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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19781
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Decided to do something I usually don't: A parlay on the KC game.

    This is because the most likely scenario of KC winning is both pitchers pitching fairly well, but KC being a little bit better.

    I am risking losing out on the under payout if Lopez gets bombed, Minor is dominant, and the score finishes something like 8-0.

    However, this is the type of spot to parlay, as they are somewhat related.

    It's not the same as a correlated parlay, a blatant advantage play which most books will ban you for doing. An example of a correlated parlay is parlaying the 1st half under and the full game under (of the same game) in the NBA. A correlated parlay is one where winning the first bet will greatly increase the chance of winning the second.


    If you are a book and you are allowing parlays with first half o/u and same game o/u you never were a real bookie to begin with. That is a very bad example of what a correlated parlay is Druff. Thats just a bad bookie who would allow that. Your bet in noway is close to being correlated.
    I didn't say mine was close to being correlated!

    I was explaining that mine is NOT correlated.

    The first half and game o/u is the most basic example of a correlated parlay. You're correct that few bookies even allow this, but there were cases of some stupid online books allowing it in the past, and then shutting people's accounts down before they could cash out.

  2. #19782
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    heres what I got for Bethpage:

    x man to win +2850
    x man top 10 +334
    Molinari top 10 +334
    dechamber top 10 +378
    day top 10 +260

    I have a feeling after killing the masters that im gonna eat shit on these...

  3. #19783
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Decided to do something I usually don't: A parlay on the KC game.

    This is because the most likely scenario of KC winning is both pitchers pitching fairly well, but KC being a little bit better.

    I am risking losing out on the under payout if Lopez gets bombed, Minor is dominant, and the score finishes something like 8-0.

    However, this is the type of spot to parlay, as they are somewhat related.

    It's not the same as a correlated parlay, a blatant advantage play which most books will ban you for doing. An example of a correlated parlay is parlaying the 1st half under and the full game under (of the same game) in the NBA. A correlated parlay is one where winning the first bet will greatly increase the chance of winning the second.
    Sorry I’m late. Jorge Lopez is dog shit. You should have text me Druff. Not to mention the KC offense is actually pretty good.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  4. #19784
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Raptors must win this game or they have 0 chance in this series. Milw is ripe for the taking 2 mins left

    If not its over Canada

  5. #19785
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Raptors choked this game away and any chance at the Finals.

    Maybe someone should tell Kawhi Leonard to get in shape you need to play more then every other game in the reg season.

    Guy looked more out of shape then me in the 4th qter. and that aint easy

  6. #19786
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Decided to do something I usually don't: A parlay on the KC game.

    This is because the most likely scenario of KC winning is both pitchers pitching fairly well, but KC being a little bit better.

    I am risking losing out on the under payout if Lopez gets bombed, Minor is dominant, and the score finishes something like 8-0.

    However, this is the type of spot to parlay, as they are somewhat related.

    It's not the same as a correlated parlay, a blatant advantage play which most books will ban you for doing. An example of a correlated parlay is parlaying the 1st half under and the full game under (of the same game) in the NBA. A correlated parlay is one where winning the first bet will greatly increase the chance of winning the second.
    Sorry I’m late. Jorge Lopez is dog shit. You should have text me Druff. Not to mention the KC offense is actually pretty good.
    I know he's dogshit, but he didn't do badly.

    Under actually covered.

    Unfortunately KC kept blowing scoring chances, and they left in Lopez a bit too long after he otherwise had a decent outing.

  7. #19787
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Anyway, here's some totals bets on the early games, both starting very shortly:

    Oakland (Bassitt) at Detroit (Turnbull) Under 8.5 -115 - Both pitchers have done well this year, wind blowing in, sharps like this one

    Texas (Lynn) at KC (Bailey) Over 10.5 -120 - Heavy wind blowing out all game, neither pitcher is good

  8. #19788
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    how the fuck does brooks not get more media coverage...jesus this guy is a fucking monster...

    Name:  br.PNG
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Size:  63.8 KB

  9. #19789
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I was putting together my picks and I thought of you big dick.

    @Washington Nationals
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 901 Chicago Cubs +150 for 1st 5 Innings W
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 901 Chicago Cubs +143 for Game W

    Hamels vs Scherzer. Scherzer is Scherzer and I love him but the Nats offense is nonexistent and the Cubs are white hot. Bullpens are both trash. Normally, I’m a 1st 5 guy now but the Cubs have the grit to come from behind so I’ll take that exposure too.


    Simpdog how cool was this?

    Name:  1A868D86-2B01-43AD-8791-AEBA95D659C3.png
Views: 337
Size:  3.08 MB

    First San Jose vs VGK and the bogus major call. Then San Jose and the hand pass that robbed me & the Blues.

    Credit the NHL with shit canning the involved refs for the remainder of the playoffs. No other league does that.

    If San Jose somehow ends up in Boston and similar shenanigans occur - trust me, Boston fans will not be so understanding. There would be a riot

     
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      simpdog: Amazing
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-17-2019 at 06:21 PM.

