Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #21661
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    Quote Originally Posted by SPIT this View Post
    Wouldn't triple ply be pretty strong?
    Yes. Strong and soft. Actually a pretty good analogy. For the whole 4th Q it was basically sack-sack-20 yard completion over and over and over for the Falcons.

  2. #21662
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    So far:

    Buffalo -28
    V Tech -2.5
    T Tech +7.5
    Nebraska +4.5
    Mizzou -14 -115
    Was St. +7

  3. #21663
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    So far:

    Buffalo -28
    V Tech -2.5
    T Tech +7.5
    Nebraska +4.5
    Mizzou -14 -115
    Was St. +7

    Glad to see most of this Verm. But I too have Buffalo and TT. Otherwise, I'm on Virg and Wash out of your picks.

  4. #21664
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    also, the lack of posting/interest in this thread over the holidays is disturbing.

  5. #21665
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    Buffalo and T tech really hodoring around a lot.

  6. #21666
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Buffalo and T tech really hodoring around a lot.

    Don't speak it into existence Verm.

  7. #21667
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Patriots

    8 players no show practice with flu. Unusual

    Actionable? Idk. You first

  8. #21668
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Patriots

    8 players no show practice with flu. Unusual

    Actionable? Idk. You first


    some team was in the same spot last week, but i don't recall which one now.

    i bet NE early -3. Line's -3.5. Sharps seem to favor Houston. I may cover my bet and just watch at this point.

  9. #21669
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ton of NBA games but nothing is jumping out at me except:

    Washington at Lakers - Over 235.5

    You have 6 hours.

  10. #21670
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Ton of NBA games but nothing is jumping out at me except:

    Washington at Lakers - Over 235.5

    You have 6 hours.
    I see it’s old timers day again in LA. Myth busting the Lakers rep for good defense.

    Lakers’ first eight games: +10.0 Net Rating (first), 107.8 Offensive Rating (16th), 97.8 Defensive Rating (first)

    Lakers’ last 10 games: +6.4 Net Rating (eighth), 116.9 Offensive Rating (third), 110.4 Defensive Rating (17th)

    How about that?

     
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      Dan Druff: Now you see part of the reason for the pick!

  11. #21671
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    Daly--

    Anything jumping out at ya on the college slate tomorrow?

  12. #21672
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    Scoring died in the 4th, which has been a trend lately in high scoring NBA games.

    Fell like 7 points short of the over. That's the big risk with a 235.5 total. Scoring slows down even once and you're fucked.

  13. #21673
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Scoring died in the 4th, which has been a trend lately in high scoring NBA games.

    Fell like 7 points short of the over. That's the big risk with a 235.5 total. Scoring slows down even once and you're fucked.
    Huh?

    The big risk is the blowout and load management in the 4th qtr. What concerned me preflop was the big 11 point spread.

    Indeed, the 65 point 1st qtr and 40 point 4th is a phenomenon I discovered reading your posts here. The game needs to remain competitive. The double digit spread was a warning. It’s an important concept.

    The Wiz normally are good shooters but not last night. At one stage they were down 40 points. Down 30 on the regular.

    This wasn’t going over and that was telegraphed early on. Lakers might play 2.5 qtrs

    Good night
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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 11-30-2019 at 08:20 AM.

  14. #21674
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    Laker Robinson Caruso is an interesting player. He is clearly respected by his team mates.

    Still working on my read

    Larry Bird’s love child?

  15. #21675
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    Here’s a good “fade the sharps” play

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    -10.5 —-> -6 and some -5.5

    Some good Daly weather plays. He must be shopping

  16. #21676
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's a reverse Trapper John pick:

    Sacramento +4 vs. Denver

    You can even get 4.5 if you bet on Bovada

    Also some totals:

    Indiana at Philadelphia - Over 208
    Charlotte at Milwaukee - Under 225.5

    Sac starts soon, the other two don't go for a few hours.

  17. #21677
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Here's a reverse Trapper John pick:

    Sacramento +4 vs. Denver

    You can even get 4.5 if you bet on Bovada

    Also some totals:

    Indiana at Philadelphia - Over 208
    Charlotte at Milwaukee - Under 225.5

    Sac starts soon, the other two don't go for a few hours.
    I'm about as big a MASH fan as there is & have no idea what this even means.
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  18. #21678
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    A reverse Trapper John pick is where a deceptively "soft" line is offered, where the public hammers what seems to be the obvious side, but in reality it's a trap because the game won't go as you'd expect from simply knowing the two teams' records.

    In this case, a below-average Sacramento team is facing 13-3 Denver, you're only getting 4 points, Denver has had 4 days rest, and yet I'm still taking Sac.


  19. #21679
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    A reverse Trapper John pick is where a deceptively "soft" line is offered, where the public hammers what seems to be the obvious side, but in reality it's a trap because the game won't go as you'd expect from simply knowing the two teams' records.

    In this case, a below-average Sacramento team is facing 13-3 Denver, you're only getting 4 points, Denver has had 4 days rest, and yet I'm still taking Sac.

    Okay, so just a "trap" game.

    I was thinking you were referencing something that happened on the show.
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  20. #21680
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    Had Alabama -3.5. Auburn just had a 100 yard pick 6. That one hurt.

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