Amazing how every game has a garbage TD that fucks the overwhelmingly bet favorites the past few weeks.
Amazing how every game has a garbage TD that fucks the overwhelmingly bet favorites the past few weeks.
Conners down to Plus 2000, Daly, even though he’s afternoon wave & hasn’t struck a ball yet. Good call getting him +3000. Morning wave isn’t exactly lighting it up so it’s pushing the prices lower for the late tee guys.
As for a Valimaki, fucker had another bogey free day but just 4 birdies. He’s putting more like Stevie Wonder than Bez. I am more frustrated at giving the pick out than it losing for myself. It does look like Sully may just be a runaway train. He continues the way he is going it wouldn’t of mattered anyways. Still, Valamaki has lost 5 or 6 strokes to the field putting. He should be 6 behind. Not 11.
It will be back to mainly matchups and three balls etc. I just felt strong that there was value last two weeks. Appreciate you looking out. Can't swing for fences every week. No question.
By the way the obvious answer for golf this weekend was right in front of us the whole time.
icket #146674716
November-30,12:33:49 PM INTERNET/-1
December-06,4:00:00 AM
TNT TO WIN SOUTH AFRICAN OPEN
[72501] CHRISTIAAN BEZUIDENHOUT +750
I think I wasn’t very clear in my response. By all means go ahead and fire at tournaments Every week so long as you feel you got a edge and are able to identify the “horses for courses”.
My point of “getting caught up” I meant more emotionally. You could be really good at this and pick a winner once every 3-4 months. Some weeks you are dead money after day 1. Best baseball player still makes an out 70% of the time sort of thing. There is a reason why books offer 30-1 + on most winners..... it’s hard to pick one
Sami was -7 today, tied for 19th at -13
Basically a day too late....but turning it into a +EV bet if he throws up another decent round tomorrow.
They did split tees so I had fell asleep after he started with 5 pars and then his first bogey of the tournament. At that point no way I thought he would shoot anywhere near 65. I guess I wish he had that bogey earlier because he finally started scoring like I knew he could. Unfortunately, he will run out of race track, which happens in golf outrights a lot, especially when the leaders all went low the first 2 and a half days. It is frustrating because his prices are inflated because he is not a UK player, overly flashy etc. He does everything pretty well. He won’t be a one hit wonder. He has the game. I was hoping to hit him with the inflated price.
Daly, I know what you mean about not getting emotionally caught up. When Tommy missed the 2 footer and lost the playoff to Aaron Rai (Who looks like a 25 Handicap with two gloves on and iron covers) I will admit I steamed. I have steamed more this year than in a while. Of course, there’s a lot of factors going on this year, but at the end of the day that is on me. So it’s always good to get a wake up call and I appreciate you looking out. Nice bet on Bez, none of the Jersey Books even took action on that tournament but I did see him +700 on the offshore books. Nice bet. Hope he goes back to back for you.
Is William Hill following this thread? Speak of the Devil and he shall appear.
Anybody on Louisiana vs App St? I'm leaning ULL but seems like a coin flip..
I think we get to keep that one. It just rolls off the tongue to well (No pun intended). It's also almost universally used to insult a straight guy and not as a gay slur. I have dropped the f word from my vocab a while ago. I like to keep CS in my back pocket for special occasions. Special occasions meaning every time I lose a bet.
It’s decision time.
Am I actually going to violate the “Fade All Michigan Teams Rule” and take Michigan St +23.5 vs Ohio? This is an awful awful spot for Ohio.
tbh I actually have Lions +3.
I might have a lot in common with those tweener girls who cut themselves.
Ohio State -23.5
Texas Tech o62.5
As bad as Ohio States dbs are, I struggle to see MSU score more than 17. Ohio State will be mid 40s minimum. Who had Covid wasn’t released, but I know it isn’t Fields. I had my buddy ask last week before game was cancelled, and he found out Fields had it before the season, and it wasn’t publicly released, still hasn’t been, so that’s all the really matters on offense given how deep they are everywhere else.
Kansas gives up a ton to everyone. TT will need to score most of total themselves, which I expect.
I made that post before I saw yours San. It wasn’t in response to.
I’m out - this is a sketchy Covid coin flip
Until the Buckeyes release their Game Day Status Report on Saturday morning we don’t know anything. They are flying in late tonight for a noon time kickoff.
BYU vs those frauds, Coastal Carolina, needs our focus
I almost wrote down BYU -11. I just don’t trust that last minute fly across country thing for non scheduled game.
They’ll probably win 48-14. That’s what my gut says, but I’m hesitating for some reason. I’ll probably fire on it if Buckeyes look good. BYU in Covid season is probably perfect. They are all married with kids already. No bars. Everything already closed at 9 Pm.
Daly--
any college football bets we should be looking at for tomorrow?
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