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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19941
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Thx badguy.

    Just so we can continue to talk, those were picks for quarters .... the 4 quarter merge into the semifinal

    I was just picking who would win each quarter. Well, 3 of the 4 qtrs. I never took a shot at the winner of the whole tournament.

    I still smile thinking about the Australian Open. That was incredible.
    This shits confusing!!!

    I think u r good with the Sake draw cuz u can buy back when she plays the Beast of the East if u want. Shes gonna be a slim fav over Keys and a Underdog to wiilams. if all goes to plan. Ton of live bets there.

    Halep is your money pick cuz her draw is a joke. She will be heavy fav all the way through her semis?

    Or am I missing something

     
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      Sanlmar: You’re all over it. You don’t need any halep. Lol

  2. #19942
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm on Puig.

    I need some Puig to root for this year.

  3. #19943
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I'm on Puig.

    I need some Puig to root for this year.
    Did u get on her yesterday You no ac having bastard My safes locked

  4. #19944
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I'm on Puig.

    I need some Puig to root for this year.
    Did u get on her yesterday You no ac having bastard My safes locked
    6-0 first set for Yasiel Puig but then 3-6, 3-6

    Brilliant start.

    Don’t worry about it. Gimme a pick or wrestle Druff

    Tell ya what. I’ll give YOU a pick. My favorite is “my Shirona” Soroka Atlanta but I snapped it when the retail lines came out yesterday at 2pm. It’s gone stratospheric. -270. Braves win

    Also love
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 951 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ -130 for Game W

    Lol, late replacement Michael Irvin vs Kershaw later today. I have a full card. Lotta runs today you sausage lovers grand salami over
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-01-2019 at 10:23 PM.

  5. #19945
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Yankees (German) -130 vs. Boston (Porcello)

  6. #19946
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Sorry Guys.

    I guess 18 yr old pussy still playes.

    Fcking joke

    Id take Halep to win the whole think now.

  7. #19947
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I got so jealous of Sanlmar that I had to start winning again in baseball to keep up.

  8. #19948
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Some late min ideas. Best to worst

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 913 Minnesota Twins +111 for Game W
    Daly would agree, plus $ on Twins is irresistible


    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 916 Chicago White Sox -114 for Game W
    Giolito w/ WS - one of those LA HS power trio I love

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 912 San Diego Padres -185 for Game L
    Big gamble - I don’t believe Trevor Richards Marlins is real

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 902 Washington Nationals/Cincinnati Reds under 4 +100 for 1st 5 Innings W
    Scherzer v Gray. Sick play in today’s rabbit ball era. Prolly regret it
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-03-2019 at 09:22 AM.

  9. #19949
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    All 3 NHL Stanley Cup games went over. This game it will not. Blues will get payback and it will end 3-1 or 2-1

  10. #19950
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    PARLAY (4 TEAMS)
    [910] LA DODGERS -190
    ( ACTION ) PENDING

    [912] SDG PADRES -200
    ( ACTION ) PENDING

    [916] CHI WHITE SOX -120
    ( ACTION ) PENDING

    [924] NY YANKEES +105
    ( ACTION ) PENDING

    50/342

  11. #19951
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post

    Did u get on her yesterday You no ac having bastard My safes locked
    6-0 first set for Yasiel Puig but then 3-6, 3-6

    Brilliant start.

    Don’t worry about it. Gimme a pick or wrestle Druff

    Tell ya what. I’ll give YOU a pick. My favorite is “my Shirona” Soroka Atlanta but I snapped it when the retail lines came out yesterday at 2pm. It’s gone stratospheric. -270. Braves win

    Also love
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 951 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ -130 for Game W

    looks like you went 2-0 from what I can discern, anyway, congrats.

    in vegas now and had a piss poor night in the pitts, so any other locks would be appreciated?

    Daily, you too??

  12. #19952
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    6-0 first set for Yasiel Puig but then 3-6, 3-6

    Brilliant start.

    Don’t worry about it. Gimme a pick or wrestle Druff

    Tell ya what. I’ll give YOU a pick. My favorite is “my Shirona” Soroka Atlanta but I snapped it when the retail lines came out yesterday at 2pm. It’s gone stratospheric. -270. Braves win

    Also love
    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 951 Milwaukee Brewers -1½ -130 for Game W

    looks like you went 2-0 from what I can discern, anyway, congrats.

    in vegas now and had a piss poor night in the pitts, so any other locks would be appreciated?

    Daily, you too??
    we need trip report of high stakes shenanigans when shit starts to turn to the good..

     
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      Tellafriend: Hope I can comply!

  13. #19953
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post


    looks like you went 2-0 from what I can discern, anyway, congrats.

    in vegas now and had a piss poor night in the pitts, so any other locks would be appreciated?

    Daily, you too??
    we need trip report of high stakes shenanigans when shit starts to turn to the good..
    Here’s a Teaser and a great representation of how my luck going:

    Wanting to make a quick dent in my balance I make a call bet on a bacc table, which just means they extend me credit wo a marker and throw a laminar on the felt for it, anyway I call out for $10k on player. I squeeze out a natural 8, dealer rolls the bank over and it’s a fucking queen and nine.

    Makes you rethink your why you “enjoy” this again.

