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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #31161

  2. #31162
    Caesars Sportsbook offering: Bet $100 on Dodgers or Giants ML at -105, and get $100 free bet if (win or lose) the team you bet scores 5 or more runs. Both pitching staffs will be bringing it tonight, but Question for the MLB bettors here, is there value here? If so, which side?

  3. #31163
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Caesars Sportsbook offering: Bet $100 on Dodgers or Giants ML at -105, and get $100 free bet if (win or lose) the team you bet scores 5 or more runs. Both pitching staffs will be bringing it tonight, but Question for the MLB bettors here, is there value here? If so, which side?

    Yea for sure. Dodgers are around +180 over 4.5 and Giants +200 over 4.5. So both not super likely to occur, but worth putting $100 on the Dodgers IMO. Free bets are basically worth half their value. If it is not restricted, use it on something like a good size dog, outright or parlay imho. Anything where the stake is not as likely coming back to you. Hate using them on straight wagers and essentially try to turn a $100 Free bet into $91. Use it on your biggest long shot play of the day or week before it expires.

     
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      Sandwich: Good call. Thx!

  4. #31164
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Luckily have largely dodged the bullet with Rahm. Overwhelming favorite the last three stroke play tournaments. +400, +200 and this week +300. This will probably be his second missed cut of those 3 with a bed shit thrown in last week. Something is up with him either mentally/physically or both.

    This course didn’t play easy today but you wouldn’t expect an opening round this bad EVER from him. Ridiculous amount of public moneys been burnt starting with the Tour Championship lately. If he was going to play this bad he probably should of just withdrawn. I’d be pretty pissed if I shipped it and this was the showing I got.

    Anyone who faded him in matchups…well done.

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  5. #31165
    Gold Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Luckily have largely dodged the bullet with Rahm. Overwhelming favorite the last three stroke play tournaments. +400, +200 and this week +300. This will probably be his second missed cut of those 3 with a bed shit thrown in last week. Something is up with him either mentally/physically or both.

    This course didn’t play easy today but you wouldn’t expect an opening round this bad EVER from him. Ridiculous amount of public moneys been burnt starting with the Tour Championship lately. If he was going to play this bad he probably should of just withdrawn. I’d be pretty pissed if I shipped it and this was the showing I got.

    Anyone who faded him in matchups…well done.

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    This is the “silly season” in golf. The big names generally only show up to collect appearance fees. If they get into contention on Sunday, they’ll make a run at it, otherwise they’re just going through the motions.

  6. #31166
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    This is the “silly season” in golf. The big names generally only show up to collect appearance fees. They’re not even trying.
    Def the case in many instances. However, the European Tour now has their version of the FedEx Cup which is called the Race to Dubai (5 Million). Rahm won it two years ago. So he is supposed to be playing these events to leap up in those standings. Similar to the LPGA now who still have the race to the CME championship, which has by far the biggest first prize all year of 1.5 Million.

    But for sure, Rahm isn’t kicking himself for playing like shit. But he did have some incentive to play well.

  7. #31167
    Leafs -182 money line ---lol Canadian book trying to scam people. -170 or better is the line to take.
    Tampa -1.5 +100 (let's try this again)
    Islanders +108

    Bonus points feel free to take
    Marner over 2.5 shots
    Tavares over 2.5 shots

    Both should be -170 to 190 range. Both had 4 shots last game.

     
    Comments
      
      4BET: Awful kid, Go back to school. Try next year
      
      JeffDime: Needs to be offset 4Bet. Simp has always been solid in Hockey. Bad days happen to everyone.
      
      Sanlmar: Winningest poster in the wagering thread gets a tomato . Lol

  8. #31168
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Oct 11-Oct 17(Week 11)

    Current

    PGA Tour CJ Cup - Dustin Johnson $1000 at 15-1

    New

    Champions Tour SAS - A Cejka $1000 at 14-1

    Start $50,000 Remaining $68,700 Current Week $0 Last Week +$12,500

    Total Win/Loss +$20,700

    ————

    Cejka been the Lydia Ko for me but on the Seniors Tour. Been in contention every time. Came second last time. He is essentially 14-1 every tournament. This will depend on Green in Reg. If he’s scrambling it’s not going to happen. But he’s been right there. I would like a little more value but the price seems to be locked in wherever it is offered.

  9. #31169
    Philly +7

    Philly team total over 22.5

    Philly ML @ +255

  10. #31170
    Quote Originally Posted by Sam Snead View Post
    Philly +7

    Philly team total over 22.5

    Philly ML @ +255
    They pulled MLB off the board at my book so I threw your stuff in with mine.

    I like Navy tonight. Have Navy +11 straight up and parlayed with over, Navy +11 and ML parlayed with Philly +7 and Philly ML. We could cash some Jeff Dime style tickets with a few upsets.

