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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #21161
    Quote Originally Posted by handicapme View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Trying to get even which means I suck, but nonetheless I like the Dallas u50 tonight
    You were saying?

     
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      handicapme: A+
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  2. #21162
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Eagles +3
    O50


    -cowboys already up 14-0. Oops.


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  3. #21163
    Hey San missed you at the GA meeting. Heard you were with GBCP at some expensive lobster dinner with all your winnings.


    Sorry in advance my friend, but I feel strongly about this one.

    World Series Game 1 Run in first inning - NO - 185.

  4. #21164
    I wasn’t at GA cause I was capping football. I spent time every day last week on college and NFL. In the end I made only one bet preflop and two live. Result 1-0-1

    We had some luck early in the season. We had some luck jumping lines early in the week. I think that has all passed now that the season is mature. It’s all baked in. It’s all pretty sharp now. I have no edge. Football is so high variance anyway. I am wasting my time.

    Then there is the fact that I don’t particularly enjoy watching NFL anymore. 5 second play followed by 5 minutes of critical video analysis. I can’t do it anymore. It is like a figure skating routine followed by a judges review for EVERY FUCKING PLAY. No thanks.

    But let’s keep it real. Ravens Lamar Jackson is the best show in football atm. I live bet that game at the jump. If that shitty turf in Seattle was dry I wonder what might have happened. Incredible until he gets rekt. I will tune in again to Ravens.

    In the mean time, I am not up to speed on hockey. I am aware the books have made a lot of changes. I am oblivious to this year’s trends. Need to study.

    Okay, now Baseball
    I have 8 units of Astros goodness waiting for me.

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    I already popped +350 on Astros AL Champs.

    I think I’m good. All I have to do is buy beer.

    Your -185 NO
    I have been auto betting playoff 1st inning YES. That has run pure. Nobody else seemed to latch onto it.

    So you got some nerve.

    I love Scherzer. Incredible pitcher who squandered his best years in Detroit. Another stupid team that refused to get relievers for playoff run. Year after year. His desire for a ring to validate his career while he is still in top form is probably out of control. You see it. His biggest fear has gotta be ending up a footnote like Kershaw. It takes Scherzer a while to settle down. He needs whatever Greinke is taking.

    Thus, Scherzer poses your biggest risk. It’s no secret he starts games over amped and his fastball flattens out. Is he uncoachable? For the love of god every fucking playoff game it’s the same thing.

    At the same time, this is the playoffs and these are professional hitters spending days on end studying Corbin.

    The playoff baseball has so far been de-juiced. What baseball will MLB roll out tomorrow? That’s an issue for you.

    I took a little taste of this. It assumes a short series with stellar pitching and no juiced balls. That’s a big ask

    MOBILE - MLB SERIES PROPS - WORLD SERIES - SERIES RUN TOTAL - UNDER +50Ĺ RUNS +100
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-21-2019 at 10:55 AM.

  5. #21165
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I wasnít at GA cause I was capping football. I spent time every day last week on college and NFL. In the end I made only one bet preflop and two live. Result 1-0-1

    We had some luck early in the season. We had some luck jumping lines early in the week. I think that has all passed now that the season is mature. Itís all baked in. Itís all pretty sharp now. I have no edge. Football is so high variance anyway. I am wasting my time.

    Then there is the fact that I donít particularly enjoy watching NFL anymore. 5 second play followed by 5 minutes of critical video analysis. I canít do it anymore. It is like a figure skating routine followed by a judges review for EVERY FUCKING PLAY. No thanks.

    But letís keep it real. Ravens Lamar Jackson is the best show in football atm. I live bet that game at the jump. If that shitty turf in Seattle was dry I wonder what might have happened. Incredible until he gets rekt. I will tune in again to Ravens.

    In the mean time, I am not up to speed on hockey. I am aware the books have made a lot of changes. I am oblivious to this yearís trends. Need to study.

    Okay, now Baseball
    I have 8 units of Astros goodness waiting for me.

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    I already popped +350 on Astros AL Champs.

    I think Iím good. All I have to do is buy beer.

    Your -185 NO
    I have been auto betting playoff 1st inning YES. That has run pure. Nobody else seemed to latch onto it.

    So you got some nerve.

    I love Scherzer. Incredible pitcher who squandered his best years in Detroit. Another stupid team that refused to get relievers for playoff run. Year after year. His desire for a ring to validate his career while he is still in top form is probably out of control. You see it. His biggest fear has gotta be ending up a footnote like Kershaw. It takes Scherzer a while to settle down. He needs whatever Greinke is taking.

    Thus, Scherzer poses your biggest risk. Itís no secret he starts games over amped and his fastball flattens out. Is he uncoachable? For the love of god every fucking playoff game itís the same thing.

    At the same time, this is the playoffs and these are professional hitters spending days on end studying Corbin.

    The playoff baseball has so far been de-juiced. What baseball will MLB roll out tomorrow? Thatís an issue for you.

    I took a little taste of this. It assumes a short series with stellar pitching and no juiced balls. Thatís a big ask

    MOBILE - MLB SERIES PROPS - WORLD SERIES - SERIES RUN TOTAL - UNDER +50Ĺ RUNS +100
    Are you hedging your Astros bets at all? Nationals are biggest WS dogs in a decade so at least you're getting the max if you do right now.

