*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

Yup... nice 2-0 start to the day.

I'll possibly post a few more picks later on.

[4BET]

After last week hard for me to like the ravens. Last week game was 3-3 late in the game. They cost me a ticket worth 3750. Were did ravens offense go? I hope they win for you but I think I will pass on that game

The wind was blowing 20-30 all game, they still scratch out 20-24 if it isn't. Which is what they will do this week in 80 and sunny. The offense is down their #1 WR it is going to be a struggle at times, and what I think will ultimately cost them a shot to win it all. But they still have Lamar and a good running game/intermediate passing game with the TE's with a lights out defense. That is why I like under and any line under 10/unders in general. I just don't think teams are going to be able to score on them much going forward. They are about to add to an already great defense a guy who was projected top 5 pick at pass rusher David Ojabo, and the arguable best deep safety in the game in Marcus Williams. Ojabo tore his achilles pre draft knocked him to 2nd rd. It is just an embarrassment of riches on defense right now. They are healthy deep and loaded at every level. The offense just isn't going to have to do much for them to cover games for the rest of the year IMO

Ok you talked me into using the ravens, I put them in a parlay with Tennessee

[NaturalBornHustler]

The wind was blowing 20-30 all game, they still scratch out 20-24 if it isn't. Which is what they will do this week in 80 and sunny. The offense is down their #1 WR it is going to be a struggle at times, and what I think will ultimately cost them a shot to win it all. But they still have Lamar and a good running game/intermediate passing game with the TE's with a lights out defense. That is why I like under and any line under 10/unders in general. I just don't think teams are going to be able to score on them much going forward. They are about to add to an already great defense a guy who was projected top 5 pick at pass rusher David Ojabo, and the arguable best deep safety in the game in Marcus Williams. Ojabo tore his achilles pre draft knocked him to 2nd rd. It is just an embarrassment of riches on defense right now. They are healthy deep and loaded at every level. The offense just isn't going to have to do much for them to cover games for the rest of the year IMO

Ok you talked me into using the ravens, I put them in a parlay with Tennessee

I have 8 bets on them in every way possible. Nothing else yet. Who else you like?

[4BET]

Ok you talked me into using the ravens, I put them in a parlay with Tennessee

I have 8 bets on them in every way possible. Nothing else yet. Who else you like?

I like Wisconsin tomorrow-3, NFL I like Tennessee, Washington, Seattle, Still looking also

[BCR]

I feel like every teaser/parlay this Sunday is going to be built around Jets-6.

ML Jets with pretty much everything is even or plus money. Jets/Ravens ML is +120. Jets/Titans +8 is even money.

I pretty much like half the games parlayed in some manner with the Jets.

Benching Wilson, who it seems obvious his teammates dislike, coupled with their defense being the perfect defense against Justin Fields running feels like an incredibly easy win, which is straight out frightening because when it looks too easy.

Bets are like 50/50, but the handle is 85% on the Jets. All Vegas is going to need is a Bears upset to take down half the tickets in town. That game has a red warning light flashing and I’m going to try to talk myself out of putting my own neck on the RR tracks.

[4BET]

I feel like every teaser/parlay this Sunday is going to be built around Jets-6.

ML Jets with pretty much everything is even or plus money. Jets/Ravens ML is +120. Jets/Titans +8 is even money.

I pretty much like half the games parlayed in some manner with the Jets.

Benching Wilson, who it seems obvious his teammates dislike, coupled with their defense being the perfect defense against Justin Fields running feels like an incredibly easy win, which is straight out frightening because when it looks too easy.

Bets are like 50/50, but the handle is 85% on the Jets. All Vegas is going to need is a Bears upset to take down half the tickets in town. That game has a red warning light flashing and I’m going to try to talk myself out of putting my own neck on the RR tracks.

I will end up with the jets in some kind of teaser , I think Justin is out

[Dan Druff]

At the moment I am leaning toward Jets -6 as well, but I haven't made my mind up yet.

[Dan Druff]

Last NBA pick was 6 days ago. I am currently 23-29-2 in the NBA, almost 7 units down. I took a break.

Today is my return:

New York vs Portland - Under 216.5
Milwaukee vs Cleveland - Under 215
Phoenix vs Detroit - Under 224.5
Chicago -3 at Oklahoma City

[BCR]

At the moment I am leaning toward Jets -6 as well, but I haven't made my mind up yet.

Hard to not like the Jets in this spot. I’d expect them to win a 20-3 type game from everything I’ve seen out of both. Their defense is one of the best units in the league given their offense never gives them a break.




I wasn’t trying to get fancy play on this one, but my book had $48 per $100 difference in juice between -10 and -13. Given I’d like Florida State -13 -110 if that was the line, opting for the extra value is a no brainer.

Florida State is just much better and far better coached. Hopefully getting greedy doesn’t cost me.

Single @
+130
Open
Nov 25 • 2022
Ticket ID: 522347
Point Spread: Florida State -13.0

[Dan Druff]

I was considering Florida State -10 but ultimately passed. GL

[Dan Druff]

Blazers/Knicks starts super slow and looks like it's headed for an easy win. Then in late 1Q, scoring goes crazy & hasn't stopped. Not even halftime and I'm close to giving up on it.

[Dan Druff]

Well this all went south quickly.

Cleveland under looked likely to win mid-4th, ended up losing by 4.

NY under got blown out.

Chicago went to OT but probably won't cover 3 (and might lose outright).

Suns under looking decent at half but 3rd has a lot of scoring so far.

[Dan Druff]

Yeah these just don't fall well for me when close.

Chicago lost in OT. That Cleveland under lost.

Phoenix under was the only winner, but it looked fairly good almost the entire way.

1-3, and I'm now 9 units down in NBA.

[Dan Druff]

NCAA Football:

James Madison -14.5 vs Coastal Carolina
Notre Dame +165 at USC (+4.5 ok)
Oregon State +130 vs Oregon (+3 ok)
LSU at Texas A&M - Over 47.5
South Carolina at Clemson - Over 53

[4BET]

Huge day of college football, I will be trying to crush the book this weekend, Be careful laying big numbers in big rivalry games as some of you found out last night with Florida/Florida st. I flat bet Florida + 9 1/2. State is probably 20 points better then Florida but not on that stage

[ok25]

Bet on New Zealand Breakers in the Australian NBL in about 14 hrs

1st Half -2.5
Game - -5.5

I have won just over 9000 on them so far this season

Held a good scoring team to 6 points in the 2nd Qtr last game out.

Great D, Coach + Three afroman-americans running the majority of their offense who are highly motivated every game and very consistent

Only hesitation is lack of home court experience (0 last season due to magic virus that scared pussy brains)

Should be a 15+ point win

[Dan Druff]

Looked at this NZ Breakers game. Yeah I see they are playing a shit team, Brisbane.

No 1H option on my books but I do see the full game at -5.5 -120. I'll fire on it.

GL us, and remember again, no trolling in this thread

[ok25]

International Rugby

Starts in 1.5hrs

Australia +125 vs Wales

Not recommending this one but I'm on both

Wales v Australia
Over(47.5)
Total Points

[4BET]

I think Vanderbilt + 14 is worth a medium size bet tonight. Tennessee mindset is in the trash can and their hot shot quarterback is out. Vandy coming off a few nice wins and on cloud 9 after putting it in Florida last week

[simpdog]

NHL
Leafs -105
Anaheim +130
Devils -155


For degens only:
Philly +195

2-2. Neither dog won so 0 units

Hopefully people avoided the degen pick