Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #32261
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Cincinnati is literally the absolute worst bet you could possibly make this weekend.

    Not saying that the titans are a max bet but I wouldn’t be caught dead with a Bengals ticket.

  2. #32262
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Cincinnati is literally the absolute worst bet you could possibly make this weekend.

    Not saying that the titans are a max bet but I wouldn’t be caught dead with a Bengals ticket.
    Yeah this is why I don't bet much on NFL usually because I would be leaning to take the Bengals to win on instinct lol. Might still throw a few bucks on them either moneyline or covering and the over.

  3. #32263
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Cincinnati is literally the absolute worst bet you could possibly make this weekend.

    Not saying that the titans are a max bet but I wouldn’t be caught dead with a Bengals ticket.
    We going to see -3?

    We have a weather game in GB. Cold. Of course that makes it an auto-over. I gotta figure out my teaser to get it to 41.5.

    I’m gonna insist on Titans -3 or pass. Bengals are not without love. Chatter about million dollar bets on Bengals. I don’t care about that (not sharp $) but I need some more Cinci love

    Wanna fade Stafford who is the polar opposite of Brady post season and life. We will probably just pass
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-21-2022 at 10:42 PM.

  4. #32264
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    St Louis -1.5 +145win
    Columbus +195
    Anaheim +200win

    Woof.
    Adding Florida -1.5 +125

    GL all.
    Shouldn’t have added Florida.

    How much did the round robin pay? Did you do it by two games and win? Or three for the loss?

  5. #32265
    Nova Scotia's #1 Party Rocker!!!!11 DJ_Chaps's Avatar
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    CAPS CANES WILD AND LEAFS PUCKLINES LOL

    +2602
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Chaps' 2017-18 NFL $$ Thread

  6. #32266
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    Was looking through Caesars props for weekend nfl and noticed that under same game parlay you can parlay a player to both score the first TD in a game and to score any TD in a game.

    Example - Travis Kelce is +700 to score the first TD. I can parlay that with him scoring any TD (-116) and bring that it to +800.
    If someone were betting on a player to score first TD they should parlay with any TD, correct?

    Overlooked by the book? Or is the price on props too high for it to matter.

  7. #32267
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    @JoeD. Having fun following Cantlay around? This can’t be real right? The Par on 2 must be a typo.

    Name:  
Views: 
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    Anyways, Rahm started off too slow to have a shot at first round leader anyways. You may see history out there.

    After walking around for a few days I'm popping Tylenol like its M&Ms lol. I am sore.

    This guy's swing is so pure. We shall see if he takes this thing down.

    If you ever want to come out for the ANA (LPGA, Mission Hills, last time for the event since it moves to Houston next year) or the JTBC LA Open (LPGA) at Wilshire Country Club let me know. The access you get at this these tourneys is pretty awesome for a sporting event.

  8. #32268
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Cincinnati is literally the absolute worst bet you could possibly make this weekend.

    Not saying that the titans are a max bet but I wouldn’t be caught dead with a Bengals ticket.
    We going to see -3?

    We have a weather game in GB. Cold. Of course that makes it an auto-over. I gotta figure out my teaser to get it to 41.5.

    I’m gonna insist on Titans -3 or pass. Bengals are not without love. Chatter about million dollar bets on Bengals. I don’t care about that (not sharp $) but I need some more Cinci love

    Wanna fade Stafford who is the polar opposite of Brady post season and life. We will probably just pass

    Woke up to 4’s and -2xx I’m glad I locked in when I did.

    You have all the reasons to bet Ten, or not bet on Cinci.

    Public all over Cinci.

    Reverse line movement

    Public dog in a big game


    Nothing runs 100%. If you like Cinci than bet them. If one were into betting NFL in major playoff weekends Tenn checks a lot of boxes as a bet you want to make.

  9. #32269
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I’m a firm believer in Red Auerbach theory (loss by 2 or 20 is still a loss) but calling for Wolff over Zal this weekend has got to be one of the worst matchup plays I’ve made over the past golf weeks.


    (Only one of two I’m losing at the min though)

  10. #32270
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    We going to see -3?

    We have a weather game in GB. Cold. Of course that makes it an auto-over. I gotta figure out my teaser to get it to 41.5.

    I’m gonna insist on Titans -3 or pass. Bengals are not without love. Chatter about million dollar bets on Bengals. I don’t care about that (not sharp $) but I need some more Cinci love

    Wanna fade Stafford who is the polar opposite of Brady post season and life. We will probably just pass

    Woke up to 4’s and -2xx I’m glad I locked in when I did.

    You have all the reasons to bet Ten, or not bet on Cinci.

    Public all over Cinci.

