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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #13881
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Current lines for next week are Patriots -10.5/47.5 (Started at -7.5) and Vikings -3.5/38. I think I like over in Patriot game and under in Viking game.
    TY for the advice.

    Betting under in the Pats game and Over in the Vikings game.

     
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      Tellafriend: solid

  2. #13882
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm officially ice cold again.

    2-8 in the last 10.

    0-2 today. Phoenix got destroyed. Minnesota under had a bad 1st quarter, then a great 2nd, then a great first 4 minutes of the 3rd (to where the pick looked very likely to win), and then horrible from that point forward. It lost by 11.

    113-87-2 is now my record. I'm mired in a 15-25 slump since December 31.

    Amazingly, I even ran badly on a pick I would have made but woke up too late -- where the Knicks blew a huge lead and then lost by 5 in OT. So even when I'm oversleeping and not betting/picking, I still get unlucky in the games I would have picked! LOL

  3. #13883
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    You know Belichick watched that second half and will have a solid plan how to attack the Jags defense right out of the gate. While they have been mostly good they were terrible in the second half and also shown leaks in a few other games such as letting Garrapolo destroy them a few weeks ago.

    Once it gets to -10 or higher I'd probably stop but right now you have to roll with them.

  4. #13884
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    So did the Vikings have to kick the extra point? Or nah?

     
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      cleatus: Yeah, ya dumb fuck.
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

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  5. #13885
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    So did the Vikings have to kick the extra point? Or nah?
    Took a knee

  6. #13886
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    So did the Vikings have to kick the extra point? Or nah?
    In regulation they have to kick the XP. In OT they dont

  7. #13887
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    So did the Vikings have to kick the extra point? Or nah?
    In regulation they have to kick the XP. In OT they dont
    And they didn't want a fight to break out so they took the knee.

    And everyone who took Minnesota cried.

  8. #13888
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    EARLY NBA:

    Charlotte +3

    Game begins 9:35am PST

  9. #13889
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    In regulation they have to kick the XP. In OT they dont
    And they didn't want a fight to break out so they took the knee.

    And everyone who took Minnesota cried.
    Don't think it had anything to do with a fight. I think if they kick the P.A.T. it is fine. If they trot out there and run a 2 point conversion possibly a fight.

    Problem is their is so much chaos and the P.A.T. team can't be organized etc... so they took a knee. I have seen situations before where they just lineup and kick it but last night was different because of all of the chaos

  10. #13890
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    And they didn't want a fight to break out so they took the knee.

    And everyone who took Minnesota cried.
    Don't think it had anything to do with a fight. I think if they kick the P.A.T. it is fine. If they trot out there and run a 2 point conversion possibly a fight.

    Problem is their is so much chaos and the P.A.T. team can't be organized etc... so they took a knee. I have seen situations before where they just lineup and kick it but last night was different because of all of the chaos

    KC earlier this year took a knee in an identical situation.

  11. #13891
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    And they didn't want a fight to break out so they took the knee.

    And everyone who took Minnesota cried.
    Don't think it had anything to do with a fight. I think if they kick the P.A.T. it is fine. If they trot out there and run a 2 point conversion possibly a fight.

    Problem is their is so much chaos and the P.A.T. team can't be organized etc... so they took a knee. I have seen situations before where they just lineup and kick it but last night was different because of all of the chaos
    The game is 100% over at that point, I personally don't think they should ever kick the point there.

  12. #13892
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by chinamaniac View Post
    Don't think it had anything to do with a fight. I think if they kick the P.A.T. it is fine. If they trot out there and run a 2 point conversion possibly a fight.

    Problem is their is so much chaos and the P.A.T. team can't be organized etc... so they took a knee. I have seen situations before where they just lineup and kick it but last night was different because of all of the chaos
    The game is 100% over at that point, I personally don't think they should ever kick the point there.
    I suspect the reasoning is that in theory that if the other team were only down by 1, they could muff the snap and the other team could run it back for 2. having to take that snap is part of a touchdown in regulation, and the rules are diff in overtime.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Nail On The Head Rep

  13. #13893
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Finally hit one with Charlotte. Nice to break the losing streak, even if it's just one game.

    Look at the Warriors game. Total is 235.

    It's still going up.

    Highest total line ever for a non-All-Star game, to my knowledge.

  14. #13894
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    More NBA, after a lot of analysis and thought, where I considered and rejected several possible picks.

    Here's the one I'm doing:

    Sacramento +11.5

    Also, I think I will hit the Golden State under, which sits at 235 right now, but may actually get higher, so I'm waiting to bet it.

    I will officially post it when I actually take it. This is one of the few bets I'm doing based upon feel alone. My usual numbers don't necessarily justify it, but I'm looking at doing the under here for two reasons:

    1) 235 is an insanely high total, and if the slightest scoring drought occurs, the under will likely cover. They have to maintain almost 60 points per quarter, which is very tough when actually trying to play some D (i.e. not the all star game). Of course games do happen over 235, but to basically get a 50/50 proposition on such a total is very tempting.

    2) This is an extremely high profile game for obvious reasons. I believe the teams will be coming at each other very hard, and easy baskets will not be as plentiful.

    I'm not officially betting or posting it yet, but that's prob the way I'm going.

  15. #13895
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well I fired on the Golden State under. I could have had 235 -107. By waiting I got 234.5 -110. Oops. But now it seems to be falling, so I took it.

    Anyway, that's the pick.

    Golden State under 234.5

     
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      Charham: On it. Gl to all of us.

  16. #13896
    PFA Radio Host Drexel's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well I fired on the Golden State under. I could have had 235 -107. By waiting I got 234.5 -110. Oops. But now it seems to be falling, so I took it.

    Anyway, that's the pick.

    Golden State under 234.5
    Got it at 234.

    Let’s see what you got.


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  17. #13897
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    238.5 live. Can still get it. One scoring drought please.

  18. #13898
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Maybe line should have been 250. Live line 246.5. LOL

    What a mess.

    Well, it's still early and a scoring drought can fix all of this.

    My Sac +11.5 is quietly off to a good start.

  19. #13899
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm liking this 2nd quarter much better.

    Live line down down to 238.5 again, though now 5 points just quickly hit.

  20. #13900
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Maybe line should have been 250. Live line 246.5. LOL

    What a mess.

    Well, it's still early and a scoring drought can fix all of this.

    My Sac +11.5 is quietly off to a good start.
    I bet the u234.5 pre game, u246.5 live. I’m hoping it slows way down and I get both but I’d live with middling myself

    Also on Sac +11
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

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