Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #22801
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    That’s cool. Off it. Not flippin NBA coins
    Im going off those jan 15 numbers still which blows, but at least gives us a decent enough sample for both teams...

    like I said, Im VERY surprised that the 76ers spilts were even home/road ATS in Q1....wouldn't expect that from a team that has only 7 wins on the road...

    just put it in the coffee fund...

  2. #22802
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two NBA unders

    Memphis vs. Detroit - Under 223.5
    Sacramento vs. Minnesota - Under 225.5

  3. #22803
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    san...dragic 3 pointer with 2 seconds left...

    oh well...was a coinflip where MIA was down for most of it....we got that part right...

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    san...dragic 3 pointer with 2 seconds left...

    oh well...was a coinflip where MIA was down for most of it....we got that part right...
    I ran hot as the sun since the college bowl season. I even got the Chiefs last night small.

    People gamble more when they are down than when they are up. At least I do. I’m kinda content right now and afraid to give it back.

    I’ll get hungry again eventually

    As I get older my refractory period gets longer. Lol.

    Don’t wait up for me.

  5. #22805
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    What is this BetOnline?

    Free money?

    Name:  
Views: 
Size:
    Will the super bowl winner score a point in their first game next year?

    BOL always does this sort of thing. BnP gave us a heads up last year. Neverforget

    These ‘tards goofed on the post. I mean that’s amazingly careless. NFL Special Specials???? C’mon guys

    I kinda knew just looking at the line what it was and bet $25 just for lulz. Not sure the limit. Nothing was posted

  6. #22806
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    san...dragic 3 pointer with 2 seconds left...

    oh well...was a coinflip where MIA was down for most of it....we got that part right...
    I ran hot as the sun since the college bowl season. I even got the Chiefs last night small.

    People gamble more when they are down than when they are up. At least I do. I’m kinda content right now and afraid to give it back.

    I’ll get hungry again eventually

    As I get older my refractory period gets longer. Lol.

    Don’t wait up for me.
    This in large part is why casinos always win and typically win big.

    Eat like a bird and shit like an elephant.

  7. #22807
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    Name:  3FD9271D-3009-482A-8F9B-A64011DD514E.jpeg
Views: 359
Size:  127.1 KB

    This is a ticket from my host’s client. All winners into last night. Almost got there.

     
    Comments
      
      Daly: This is why we can’t have nice things

  8. #22808
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I ran hot as the sun since the college bowl season. I even got the Chiefs last night small.

    People gamble more when they are down than when they are up. At least I do. I’m kinda content right now and afraid to give it back.

    I’ll get hungry again eventually

    As I get older my refractory period gets longer. Lol.

    Don’t wait up for me.
    This in large part is why casinos always win and typically win big.

    Eat like a bird and shit like an elephant.
    The degen in me makes me want to do this too, so I try to keep my bets all the same size.

    Today I'm ok because I went 2-0.

  9. #22809
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post

    This in large part is why casinos always win and typically win big.

    Eat like a bird and shit like an elephant.
    The degen in me makes me want to do this too, so I try to keep my bets all the same size.

    Today I'm ok because I went 2-0.
    I was speaking of frequency not size

    nice work yesterday

    Miami Heat 31 pt win. Phila has to be hung over. Great idea that we passed on.

  10. #22810
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    Nevada casinos record big Super Bowl win

    Feb. 4, 2020 2:13 PM ET|About: Caesars Entertainment Cor... (CZR)|By: Clark Schultz, SA News Editor

    The Nevada Gaming Control Board reports that casinos in the state won $18.8M on $154.7M in wagers for the Super Bowl.

    The win percentage of 12.1% is the highest of the last ten years.

    The total wager amount was up 6% from a year ago, a decent increase considering the rapid growth of sports betting options outside of Nevada.

  11. #22811
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simp

    Oilers +110 v Coyotes?

    So many good dog wins lately that I just may be chasing the feel good.

  12. #22812
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two NBA unders

    Memphis vs. Detroit - Under 223.5
    Sacramento vs. Minnesota - Under 225.5
    I tailed the Memphis one. Coulda lowered that by 20+ points n still no sweat.

  13. #22813
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two NBA unders

    Memphis vs. Detroit - Under 223.5
    Sacramento vs. Minnesota - Under 225.5
    I tailed the Memphis one. Coulda lowered that by 20+ points n still no sweat.
    The weird thing was that the first 11.5 minutes were awful (68 points), and then the 2nd was very low scoring (38) and the 3rd historically low (29).

  14. #22814
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Just one pick on this light day:

    Charlotte at Houston - Under 223 - Westbrook out

  15. #22815
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    San and GBCP and simp and whoever else, please chew on this 1Q strategy:

    - Find game where it's a lopsided matchup

    - Examine betting patterns. Barring major injuries causing influence, if line is dropping for favorite, fire 1Q

    - Profit


    The reason?

    Barring major injury, the reason the line drops for the favorite is because sharps are firing on the dog. However, often these dogs still fail to get the job done, often fading in the second half when the better team kicks it into higher gear and/or the worse team starts to run out of steam (or their plays get figured out). I've seen so many of these dogs I've bet on get fucked in the 4th as the better team blows past them.

    However, I've noticed in these type of games (with the conditions noted above) that the worse team holds it together well in 1Q, and sometimes even wins outright.

    Opinions?

  16. #22816
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    The Lakers game meets this criteria if anyone cares. Might be a good test.

  17. #22817
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    Is the 245.5 line for the Bucks/Pelicans game the highest non-All-Star NBA totals line in history?

    I bet it is.

  18. #22818
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    San and GBCP and simp and whoever else, please chew on this 1Q strategy:

    - Find game where it's a lopsided matchup

    - Examine betting patterns. Barring major injuries causing influence, if line is dropping for favorite, fire 1Q

    - Profit


    The reason?

    Barring major injury, the reason the line drops for the favorite is because sharps are firing on the dog. However, often these dogs still fail to get the job done, often fading in the second half when the better team kicks it into higher gear and/or the worse team starts to run out of steam (or their plays get figured out). I've seen so many of these dogs I've bet on get fucked in the 4th as the better team blows past them.

    However, I've noticed in these type of games (with the conditions noted above) that the worse team holds it together well in 1Q, and sometimes even wins outright.

    Opinions?
    It’s an interesting look.

    I suspect that with regard to the Laker game it’s more a story where the Lakers wreck them in the 3rd and load manage the 4th and thus allow the back door cover.

    I have a hunch there is a look ahead for Lakers too

  19. #22819
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    I fired on Spurs +3.5 +100 1Q
    +4 -115 also available

    We will see.

  20. #22820
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    Milwaukee, a game I was considering betting and now wish I did (Bucks was my planned bet), is very much like what I described for 1Q.

    Pelicans covered 1Q, then collapsed in the 3rd.

    A bet on Pelicans 1Q and Milwaukee for the game would have been money.

    My Houston under isn't looking good anymore. 1Q was okay, but 2Q has a million points scored.

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