Conventional wisdom I suppose
Last year the books took a licking on NFL teasers and legal books responded by charging more (ridiculous) juice. My personal thinking is that there is no more efficient market in the world than NFL lines. Teasers allow you to move off that highly refined number.
There is a time and a season
It’s your money and you can do what you want
Wisconsin looking like trash, Need a pick or fumble to get this offense going
-Allergic to the struggle
Oregon too good.
My inability to hit moneyline dogs continues, even though it went off as a slight favorite.
You see Druff unlike you we don't think we have a system that can beat the books, we know we aren't going to so this shit is mainly for fun. We know teasers are shit EV but we don't care! This is entertainment and nothing more.
I mean we all know how betting 50 random basketball games a week is such +EV right?
NBH, teasers were heavily studied and proven to be highly -EV, because they underpay you what you should otherwise get.
If you still want to play them, that's fine, but honestly this is well established. You'll win a lot more parlaying.
NFL is the best thing to tease but only if it's fairly evenly matched and only if the lines I mentioned. I used to do teasers all the time when they were +EV to do, but they degraded lines enough to stop that. But if you stick to the guidelines I posted, they aren't too bad.
Oregon State teasing me by running off a quick 21-3, and now just down by 3.
None of these comebacks have held up for me lately. Let's see if this one can.
Wow, Oregon went for it up 34-31, 4th and 1 on own 29. Failed.
Now Oregon State can take the lead.
No idea why they didn't punt there.
Edit: Yep. TD. 38-34 now. Holllllld
I can beat the books easily betting live when i'm goofed up on acid. My results are undeniable. Laugh if you want but I somewhat proved it with my posting record
Volume/Value betting is a grind that similar to poker only a few percent have the discipline to make a worthwhile profit (Don't include myself)
Firing Vanderbilt +14. Wisconsin a joke 1st and goal from the 5 yard line with 40 seconds left 4 flags later morons end up 1st and goal from the 30 could have tied and gave me some hope for win in OT
-Allergic to the struggle
I think I've got Oregon State. Oregon just had the ball 5 yards from goal with 1st down, and couldn't get it across in 4 tries. They couldn't kick a FG because that would still have left them down 1.
Oregon State has the ball with 2 mins left.
NCAAB
Central Michigan +9.5 -106 at California Baptist
Firing on Vandy leaves me hoping Tennessee don’t care about this game. I mean 2 or 3 weeks ago they were #1 in some polls then get pounded by Georgia and SC now this. How do they get up this game now that National title is off the table
-Allergic to the struggle
As usual I win in football and lose in basketball.
4-1 in NCAAF, including a +130 win
0-1 in NCAAB
Breakers looking good so far (thanks ok25)
Nice record in NCAAF, Wish I would have tailed. After a good Thursday and Friday late yesterday went down hill. Not horrible,even betting 2 complete trash teams yesterday still even last 4 days pending outcome of 2nd leg of teaser tenn + 8 1/2 this will put me up 6 units ( some love to put in units). Will hope to get back on winning track in NFL today. I agree with NBH at the end of the day this is just entertainment
-Allergic to the struggle
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