     
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      Sanlmar: Brutal

  14. #19954
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    we need trip report of high stakes shenanigans when shit starts to turn to the good..
    Here’s a Teaser and a great representation of how my luck going:

    Wanting to make a quick dent in my balance I make a call bet on a bacc table, which just means they extend me credit wo a marker and throw a laminar on the felt for it, anyway I call out for $10k on player. I squeeze out a natural 8, dealer rolls the bank over and it’s a fucking queen and nine.

    Makes you rethink your why you “enjoy” this again.
    yeah no kidding...jesus Christ...like getting 20/BJ and having the dealer have an A under a T showing...

  15. #19955
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Maybe I don’t know what I’m talking about and I deserve to ha e my $$ taken from me... but fucking hell if the reds shouldn’t be closer to -180 tonight.

  16. #19956
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two small home favorites today:

    St. Louis (G. Cabrera) -108 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo)
    NOTES: Sharps love the Cardinals here. The magic has worn off for Castillo, who has looked hittable in his last few outings.

    Angels (Canning) -107 vs. Oakland (Montas)
    NOTES: Rookie Canning has quietly been excellent.

  17. #19957
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two small home favorites today:

    St. Louis (G. Cabrera) -108 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo)
    NOTES: Sharps love the Cardinals here. The magic has worn off for Castillo, who has looked hittable in his last few outings.

    Angels (Canning) -107 vs. Oakland (Montas)
    NOTES: Rookie Canning has quietly been excellent.

    St. Louis (G. Cabrera) -108 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo)
    NOTES: Sharps love the Cardinals here. The magic has worn off for Castillo, who has looked hittable in his last few outings.

    Bro no sharps liked this game this line moved cuz of the rain delay? Then got bet down more b4 it went off. The only sharp money on this was on Cinncy when it opened. Just cuz a line moves doesn't mean it sharp money.

    Hell your other game you took against Oakland had a ton of sharp money. On Oakland?

    You may win both or lose both but your statements aren't true. And your in for a long seaon if that's how u decifer sharp money.

    Call any book public was on St. Louis here.

    Fck Puig.

    U should just retire from poker and bet the Dodgers every night.
    Last edited by badguy23; 06-04-2019 at 07:39 PM.

  18. #19958
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    FYI I laid money on padduck like a idiot parlayed with the under in oakland.

    This padduck fuck is tipping pitches and I would run not walk if u ever see him -130 or more!! Until he wins 3 in a row or has 3 quality starts.

    Enjoy your night.

  19. #19959
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Maybe I don’t know what I’m talking about and I deserve to ha e my $$ taken from me... but fucking hell if the reds shouldn’t be closer to -180 tonight.
    Wish I’d seen this in time. Still losing so need a big play.

  20. #19960
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post

    Bro no sharps liked this game this line moved cuz of the rain delay? Then got bet down more b4 it went off. The only sharp money on this was on Cinncy when it opened. Just cuz a line moves doesn't mean it sharp money.


    U should just retire from poker and bet the Dodgers every night.

    I’ve been quiet because the poker players need their positivity during these troubling times. However, it is important for the thread not overlook your wisdom.

    I’d prolly rather stick a pencil in my eye than argue how lines are made and moved and by who.

    The only sharp money on this was on Cinncy when it opened. Pretty much this. The sharps hammer out the line overnight with the market makers like Pinnacle. They are armed with their models and algos and if shit don’t match their ideas they bet into the number.

    Some retail books open 12 hrs later like Betonline. They just copy the market makers. The limits are bigger and shit gets pushed in. But they spend their money on bonuses and promos not traders. They are pretty stupid. Multiple retail books share the same line services for that reason.

    Honest to god, I swear BetOnline (as an example) doesn’t even know WHY they move their line. Their service tells them the market maker moved more likely than not. You certainly can’t read “intelligence” into the move.

    Don’t worry about them, though. They always have the best of it. 110 juice. At 4.5% even your dumb nephew can make book. Their hold protects them from harm.

    It’s the market makers that take the risk early. They can be wildly off and get hurt. Some late 6:00pm move by JustBet or YouWager scarcely means shit IMO.

    The overnight market makers and the early retail books were the meaningful sharp action.

    During the course of the day you will hear people talk about the opening line. You might see a number that they claim was the opening number somewhere. Let me tell you, if you are up late and watching you will laugh cause quite often THAT IS NOT WHAT THE OPENING NUMBER ACTUALLY WAS. They are hiding the big and important moves sometimes.

    I got off track. The most important and informative “sharp action” was at the open like badguy said.

    Late “sharp action” sounds like the wisdom Vegas Dave would deliver. The “insiders”.

    Well anyway. Good to see Druff reformed his “under” lifestyle. Look at tonight’s scores. Like WTF. Salami city.

    Another adjustment is acceptance of the fact that baseball atm is favorites. Big favorites. Again look at tonight. Bet them all. Except Tampa Bay Snell. Snell is the WORST ROI pitcher in the MLB. Sorry, it’s no longer Kershaw. So if you were off Tampa and bet the big favorites you banked units.

    I do not understand trying to get cute with Reds/Cards. Two dreadful teams and two dreadful pitchers at “flip ‘em” prices. You’re just gonna hurt yourself. You don’t need to work so hard and take such risk.

    I feel so dirty
    ​Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 911 Los Angeles Dodgers -190 for Game
    Lol, Dodger rotation number was 911

    Markets always adjust. Favorites might not work later. But for now it’s pointless to think
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-04-2019 at 10:52 PM.

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