Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #32101
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Serious question Simpdog

    Should I ride or buy off my
    Toronto Maple Leafs/Vegas Golden Knights over 1½ -135 for 1st Period

    Toronto Maple Leafs/Vegas Golden Knights over 6 -102

    What’s your lean?
    I'm fine with the overs. I'm on first period with you.

    Both teams should be rested and rusty and ready to go.

    Speaking of rusty did you hear Rask signed with Boston?

     
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      Sanlmar: Surprised me. Thx.
    Last edited by simpdog; 01-11-2022 at 01:08 PM.

  2. #32102
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Forgive me I have sinned

    Gs -2 or seeya at GA tomorrow

  3. #32103
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Serious question Simpdog

    Should I ride or buy off my
    Toronto Maple Leafs/Vegas Golden Knights over 1½ -135 for 1st Period

    Toronto Maple Leafs/Vegas Golden Knights over 6 -102

    What’s your lean?
    I'm fine with the overs. I'm on first period with you.

    Both teams should be rested and rusty and ready to go.

    Speaking of rusty did you hear Rask signed with Boston?
    Three more VGK on the Covid list. I took some ML Toronto. This may all work out after all.

  4. #32104
    Platinum JeffDime's Avatar
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    Fairly certain I won’t be betting the Sony Open and therefore no Golf this weekend. Just too many guys and I can’t narrow it down. I’ve thought of price shopping and putting a number of outright bets out. But bricking would suck. I may throw a couple of bucks on a long shot or two. Right now leaning towards laying off.

    BTW if your in NY please don’t waste the Ceaser’s promo on a few hundred bucks. It is a true match up to 3K with a 1X rollover at -300 odds. I know there’s been fail but be patient. If you deposit 3 K you could even rollover the 6K slowly with smaller bets. Would be very hard to not come out with profit.

  5. #32105
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    Warriors down by 8 at half. I peeked at the second half line to see if the Warriors were going to be given too much respect and something crazy like -8. Nope, only -3. Looks like books have caught on that as good as this team is, when it is losing to another good team it isn't just going to necessarily make a furious comeback.

  6. #32106
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    I grabbed another small bet at half. Curry will go off at some point

  7. #32107
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Forgive me I have sinned

    Gs -2 or seeya at GA tomorrow
    What Can I Bring With Me To Treatment?

    Rehabs have very strict policies about what you can bring with you to treatment. Most centers provide a recommended packing checklist and a list of prohibited items.


    On the other hand your NHL probably can allow you to indulge your nasty NBA habit for a while

    1P Toronto W

  8. #32108
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post

    Lol I'm a Vikings fan and love Rodgers. Just enjoy his personality. I watch him on Macafee's show every week. Ben seems like a fucking boring dolt.
    Woulda sworn you’d be a Georgia man Kalem. We move on.

    My dumb 3 team parlay building value after Avalanche. Look at Av’s 1st period overs and 3rd period overs Simp. Both are like 25-4. You look it up.

    Gut is a made sports guy with me. The Pat MacAfee Show. Never heard of him. Which tells you something about me. 3 hours is a lot. I’m in. If you have a Rodger clip that will help your client’s case I will give it an impartial listen.

    Speaking of Rodgers …. Tom Brady should be celebrating his 22nd year in Boston. Belichick was occasionally leading the Coach of the Year conversation so he proves his point. Brady got another ring and is at it again so he proved his case. Wish the kids coulda patched things up.
    Here is todays, just the Rodgers part.


     
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      Sanlmar: I’m on it shortly

  9. #32109
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    I'm fine with the overs. Over 6 W I'm on first period with you. W

    Both teams should be rested and rusty and ready to go.

    Speaking of rusty did you hear Rask signed with Boston?
    Three more VGK on the Covid list. I took some ML Toronto W. This may all work out after all.
    I’m starting to feel bulletproof. I keep running pretty darn good

    They all cash.

    No hedging. I’m still the same spineless, scared nit but you gave me confidence Simp.


