Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #27821
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Tb getting the opening kickoff should be -200 or worse.

    100% of KC wins toss

    50/50 if TB wins, but I’d lean closer to 66/33

  2. #27822
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    5 NBA games today, believe it or not. All morning and early afternoon, slated to end before the Superbowl. I'm looking at them presently.

  3. #27823
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Only came up with one.

    A moneyline.

    Charlotte +105 vs. Washington

  4. #27824
    Inaugural Spring Classic Champion HoodedN's Avatar
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    Daly, you really betting against the goat? Not the news I was hoping to see today
    #ToddsPlan

  5. #27825
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    He's been inconsistent and against KC offense, you cant make mistakes.


    I suspect they'll be down at the half 17-10 or 20-13, and Brady will try but not be able to mount a comeback this time.

  6. #27826
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoodedN View Post
    Daly, you really betting against the goat? Not the news I was hoping to see today
    I’m a pats/Brady homer from way back. I was at the snow bowl (aka tuck rule game). So as a fan I’d love to see #12 win another one.

    Mahomes is 19-1 in his last 20. Obviously vs the spread it’s not near that good. Some things you just can’t overthink. Can’t read the previous and not arrive at KC ML as a lean. Now that being said there is way more Tampa money coming in then the books expected is the early news I’m seeing in media as well as some wise guys I know. Maybe they know something I don’t.

  7. #27827
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by HoodedN View Post
    Daly, you really betting against the goat? Not the news I was hoping to see today
    I’m a pats/Brady homer from way back. I was at the snow bowl (aka tuck rule game). So as a fan I’d love to see #12 win another one.

    Mahomes is 19-1 in his last 20. Obviously vs the spread it’s not near that good. Some things you just can’t overthink. Can’t read the previous and not arrive at KC ML as a lean. Now that being said there is way more Tampa money coming in then the books expected is the early news I’m seeing in media as well as some wise guys I know. Maybe they know something I don’t.

    I think the easier bet is the O/U. I don't see it being as fast to start off with, so 27.5 1st half Under seems like a good guess and if you want to follow that logic under for the game as well

  8. #27828
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Nba autobets yesterday 1-3. Record on year 5-4.

    Knicks are now > 70% unders so adding them to the list.

    Knicks under 207


    Half bet Charlotte/Washington under 238.5

     
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      Dan Druff: I like the Knicks bet... doing it too

  9. #27829
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Nhl 2-1 yesterday

    Dallas -155 moneyline for game
    Vegas in regulation -170
    Wash/Philly over 6

  10. #27830
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    Anyone looking for Bucs +3 vig free for up to 1K PM me.
    It’s +3 Tampa with juice

    You can get KC -3 +100 now all you can eat.

    I’m just wading in now but what are the ramifications of -2.5 KC? Can you imagine?


    I see this as a flippament and hold KC small. I don’t really have a dog in this fight but I am quite sure Andy Reid hasn’t slept a wink in 2 days. He’s no prize under the best of circumstances.

    I like the way the KC coaching staff has minimized the Super Bowl distractions here.

    There have been some heated arguments in the Sanlmar household. Like not kidding. The passion surprised me.

  11. #27831
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, as much as I hate low lines like this in 2021, I decided I like this last-minute under

    Miami at New York - Under 207

  12. #27832
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Only came up with one.

    A moneyline.

    Charlotte +105 vs. Washington
    GL i jumped on also- good recovery after bad start lol
    BALLIN'!!

  13. #27833
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    Most likely going this route

    KC ML
    Under 56

    Props

    Under 330.5 Passing for Mahomes
    Under 50.5 Rushing Fournette
    Over 5.5 Rec Godwin
    Either team scores within 1st 7 min of the game

  14. #27834
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    About 15 minutes before kickoff, open your betting site/apps and bet unders on the most popular players in the game

    Especially Mahomes / Hill and Kelce

    Fish have already bet a lot of this stuff up and when the pros keep pounding it back down the fish keep betting the overs back up

    Do not be the fish, think like the pros and take advantage

     
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      Daly: This

  15. #27835
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    Brad Beal will drag the Wiz over the line

     
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      Sanlmar: smooth tennis $ ... wish I tailed
      
      badguy23: Stock to Craig List Hookers plz

  16. #27836
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Nhl 2-1 yesterday

    Dallas -155 moneyline for game
    Vegas in regulation -170
    Wash/Philly over 6 LOL
    Doin the work before the fun.

    They towed my small used car away so I’m still sore. Resisting urge to smash bets and dinnerware. Just grinding the hockey wins on your back.

  17. #27837
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simpdog

    I don’t want you change a single thing you are doing..... however... a conversation we had recently about GSAA really got me thinking and watching.

    Nobody and I mean nobody is using any kind of hockey analytics.

    I recently watched a video somewhere. Some touts or whatever you wanna call them were making hockey picks. May have been wagertalk on YouTube. Panel of guys. Not once did anyone talk about analytics. Not even Corsi. Fuck, they don’t even talk about who is in goal.

    This isn’t an indictment of Wagertalk (if that was them). I have seen some others and they are no different. Again, what is especially stunning is NOBODY talks about even who is in goal. It’s like betting baseball and ignoring the pitcher.

    Hockey wagering is in the fucking Stone Age. Hockey and tennis are the frontier gentlemen. Sell your possessions and head west.

    Last time I digress from NFL. Good luck

     
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      Starbucks Spunk Bucket:

  18. #27838
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    Quote Originally Posted by Starbucks Spunk Bucket View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Only came up with one.

    A moneyline.

    Charlotte +105 vs. Washington
    GL i jumped on also- good recovery after bad start lol

    My hero!! lol
    BALLIN'!!

  19. #27839
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I took Hockey VGK/Kings to score more in 1P than SuperBowl 1Q.

     
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      simpdog: Touch down

  20. #27840
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    I took Hockey VGK/Kings to score more in 1P than SuperBowl 1Q.

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