memory isn’t gone. Understandable I guess with Riley’s success with QBs. Just not that one.

  14. #31594
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    Knicks -7.

    I think/hope lakers decide to punt this game, rest AD, and regroup for Indy tomorrow at full strength.
    And of course they could play everyone, try to win, and still not cover because they suck.

  15. #31595
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    ncaff. 11/23/2021

    n ill +150/+4

  16. #31596
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Please please please tell me some of you got down on this.
    I’m prolly the only one

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    Don’t forget our Mac Jones ROY

  17. #31597
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Please please please tell me some of you got down on this.
    I’m prolly the only one

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    Don’t forget our Mac Jones ROY

    Good stuff San.

    That OROY race is going to be interesting. Numbers wise I think Chase is the winner at the moment.

    Thing is if/when in a few weeks the NEP are the AFC 1 seed in the playoffs it’s not going to matter how many yards and TD Chase has. You come out as a rookie and lead your team to the playoffs, let alone a high seed, you are going to take down the award…… or at least that’s the narrative we will tell ourselves.

    Either way we got two bets in at semi long odds that are both close to even money. Hopefully we run good and get em both.

    I also mentioned Borrow most INT at one point. That ones looking OK too.

    What’s not looking good is Chase Young DMVP. Jesus was I wrong about that.

  18. #31598
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Knicks -7.

    I think/hope lakers decide to punt this game, rest AD, and regroup for Indy tomorrow at full strength.
    And of course they could play everyone, try to win, and still not cover because they suck.
    LUL. Knicks were up 6 dribbling out the clock and the Lakers commit about 6 intentional fouls but the refs said nah, we wanna go home, and didn't call any of them.

    I actually took the Lakers live when the Knicks were up 20, so broke even, but would have been nice to hit that middle. What really sucks is that when it was announced Davis was playing line went to 4.5, so Knicks actually covered the closing number, just not the shitty number I took.

     
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      Pablo: I want a refund

  19. #31599
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Its NHL Thanksgiving today, Simp. After many days of passable cards we finally eat. It’s a feast.

    In order of love
    Florida
    Boston
    Wash

    PL/Regulation/ML & parlays of all the aforementioned. I’m wearing a bib for this one.

    Lest you lurkers cast judgement on the ploppies betting the big favorites ….. don’t make me recite (again) the math on NHL favorites greater than -200 this year. More than covered son.

    Go back to the NBA. Except LOL Lakers…. damn money truck.

  20. #31600
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I could not imagine sticking my dick in the NFL tomorrow. Holy shit. Can you even dare tease that nonsense? With what?

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