    Reverse line movement

    Public dog in a big game


    Nothing runs 100%. If you like Cinci than bet them. If one were into betting NFL in major playoff weekends Tenn checks a lot of boxes as a bet you want to make.
    I don’t get it. Burrow is great, but needs to stay upright. I can’t imagine looking at that game and thinking that OL matches up well with Titans. Plus Tennessee shows up for big games and loses to the Jets. Feel like I’m starting 10-0 with Vrabel over that clown for cincy who acted like he won the super bowl. Maybe I’m letting my irrational hatred for the city of Cincy and the people who inhabit it cloud my judgement, but I don’t think so.

  11. #32271
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Tenn

    GB

    Book em'

  12. #32272
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    We going to see -3?

    We have a weather game in GB. Cold. Of course that makes it an auto-over. I gotta figure out my teaser to get it to 41.5.

    I’m gonna insist on Titans -3 or pass. Bengals are not without love. Chatter about million dollar bets on Bengals. I don’t care about that (not sharp $) but I need some more Cinci love

    Wanna fade Stafford who is the polar opposite of Brady post season and life. We will probably just pass

    Woke up to 4’s and -2xx I’m glad I locked in when I did.

    You have all the reasons to bet Ten, or not bet on Cinci.

    Public all over Cinci.

    Reverse line movement

    Public dog in a big game


    Nothing runs 100%. If you like Cinci than bet them. If one were into betting NFL in major playoff weekends Tenn checks a lot of boxes as a bet you want to make.
    82% of the money is on Titans but that doesn’t make it wrong. I’m in but I was always in on Titans

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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-22-2022 at 09:31 AM.

  13. #32273
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Just jumped on Hatton live +750 in Dubai.
    Jesus Christ. There are bad finishes to rounds and then there’s these…

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    Anyways these weeks happen. Better luck to everyone this weekend.

     
    Comments
      
      BCR: Ouch. You’re great at calling golf, but don’t know how you sweat it after you bet it. They’d need to put me in a Garrett jacket if I didn’t bet it and forget it

  14. #32274
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    Woke up to 4’s and -2xx I’m glad I locked in when I did.

    You have all the reasons to bet Ten, or not bet on Cinci.

    Public all over Cinci.

    Reverse line movement

    Public dog in a big game


    Nothing runs 100%. If you like Cinci than bet them. If one were into betting NFL in major playoff weekends Tenn checks a lot of boxes as a bet you want to make.
    82% of the money is on Titans but that doesn’t make it wrong. I’m in but I was always in on Titans

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    I have pretty much everything attached to the Titans at least winning. I prefer to think about it as Vrabel v Taylor as opposed to Burrow v Tannehill. The latter might have me hoping for another foot of snow and leaving my elderly neighbors an invoice after I shovel their driveway.

     
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      Sanlmar: Let them know the terms and make them sweat too

  15. #32275
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simp


    Buffalo +120 & Av’s -620 = +160 parlay

    My retard model shows Sabres winning 68.3% with these goalies

    Just a thing for half unit

  16. #32276
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Mattress Mack is hedging a Titans future in an interesting attempt. Look up.

    The books don’t take $1m bets from sharps so we (and your elderly neighbors) are fucked

    The NFL is not serious business so have fun with it.

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  17. #32277
    Silver Sandwich's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    Adding Florida -1.5 +125

    GL all.
    Shouldn’t have added Florida.

    How much did the round robin pay? Did you do it by two games and win? Or three for the loss?
    I did it by two games (2/4). Bet $300 ($50 on each combo), got slightly worse odds than you posted... ended up paying $354, so a $54 profit. Thanks! Blue Jackets were an early game sweat... Panthers not so much.

    To paraphrase Meat Loaf: Two outta four underdogs ain't bad.
    Last edited by Sandwich; 01-22-2022 at 11:46 AM.

  18. #32278
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandwich View Post
    Value in some of the underdogs for Saturday's UFC 270....

    1 unit each

    Genaro Valdez +170
    Silvana Gomez Juarez +120
    Saimon Oliveira +210
    Pete Rodriguez +280
    Trevin Giles +100
    Deveison Figuereido +155
    Francis Ngannou +130
    The two co-main event matches, do you like any of the props? I don’t watch nearly the UFC I used to.

    I caught the flyweights fight once, but have never saw Ngannou. I listened to Simmons this morning and he had Ariel Helwani on taking about Ngannou, and he seemed to like his chances.

    But everything he discussed made it sound like he’s incredibly powerful, but has fitness issues and it sounded like if he won, it was very likely to be early.

    My book has him +400 in round one and +700 in 2. Him winning and under 2.5 rounds at +225. Right now he’s +125 on my book. Do you see a world where he wins and it’s over 2.5 rounds?

    He definitely sold me on watching this card as I want to see this dude, and if football goes well early, I was thinking I might take a flier on him either in round 1 or win and under 2.5. Do you think there is more value in a straight +125 than w and under 2.5? With all his drama currently going on with Dana White, it also made it feel like he’d likely go all out and not leave it to the judges.

  19. #32279
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Leafs/Islanders over 5.5 -105

    Oilers/Flames over 1.5 -145 first period.

  20. #32280
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    I am teasing both of the overs

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