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: Rep it

  11. #31171
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Leafs -182 money line ---lol Canadian book trying to scam people. -170 or better is the line to take.
    Tampa -1.5 +100 (let's try this again)
    Islanders +108

    Bonus points feel free to take
    Marner over 2.5 shots
    Tavares over 2.5 shots

    Both should be -170 to 190 range. Both had 4 shots last game.
    4bet thanks for the rep.

    Marner and Tavares both cashed 2-0 so far.

     
    Comments
      
      JeffDime: Simo not deterred rep!

  12. #31172
    Red Sox to win the AL.

  13. #31173
    Slim pickins this weekend @ UFC Fight Night 195. Thin value, but value nonetheless....

    Carnelossi -155, 1u
    Batgerel -155, 1u
    Sanchez +135, 1u
    Felipe +100, 1u
    Dumont by decision +275, 1u

  14. #31174
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Cejka just fucking makes me steam. Even when he doesn’t butcher a par 5 he three putts.

    DJ also 5 under in the first nine but totally shit bed and played himself way out of the tournament yesterday. Cejka is the only hope this week.

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    Last edited by JeffDime; 10-15-2021 at 10:50 AM.

  15. #31175
    I know your in love with the Ducks now Simp.

    Ducks goalie Gibson is out. Everyone likes what they see from the Ducks kids. Wild are Wild so that too.

    It’s also plus money.

    Minnesota Wild/Anaheim Ducks over 1˝ +102 for 1st Period

    Sad to see winningest poster in the wagering thread history being discouraged from posting during the waning days of PFA.

    Todgers. I know what you’re thinking Simp. Just want to point out my Webb strikeout over prop hit and the under as well as nearly every detail of my entire handicap. They want to cancel my Giants bets b/c of pitcher change? I say, thank you.

    Just a delight to see Cleveland’s RB’s Chubb and Hunt are hurt. That was the Browns Cards weather game angle. I am bent over. The NFL is the now the NBA

    Gonna give you a rare & private tour inside the mind of a degenerate.

    Bought this Monday and was looking sharp
    Cleveland Browns -2˝ -120

    Yesterday’s teaser
    Syracuse +19˝
    Cleveland Browns +2˝

    Then this teaser today
    Syracuse +19˝
    Arizona Cardinals +9˝

    Oh, there’s more.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-15-2021 at 11:32 AM.

  16. #31176
    Alright, I feel better unburdening my sins here.

    How about some NBA foolishness that GA showed us last session. If you are still thinking of betting NBA you would still likely do it even if someone threatened to tazer you in the balls. Get help.




    This is more wholesome

    901 Boston Red Sox/Houston Astros over 8 -120 for Game

    You can’t get it cause I was handicapping last night when you were having sex. Dodgers Series win responsible for erectile dysfunction.

  17. #31177
    Yeah, I’m back.

    I was concerned you might think I was hurt financially on the Giants Dodgers series. It was coin flip but the dumb Dodger money was thinking blowout.

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    Get outta here with that greatest team ever bullshit.

    Braves have home field. Oh, boy

     
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      JeffDime: Welcome back San. Nice bet.

  18. #31178
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    That Giants +1.5 games -160 was a great bet. Can't believe you got that line. Giants had 3 out of 5 at home!

    Braves being at home for 4/7 is a joke. Dodgers finished 18 games (!!) ahead of the Braves in the standings.

  19. #31179
    Gold JeffDime's Avatar
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    Bets for Oct 11-Oct 17(Week 11)

    Current

    PGA Tour CJ Cup - Dustin Johnson $1000 at 15-1

    Champions Tour SAS - A Cejka $1000 at 14-1

    Start $50,000 Remaining $68,700 Current Week $0 Last Week +$12,500

    Total Win/Loss +$20,700

    ————

    We are live. Let’s not shit the bed now. 27 holes. LFG!

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  20. #31180
    Dark times:

    Had a brutal Saturday and made a giant bet on Nevada -14 just to get half of it back. Halfway through the 4th Q Nevada is up 5-0 in turnover margin and is only up 17. And the backdoor is WIDE open. Seriously, how can you be up 5-0 in turnover margin, and barely be covering a football game. Talk about not showing up to play, and kickboxing into a win anyways.

    This is absolutely brutal, because they stopped trying to score a long time ago, so it is just a matter of whether the Hawaii QB can put in one drive without throwing an INT.

    Edit: Nevada just had a WR who was tackled while the ball was in the air and the refs didn't even bother to call the most obvious pass interference of all time. Refs want Hawaii to backdoor cover. This is so brutal.
    Last edited by Kalam; Yesterday at 09:51 PM.

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