    I liked the Astros for the AL for quite some time. Yankees built for regular season home run records/Dodger-like win totals but they need pitching.

    Washington does have pitching....I think +200 is value for the series.

  6. #21166
    Don’t bet the Nats series +200 now. You wouldn’t do that unless you think they win tomorrow. In which case you bet the game at +200.

    If Nats lose the first game the series price goes up.

    Right?


    No hedge yet for me. Cole is historic good. Maybe a little after game #1

    NBA
    Look at those NBA totals tomorrow. 231 & 225.5

    Be interesting to see if Druff licks his finger and inserts it in the under socket again.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 10-21-2019 at 03:43 PM.

  7. #21167
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I need some help.

    I just saw Biden at +500 to win the Democratic nomination, which is a fucking steal. It's on BetOnline, and I fired the maximum $500. on it.

    You should, too.

    Where else can I get action at +400 or better? Bovada has me cut off on props.

    I don't see it on 5Dimes.

    Can someone suggest a book with a good payout history and stable existence (since I'll be waiting til June to get it) to fire on this?

    As I said, don't say Bovada or Betonline, because those options are done.

    I want to fire like $2500 more.

    Predictit is also +400 but their fees are so bad that it essentially gets reduced to +335 if I win. (They have a 10% fee on "profits" and a 5% withdrawal fee, so a $2500 bet at +400 would win $10k, but then I would pay $1000 in immediate fees plus $625 in withdrawal fees, taking my win down to $8375.)

  8. #21168
    Iím gonna stick my neck out there and say Verm took the Jets tonight.

  9. #21169
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Whatís the worst

    Getting aids +250
    That Star Wars Trailer +125
    That halftime show performance -900

  10. #21170
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    What’s the worst

    Getting aids +250
    That Star Wars Trailer +125
    That halftime show performance -900
    Excuse me. Charlie Puth has more talent than Sam Darnold

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    Last edited by Onestep; 10-21-2019 at 06:55 PM.
    It is in my bones which sucks so can make it hard to move sometimes. Trying to spend as much time with friends and family.

  11. #21171
    Quote Originally Posted by Onestep View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    What’s the worst

    Getting aids +250
    That Star Wars Trailer +125
    That halftime show performance -900
    Excuse me. Charlie Puth has more talent than Sam Darnold
    Just tuned into start of 4th quarter.

    Even the booth has given up.

    Dreadful

     
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      Onestep: Check pics

  12. #21172
    I am anything but a Patriots fanboy and I’m a bit ashamed but I have to come clean

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    Got any Lamar Jackson pics, Onestep?

     
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      Tellafriend: Baltimore will be their biggest test

  13. #21173
    @tellafriend...going to be a helluva game to watch...I have a feeling lamar is gonna see a shitton of schemes/looks that he's never seen before...

     
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      Tellafriend: Can’t wait

  14. #21174
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I am anything but a Patriots fanboy and Iím a bit ashamed but I have to come clean

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    Got any Lamar Jackson pics, Onestep?
    I have CMC, Luke Kuechly, Kupp or my newest favorite Trey Quinn
    It is in my bones which sucks so can make it hard to move sometimes. Trying to spend as much time with friends and family.

  15. #21175
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    @tellafriend...going to be a helluva game to watch...I have a feeling lamar is gonna see a shitton of schemes/looks that he's never seen before...
    Game of the year.

    Generational athlete vs Belichickís brain

  16. #21176
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    @tellafriend...going to be a helluva game to watch...I have a feeling lamar is gonna see a shitton of schemes/looks that he's never seen before...
    Game of the year.

    Generational athlete vs Belichickís brain
    they just posted a stat on SVP...

    pats have won 20 straight against 1st or 2nd year QBs, most in NFL history...

    interesting

  17. #21177
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Game of the year.

    Generational athlete vs Belichick’s brain
    they just posted a stat on SVP...

    pats have won 20 straight against 1st or 2nd year QBs, most in NFL history...

    interesting
    Darnold 3.8 QBR

    Take Jets v Jacksonville .... it is classic NFL buy low angle

  18. #21178
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    @tellafriend...going to be a helluva game to watch...I have a feeling lamar is gonna see a shitton of schemes/looks that he's never seen before...

    I bet he ainít going to consistently see anything truly unconventional. The Patriots will use the games vs KC and Balt to test things out and see what works and what doesnít. They know trey have a Bye all but wrapped up so long as Brady doesnít get hurt.

  19. #21179
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If you have a book that is still hanging OU At -23.5 jump now. My guess is even if you hate the bet you will
    Find +24.5 by Sat if not more.

  20. #21180
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    @tellafriend...going to be a helluva game to watch...I have a feeling lamar is gonna see a shitton of schemes/looks that he's never seen before...

    I bet he ainít going to consistently see anything truly unconventional. The Patriots will use the games vs KC and Balt to test things out and see what works and what doesnít. They know trey have a Bye all but wrapped up so long as Brady doesnít get hurt.
    I feel ya on that...belechick isn't gonna blow his load on a regular season game, but still think he's gonna give ol' lamar a few things to think about...just to fuck with him in case they meet in January...

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