Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #29241
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    Quote Originally Posted by padre33 View Post
    Suns 2nd half -2 -105 Over 2nd Half Suns 114.5..

    If we build a big lead here in the 3rd going to bet off some.

    Added a little Blazer +7.5 and more over 223.5..

    Lets scoop one

     
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      Sanlmar: Wow

  2. #29242
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    Quote Originally Posted by padre33 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by padre33 View Post
    Suns 2nd half -2 -105 Over 2nd Half Suns 114.5..

    If we build a big lead here in the 3rd going to bet off some.

    Added a little Blazer +7.5 and more over 223.5..

    Lets scoop one

    3 wins and a tie is plenty good after blowing a 9 point lead and being down 3 with 35 seconds left. Big baseball slate tomorrow later I'll post plays so you can fade Pipes..

  3. #29243
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    Get down early...feeling good.. Im ahead

    [Quote: Originally Posted by BIGfnPOO]HURRY. ST LOUIS. +153 MAY 12. choke mfers

    12-10 +27.40


    May 14th friday
    HOU Astros 05/14/2021 (05:10 PM)
    -1½ Runs -119 for the Game
    Z. Greinke(must start) W. Benjamin(must start)

    MIA Marlins 05/14/2021 (07:10 PM)
    Money Line +191 for the Game
    S. Alcantara(action) C. Kershaw(action)

    Baseball - MLB
    [ NY Mets 05/14/2021 (04:10 PM)
    Money Line +136 for the Game
    - D. Peterson(action) T. Glasnow(action)

    BAL Orioles 05/14/2021 (04:05 PM) (Pending)
    Money Line +167 for the Game
    D. Kremer(action) C. Kluber(action)

    Gd Luck. fade it... follow... all gambling...

     
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      Sanlmar: 4 very interesting ideas.

  4. #29244
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    MLB Weekend Series Plays:

    Already on Cleveland -135

    TB RAYS -125

    Red Sox -135

    A’s +110

    Considering: Miami +317

    In hockey, looking at:
    Wash Caps +142
    FL Panthers +137

    Any other NHL Series to consider?

  5. #29245
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    For NHL series I grabbed

    Tampa -135
    Carolina -240

    Carolina has moved heavily on a couple sites.

    Last year I went all dogs first round and made a mint. The bubble got rid of any home arena advantage and covid in general had everyone messed up.

    This year I expect an upset or two but the first round seems pretty straightforward to me.

  6. #29246
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    For NHL series I grabbed

    Tampa -135
    Carolina -240

    Carolina has moved heavily on a couple sites.

    Last year I went all dogs first round and made a mint. The bubble got rid of any home arena advantage and covid in general had everyone messed up.

    This year I expect an upset or two but the first round seems pretty straightforward to me.
    Why Tampa? Florida seemed to have their number in regular season

  7. #29247
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I was leaning Florida too.

  8. #29248
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    For NHL series I grabbed

    Tampa -135
    Carolina -240

    Carolina has moved heavily on a couple sites.

    Last year I went all dogs first round and made a mint. The bubble got rid of any home arena advantage and covid in general had everyone messed up.

    This year I expect an upset or two but the first round seems pretty straightforward to me.
    Why Tampa? Florida seemed to have their number in regular season
    1. Kucherov
    2. Stamkos

    IMO it's going to be a good, tough series but Tampa in 6 over here.

    Tampa -135
    Carolina -240

    Forgot my dog pick. Winnipeg +175. Might be able to get a better price as people keep unloading on the Oilers.

    Winnipeg mailed it in the last portion of the season almost lost down to 4th place. But IMO they have the best goalie in the North division and a solid team to go with it.

  9. #29249
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I was leaning Florida too.
    IMO Tampa mailed it in this year and also gamed the salary cap.


    I'll agree with you that it isn't an easy series and it will go 6 games. But I just can't see Tampa losing first (or second) round.

  10. #29250
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    badguy used to call the grounds crew. I’m making a spot start

    Jays are one of the two best offenses atm. As stated a number of times, Jays start slow. Maybe you wanna get cute and risk crying if they go off 1st inning. I won’t tell you how to live your life. I’ve been playing pre flop and live. Jays made the total themselves last night. Ridiculous.

    I was careful to verify the correct ballpark for the vagabond Jays.