  10. #19790
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    so looking ahead to round 3 of the PGA...

    gotta see the price, but if I can find a brooks v. scott bet at a decent price im gonna fire away on brooks...I know scott is making everything under the sun today, but his putter is really not his friend...and that shit don't get easier under the pressure of a major...

  11. #19791
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting now:

    Cubs/Nationals - Over 8 -115
    Tampa (Stanek) -102 at Yankees (Sabathia)

  12. #19792
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Also now:

    Detroit (Norris) +180 vs. Oakland (Montas)

  13. #19793
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    And now one starting in a few hours:

    KC (Keller) +143 at Angels (Harvey)

  14. #19794
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    22 hr head start

    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 978 MINNESOTA TWINS/SEATTLE MARINERS OVER 9 -115 FOR GAME

    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 977 MINNESOTA TWINS -133 FOR GAME

    Twins kid Berrios vs Mariner old man LeBlanc

    Don’t have time now but in a nutshell

    Berrios got touched last time out. He still sports a 1.0 WHIP. Kid is 24 but has been the nuts so far. Look him up

    Mel LeBlanc is coming back from an oblique strain tomorrow. Rust on a crap pitcher - swell. Shit bullpen to take over for him.

    Twins kicking ass right now against the same Mariners who are a hot mess. The line will get bet up after the last pitch or people get their touts picks tomorrow morning.

    Don’t waste your phone on getting an Uber. Get this down now.

     
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      Daly:

  15. #19795
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    22 hr head start

    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 978 MINNESOTA TWINS/SEATTLE MARINERS OVER 9 -115 FOR GAME

    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 977 MINNESOTA TWINS -133 FOR GAME

    Twins kid Berrios vs Mariner old man LeBlanc

    Don’t have time now but in a nutshell

    Berrios got touched last time out. He still sports a 1.0 WHIP. Kid is 24 but has been the nuts so far. Look him up

    Mel LeBlanc is coming back from an oblique strain tomorrow. Rust on a crap pitcher - swell. Shit bullpen to take over for him.

    Twins kicking ass right now against the same Mariners who are a hot mess. The line will get bet up after the last pitch or people get their touts picks tomorrow morning.

    Don’t waste your phone on getting an Uber. Get this down now.
    No opinion on the total but I do agree it’s a starting pitching mismatch.

  16. #19796
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Nice call on the Twins. Too bad you had to throw the over in there!

    I've had a horrendous week in MLB.

    Though to be honest, I should have gone 2-2. You expect to win when going into the 9th up 3-1.

    Fucking Yankees.

  17. #19797
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Nice call on the Twins. Too bad you had to throw the over in there!

    I've had a horrendous week in MLB.

    Though to be honest, I should have gone 2-2. You expect to win when going into the 9th up 3-1.

    Fucking Yankees.
    Think that was the overnight line Druff

  18. #19798
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    so looking ahead to round 3 of the PGA...

    gotta see the price, but if I can find a brooks v. scott bet at a decent price im gonna fire away on brooks...I know scott is making everything under the sun today, but his putter is really not his friend...and that shit don't get easier under the pressure of a major...
    and of course adam scott misses a 3 footer to drop out of the final group...shit's like clockwork...

    would love to bet on berger against him, but just don't trust berger in this position yet...

  19. #19799
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Nice call on the Twins. Too bad you had to throw the over in there!

    I've had a horrendous week in MLB.

    Though to be honest, I should have gone 2-2. You expect to win when going into the 9th up 3-1.

    Fucking Yankees.
    Think that was the overnight line Druff
    Not in love with the Cubs Nats over 9. It’s good not great. Do love the side

    The 1st inning NO is such a tremendous value. I shit myself when I saw these numbers . Pain to type but I had to share

    TABLET - MLB PROPS - CHICAGO CUBS @ WASHINGTON NATIONALS - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - NO -110 W

    The following is all 1 inning data. Lol 1P=1st inning (homage to hockey 1st Period binkage)
    Lester
    IP7 Hits5 Walks3 SO6 ERA0.00 Whip1.14 1Py/n 0-7 last3 0-3

    Strasburg
    IP9 Hits6 Walks1 SO13 ERA3.00 Whip0.78 1Py/n 0-8 last3 0-3

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Dinner's On You Rep
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-18-2019 at 10:09 PM.

  20. #19800
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Think that was the overnight line Druff
    Not in love with the Cubs Nats over 9. It’s good not great. Do love the side

    The 1st inning NO is such a tremendous value. I shit myself when I saw these numbers . Pain to type but I had to share

    TABLET - MLB PROPS - CHICAGO CUBS @ WASHINGTON NATIONALS - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - NO -110

    The following is all 1 inning data. Lol 1P=1st inning (homage to hockey 1st Period binkage)
    Lester
    IP7 Hits5 Walks3 SO6 ERA0.00 Whip1.14 1Py/n 0-7 last3 0-3

    Strasburg
    IP9 Hits6 Walks1 SO13 ERA3.00 Whip0.78 1Py/n 0-8 last3 0-3
    Name:  1st innings.PNG
Views: 309
Size:  63.7 KB

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