well at least you didn't have to sweat missing the top of the market on albot, san...
i allowed myself to get suckered in to the KC-SF teaser, which is looking quite good right now (34-7 SF), but still feeling like a sucker for not betting both faves SU or parlaying.
I spent most of the game regretting the Pacers -1 pick and it covered by 9.
oooooooookay
early thoughts on the big game?
Thinking I like the KC -1 and over 53.5
well san we don't even get to bet against 'mr 5 cent head'...
shapo already lost his shit and his place in the tournament...
didn't even think to check if he was a big favorite in that match...
Lot of tomfoolery going on at the offshore books. I’ve read that not only was Bovada and sportsbook playing games with Sharp/square lines but so was BOL. All three were advertising “3” as the number but anyone who wanted San Fran it went to a review and then came back as +1. I know this happened with a few people.
For what it’s worth this is literally the sharpest game of the year by a magnitude of 100. I make San Fran the small favorite but Not demonstrably so. Early indicators said public flocked to KC and there has been professional money looking to take the 1-2 points or the +110 ML. I don’t think there will be much of a story on the line leading up to the game. I don’t see it hitting 3 and I don’t see it jumping the fence.
Now it’s hurry up and wait for the props..
I find it hard to believe BOL was doing that. That definitely is the profile for Bovada and Druff has written extensively about it. We KNOW that is their practice.
BOL originates it’s own lines. Interesting to me, they took a Pinnacle trader and a BWIN trader for instance. On some sports they are running their own live action and not using a service.
They are first overnight with baseball lines. Before Pinny. That was very important to me. I don’t follow NFL overnight so I’ll step back a tad there.
Bovada has small NFL limits compared to BOL. BOL will take $25k and $50k from some.
So when they are originating lines the amounts are low and BOL don’t give a fuck. They know who you are and what that bet means.
Bovada is a square book that copycats other books and does shading.
It’s impossible to conflate those two books. They couldn’t be more different.
Hope everyone had a great weekend. Had the over in last night's GB/SF game and won easy but otherwise took it easy this weekend.
Hate paying this much juice on a puck line, but Detroit is awful and content to lose.
Colorado -1.5 -160
Bonus pick - I'm waiting/hoping for 230 but Raptors/Atlanta under 230.
Edit: Got under 230 just before gametime line went up to 231. Apparently should have took some Hawks ML or +10 as well.
Last edited by simpdog; 01-20-2020 at 12:51 PM.
tennis picks - one cancelled and another suspended. Those were the highlights
Remember Druff mocking Searles & the Royals? Imagine Sizzle bet Druff the city of Kansas City would win another Championship before Los Angeles.
What a lock that would have been. How about them Rams?
Druff is getting old and it is pretty likely he will never see a parade before he dies.
Shapo,
Yeah, when the player is arguing with the ump that he didn’t break his racquet when he smashed it on the ground you know. I was trying to buy low on him but he is untouchable. He could never lose a set from this point on and I’ll have no regrets.
Canadians.... Why didn’t this Jew play hockey instead?
Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-20-2020 at 11:33 AM.
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