    Name:  941788DF-7F26-4F9A-AE7A-B2DC5160476E.jpeg
Views: 175
Size:  425.4 KB

    Parlay +170
    Hockey - 6 Colorado Avalanche -219
    Baseball - 931 Philadelphia Phillies/Toronto Blue Jays over 10½ -117

    If you have a car payment due today and can’t wait til Avs win tomorrow take the over straight up. I did that too.

    Why am I fucking around with defi when we have the Jays?

    Parlay +192
    922 Chicago White Sox - Game 2 -191
    925 Cleveland Indians -109

    Doubleheaders are dangerous but so am I
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-14-2021 at 11:35 AM.

  11. #29251
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    Red Sox -118

  12. #29252
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's an injury-laden NBA game where I have a lean.

    Pelicans are missing Ingram, Williamson, Adams, and Ball. Warriors are missing Green, Curry, Wiggins, Oubre, and of course Thompson.

    I think the Pelicans have the edge here, according to my calculations/analysis.

    Also, while the Mavericks are missing Kleiber, the Raptors are without Siakam, Lowry, Anunoby, and VanVleet. Take the under.

    Toronto at Dallas - Under 219.5
    New Orleans +100 at Golden State (up to -1 ok)

  13. #29253
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Here's an injury-laden NBA game where I have a lean.

    Pelicans are missing Ingram, Williamson, Adams, and Ball. Warriors are missing Green, Curry, Wiggins, Oubre, and of course Thompson.

    I think the Pelicans have the edge here, according to my calculations/analysis.

    Also, while the Mavericks are missing Kleiber, the Raptors are without Siakam, Lowry, Anunoby, and VanVleet. Take the under.

    Toronto at Dallas - Under 219.5
    New Orleans +100 at Golden State (up to -1 ok)
    What calculations are we talking about here please?

  14. #29254
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    Also

    Clippers at Houston - Under 225 (George, Kawhi, Jackson, Beverly, Wood, House all out)

    Last minute

  15. #29255
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    What calculations Druff?

  16. #29256
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    What calculations Druff?
    I don't make that public. The picks are free, people can take them or leave them.

    Today it's probably better to have left them. I think I'm going to quit betting totals on these "everyone's not playing" games, because they are so unpredictable. This Clippers game is the second one I badly missed on in recent times.

    The Dallas under is kind of a toss-up right now, and New Orleans is down by 12 in the 2nd, so that ain't good. Again, that's a game of a bunch of nobodies on both sides.

  17. #29257
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    This is going to be a real easy to track weekend at the Byron.

    One golfer.

    Home course. Couldn’t wait to get home last week for it.

    Wide forgiving fairways. 3 Very eagleable par 5’s

    Rest of the field is going to be worried about the PGA. DJ already WD. Rham only other top 10 guy going to show up.

    Give me Bryson.
    I was at the casino and thought hard about this one, but was actually scared of Spieth in Texas. I didn’t bet it.

    I guess I should have been scared of whole field.

    This tournament moved to new club in 2018. -23 won first two. -17 through Friday and the cut at -7. Is this place the easiest course on the tour? I can’t ever recall seeing so much of the field -10 or better through Friday. Course seems like it’s just a joke considering so few of the top guys are even there.

  18. #29258
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, what I've been doing lately in the NBA hasn't been working in this late stage of the season. I'm going to make some adjustments this weekend, as it looks like I'm headed to 0-3 today.

    That puts me to a 6-game losing streak (barring some miracle comeback in one of tonight's picks), making me 17-29 since April 19th. There was some substantial bad luck in there, including a few games where I had something like +350 or +400 and lost very close ones. So that could have made a huge difference. But I batted .000 on my moneyline picks in that stretch, and the totals/sides were overall losers, too.

    This also unfortunately drops me into the red for the season, despite being up 10 units on April 18th.

    After tonight's likely 0-3, I'll be -3.58 units for the season in NBA. Obviously that's not a deep hole, so I'll need to bear down to finish the season in the positive. I don't plan to pick much in the playoffs, as those games tend to be very solidly lined.

  19. #29259
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Actually while I wrote that woe-is-me rant, the scoring died in the 4th of the Dallas game, so my under is back alive.

  20. #29260
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    Nope.

    Close, but not quite. 17 point 4th at 5:53 left me with hope, was actually a small favorite to win at that point.


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