*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Sanlmar]

Leafs project to 63.5% so they are better value.

LFG

My wife insists we are going to die in a restaurant tonight. My attorney will forward my password

Now you have something else to sweat

Unfortunately I had fast food for lunch so I'm likely closer to death's door from that than the chance of you catching Covid.

Hope you took Tampa, didn't realize it's an early game. You can order an expensive dessert for the Mrs. or not bother with the 20% off covid coupon.

So the fire alarm goes off during dessert. I ask to get out of the booth and then I commence to lie on the floor and fake the strobe induced epileptic seizure. It’s the standard play, right?

There is a whole generation ignorant of the “chew & screw”. I cry for our future.

That said, we better not go 1-1 tonight. I want my dessert paid for one way or another.

[Sanlmar]

2-0
Tampa & Leafs

I owe you dessert Simp.

[matos]

I also followed all of simp (top) dog nhl picks today. Will hit a nice little parlay if avs hold the under!

Druff I should have warned you on the rockets total. I originally had circled the over for that game but went back and nixed it.

Suns are looking good and pistons v pelicans total should go over easily now.

[simpdog]

2-0
Tampa & Leafs

I owe you dessert Simp.

You could have had Philly in regulation too. And sweating one more.

Speaking of fire alarms, Druff the Raptors need someone to pull it in Miami. Still time but they aren’t looking great

[Dan Druff]

Raptors were my 3rd pick and I almost skipped it.

Should have. They couldn't quite complete the comeback and choked at the end.

1-2 day

[Sanlmar]

My favorite was an NCAA team signing an affiliate deal with a sports book but this is equally great

The Vegas Golden Knights have partnered with a sports betting tout service.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1364636393608077313

Light regulation

[JeffDime]

I'm taking a long shot on the LPGA with Yealimi Noh at 66:1. She's got a lot of talent and has come very close to winning over the last 2 years. Not sure if she can win this weekend but she'll win a tournament this year at some point and I like the long odds for $20.00. I also like Nelly Korda over the South Koreans this weekend.

Winner
Gainbridge LPGA 2/25/21, 4:00 AM

20 Risk 1320 Win

I checked out Noh and you are for sure on to something. She is only 19 and it looks like her worst rankings are sand saves & putting. She is 100% worth betting on the come with these long odds. She definitely shows some signs of being a top tier golfer. Just needs to keep working that short game. Thanks for bringing her to our attention.

[Sanlmar]

Why did you stop the N.O. autobet Simp? What a money truck

You on the wagon again?


we are poised for a breakout

[JeffDime]

J Ko doing her thing, but DJ has pulled every shot so far. Not great to see. Early, but it’s been every wood and iron shot. Hope he corrects it.

[JoeD]

J Ko doing her thing, but DJ has pulled every shot so far. Not great to see. Early, but it’s been every wood and iron shot. Hope he corrects it.

I think Y Noh will break through with a win this season. The question is how many weeks will I have to pay $20 to find out. Also, will Bovada cash me out if it hits big.

Part of my thinking was that Jin Young Ko might get a bit fat and happy with all of her recent success and large $$ as that often seems to happen, but so far she definitely remains a machine.

Anyway, GL!

[simpdog]

Why did you stop the N.O. autobet Simp? What a money truck

You on the wagon again?


we are poised for a breakout

Autobets, roll out.

NO and Brooklyn are still auto bets. Have dropped Denver from this and haven't been doing unders for worst teams (Knicks are back to autobet territory for unders)

Harden if the line is 10.5 assists is still auto bet (18-6 last 24 games, 10-3 last 13 games)

[simpdog]

My favorite was an NCAA team signing an affiliate deal with a sports book but this is equally great

The Vegas Golden Knights have partnered with a sports betting tout service.

Light regulation

LOL. Just checked it out. It's simple to join up and live off sportsbetting! Quit your jobs people.

When I click on their records it's all in Spanish. Maybe need to put some of the deal money into website design.

Upick language?

[BCR]

J Ko doing her thing, but DJ has pulled every shot so far. Not great to see. Early, but it’s been every wood and iron shot. Hope he corrects it.

Question Jeff, we always had a local LPGA tourney. It was the Phar Mor. Then owner got nabbed for embezzling hundreds of millions and the Pittsburgh-based grocery store chain Giant Eagle took it over. My buddy was an exec then and still is with them.

He’d grab me and we’d play with the lady pros for a few years back late 90s. Was really neat experience. They were so damn good from 175 to the cup.

Played with Michelle McGann one year. Pro I didn’t know another year.

That was Se Ri Pak’s rookie year. Was on a heater coming in and she won. That was pre-Yao Ming, and my first exposure to the crazy Asian national pride thing when they hit it big on a global stage.

There was I’d estimate upwards of 3k South Koreans there following her like deadheads stop to stop. They were there even earlier in the week. Funniest part is they all had these big signs with her picture on one side, and Chan Ho Park on the other side. It felt like you were attending an event in Seoul.

Was Pak the first or were there other South Koreans before her? I was just curious who started the craze and made every South Korean girl dream of being the next big golf star?