    I took PL Boston over the homeless and hapless Canadiens

  10. #32110
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Look at Av’s 1st period overs and 3rd period overs Simp. Both are like 25-4. You look it up.
    .
    It occurs to me that someone may actually be tailing me like they did during my Overnight Shit Shows.

    I would be neglectful if I didn’t hammer away at the 1P’s. Simp is working so he is too poor to participate like we used to.

    The Avalanche cashed again 1P & 3P. The numbers are ridiculous. I don’t even look them up anymore.

    Tomorrow, in addition to Boston PL we are on the Toronto (anonymous goalie) vs the woeful Coyotes. 1P over.

    Dallas and Kraken 1P over too.

    When in doubt - 1P over until they start posting 2’s.

    You pretty much gotta get down overnight cause the books and the public are slowly catching on. You gotta work up a unit that you are gonna use for the long haul cause this is a daily deal.

    Scoring is insane. Covid is your friend. Soon the games need to be made up and back to backs are gonna be regular. Canadien teams aren’t playing in Canada and those will be made up. Teams sloppy and exhausted and sick. Only I can handicap this. The books are clueless. They stay focused on basketball and playoffs we pray.

    Oh, yeah, Simp. You said something about Curry coming thru. Isn’t he mired in some kind of huge slump? Eeech.

    There is shit going on tomorrow so I will stop monopolizing this space.

    Australian Open is coming up. Sleepless

  11. #32111
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Mrazek will be in net.

    Leafs gave up another lead last night which is why I wasn't interested in them preflop....

    Montreal's last game = Jan 1. Boston has played 5 games since then. It won't be their AHL team this time but maybe a Boston/Toronto parlay is in the works.
    Last edited by simpdog; 01-12-2022 at 05:41 AM.

  12. #32112
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    BetOnline

    Odds Booster - Daily Booster - NHL Booster - Bruins, Stars & Leafs all to Win - Was +160 NOW +200

    Sprinkle or smash

  13. #32113
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Are they trying to compete with the onshore books?

    I like the +200 odds, but wouldn't bet my house on it.

    Matthews has goals in 8 straight road games. Arizona is his hometown. I'm taking goal and > shots when they list them (if they dare).

  14. #32114
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Are they trying to compete with the onshore books?

    I like the +200 odds, but wouldn't bet my house on it.

    Matthews has goals in 8 straight road games. Arizona is his hometown. I'm taking goal and > shots when they list them (if they dare).
    I rarely bother with them. In fact, I don’t even know how long they have been offered. Never noticed them before. I see a lot more promos and contests now so I would say yes, they are competing for my dollar.

    I’m doing more player props. Been having some luck which reinforces the habit. I have been trained to hate the juice.

    Auston Matthews of the Toronto Maple Leafs will score 2 or more goals against the Arizona Coyotes +300

    Not the greatest value but I did it. Anyone else you like ?

    Toronto is the problem child tonight. Wedgewood’s numbers are better. There were many nights he stood on his head. I liked Coyotes goalie tandem a lot. Shitty defense in front of them and they are getting ground to dust.

    Yeah, Rask tomorrow. Not offered yet.

    I love love love Leafs over 6

    Like Druff always says, “overs and favorites”.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 01-12-2022 at 02:05 PM.

  15. #32115
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Serious question Simpdog

    Should I ride or buy off my
    Toronto Maple Leafs/Vegas Golden Knights over 1½ -135 for 1st Period

    Toronto Maple Leafs/Vegas Golden Knights over 6 -102

    What’s your lean?
    True story -

    I went to Vegas and played in the ME. After I busted Mrs Daly and I went to breakfast the next day and I did a quick search on what was going on in town and saw the Knights were playing. Snap bought tickets on stub hub, a half a four person table. Awesome seats, awesome time I’ll be a bruins fan always but I Guess Vegas is now my West cost team.