By the time I started paying attention again it felt like the LPGA was less popular and it was all Asians up top and Americans had tuned out. Before that it was Lopez, Inkster, Daniels, and then Annika.

[Sanlmar]

Our NBA 1Q play of the day will actually turn into a first half. I apologize GBCP.

Nets 1Q is -3 and 1H is -4.5 .... I’m doing 1H


No reason not to take the game if you believe in math and statistics. Nets 7-0 ATS? Fraidy scared.



Simp is waiting for all the NHL player lineup confirmations like an obedient dog. How dull

[Sanlmar]

Alright Simp is making his cheddar in the Wall Street casino so I’m going ahead.

My appetite for risk is bigger today cause shit has been wild as we crater and we are pumped full of adrenaline. Be forewarned.

I applied some serious thought though.






Good luck all

[Daly]

This is last call for alcohol if Cam Smith goes on to win this weekend on his masters odds.

All these Augusta style courses he’s always right there in the mix. It’s far from a lock but It should not be anywhere near +5500

[Dan Druff]

Sacramento -105 at New York (spread up to -1 ok)
Denver -7.5 vs. Washington
Memphis vs. Clippers - Under 225.5

[JeffDime]

No hyperbole, DJ one of the worst bets I made it a long time. Can’t remember such a big favorite playing so poorly. Went back and forth if he was going to correct his swing, but for the life of me couldn’t figure that he would play poorly enough to be essentially out of it after Day 1. I fucked this one up. 4 Day tournament and I think he may quietly withdraw sighting some injury.

Hope J Ko can make it up for me. L Ko and Nelly Korda are looking very solid. Sei Young hasn’t kicked into gear yet so that’s a plus.

PGA tour been rough. Going to try and focus on the Euro and LPGA for the next few weeks. Just can’t quite get the timing right lately on the PGA.

[JeffDime]

J Ko doing her thing, but DJ has pulled every shot so far. Not great to see. Early, but it’s been every wood and iron shot. Hope he corrects it.

Question Jeff, we always had a local LPGA tourney. It was the Phar Mor. Then owner got nabbed for embezzling hundreds of millions and the Pittsburgh-based grocery store chain Giant Eagle took it over. My buddy was an exec then and still is with them.

He’d grab me and we’d play with the lady pros for a few years back late 90s. Was really neat experience. They were so damn good from 175 to the cup.

Played with Michelle McGann one year. Pro I didn’t know another year.

That was Se Ri Pak’s rookie year. Was on a heater coming in and she won. That was pre-Yao Ming, and my first exposure to the crazy Asian national pride thing when they hit it big on a global stage.

There was I’d estimate upwards of 3k South Koreans there following her like deadheads stop to stop. They were there even earlier in the week. Funniest part is they all had these big signs with her picture on one side, and Chan Ho Park on the other side. It felt like you were attending an event in Seoul.

Was Pak the first or were there other South Koreans before her? I was just curious who started the craze and made every South Korean girl dream of being the next big golf star?

By the time I started paying attention again it felt like the LPGA was less popular and it was all Asians up top and Americans had tuned out. Before that it was Lopez, Inkster, Daniels, and then Annika.

BCR, nice to see you in there thread and to be totally transparent, you know more about the history of woman’s golf than I do. I have bet the last 4 tournaments. For me the PGA tour has never been as deep as it is now. Dustin Johnson played above the rim for a while, but because of the Tiger revolution there are so many guys that can win every week.

The LPGA is more front loaded with talent. At the moment I’m sort of hoping J Ko can almost be like the Serena Williams for Woman’s Golf, although that isn’t possible in a sport with as many variables as Golf, you know what I mean. I am hoping if that’s the case, to squeeze every penny out of her before the odds get absurd. I still have a lot of work to be done to see if the LPGA is something I can profit at long term. My sample size is way too small.

Pak was for sure the pioneer. I know that the course set-ups on the Korean tour are typically more difficult than the set-ups on the LPGA. This quick article really breaks things down better than I ever could.

https://www.womensgolf.com/south-korea

The “rookies” who come from South Korea are not real rookies. They have the good fortune of having already played professionally and in tougher scoring conditions. Their success has now fully become part of the culture and the top performers are very likely coming to the LPGA in short measure.

I can speculate why the Tiger Revolution didn’t translate nearly as much to Women’s Golf as for American Players. Golf is so time consuming and expensive that you really need to be all in on it. Maybe it’s something about society here today that just doesn’t attract the same amount of females to Golf. The Korean dominance may also be a deterrence.

I have watched a lot of LPGA in the last few months and I will tell you that they really do try to promote the Americans. Nelly and Jessica Korda for sure make sense, they are good (especially Nelly) and attractive. Even on the tour championship when I had J Ko, who ended up winning by 5 strokes, she didn’t get much coverage until she basically had a share of the lead.

Thanks for the story. It’s always good to know more and more. I would say the betting/dfs aspect of Woman’s golf is a huge factor in their success and I expect to see more and more wagering on it in the future.

[simpdog]

Devils -125
Carolina +116. Yes betting against Tampa due to goalies
Calgary +110 in reg
Winnipeg +100. Montreal fired their coach and shuffled their lines.

Oilers -150 double bet