    Now I needed a bet. After abusing Shot on Goal props for years I know enough that home ice advantage, or the ability to match up last at a face off, makes a huge difference in gameflow. Looked at the home games and noticed they were running 80% 6 goals or more. Snap purchased the over 5.5 -120.

    Cashed with :20 left in the second period.

    Ever since that day back in November I’ve bet the over when at home and I swear it’s still running 75%.

  16. #32116
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrPeters View Post
    georgia -3

    Going to do the thing I hate the most in this thread but I’ll post date my approval on this. Georgia was the only posible play.

    Vegas was not going to put out a line that got them to take in 85% of spread and ML volume and money and have it blow up on them. Not the national championship game with nothing else on to bet on.

    Well done gents - looks like this thread was pro Georgia.

    Going to be a very very interesting off-season. Caleb Williams is the with-out-a-doubt best college QB in the world right now and he is effectively a feee agent. Wild times. (My guess is he ends up at USC, but that’s not going on a limb).


    My longer term prediction is within 5 years Texas will win a NC and become the new Alabama.

    Everyone always knows that Harvard has the largest endowment in the world. What nobody seems to know is Texas is #2. They love football. College football just became a game of who has the largest wallet.

  17. #32117
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    Quote Originally Posted by JeffDime View Post
    Fairly certain I won’t be betting the Sony Open and therefore no Golf this weekend. Just too many guys and I can’t narrow it down. I’ve thought of price shopping and putting a number of outright bets out. But bricking would suck. I may throw a couple of bucks on a long shot or two. Right now leaning towards laying off.

    BTW if your in NY please don’t waste the Ceaser’s promo on a few hundred bucks. It is a true match up to 3K with a 1X rollover at -300 odds. I know there’s been fail but be patient. If you deposit 3 K you could even rollover the 6K slowly with smaller bets. Would be very hard to not come out with profit.

    Kind of mad Bryson pulled out. He was a bad fit here and he was pulling in dollars from golfers I wanted to bet.

    Small bets on Lieshman, Gooch and Web. My matchup at the current price is My boy Si Wu > Dahmen at -115
    K Hickock at 100-1 for first round is worth a stab at the price on offer.

    If you have been on this thread for at least two years you know I’m a Cam Smith fan. He’s got a great game with that Morikawa combo of Irons and putting (he’s might be the best putter on tour). Loved him at +4000 last year. He got as high as 5 but it was a strange year for Augusta where weather really mattered and he caught a bad draw. He finished the year looking fucking good. What he did last weekend was amazing and to do it while
    Holding off the clearly deserving world number 1 was even more impressive. By the way, thats the second time he’s held off Rham in a final round for those of you keeping score in the bleachers.

    I personally didn’t wait for the ending of the tournament and I jumped on about as much of Cam for Augusta as I could at +3000 or better. He’s down to +2500 now at most shops. He continues to look good and wins or top 5’s across Hawaii and Florida the next weeks/months and he’s going to be in the high +1000’s with the rest of the second favorites. Don’t be afraid to throw a little on if you like to be invested on the masters. I don’t think it will be less than the current offer from here out.

  18. #32118
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Never came back to address Stroud…. God Fucking Damn that hurt.

    I never wish Ill will on college kids but if Tank Bigsby (Auburn RB) stubs his toe hard one night I won’t feel sorry for him. He gets tackled in bounds on the final auburn drive and Stroud wins the Heisman, Bama misses the playoffs. Fuck that hurt for the amount of $$ I could have won.

    Feels good “being right”. Would of rather of been rich.

  19. #32119
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    San. AHL goalie in for Montreal now

  20. #32120
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Remember the days when Utah was consistently a low-scoring, defense-oriented team?

    Look at them now.

    It has been about a month since both teams didn't score over 100 in a Utah Jazz game.

    In 2022, totals have been: 239, 219, 224, 230, 238, 242

    Today I'll do this:

    Cleveland at Utah - Over 223.5

    COVID basketball though, at least on Utah's side

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