Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 45

Thread: Betting on WSOP final table

  1. #1

    Betting on WSOP final table

    Todd,

    I noticed that the Westgate has numbers up on the final table and wondered if you could give me your opinion. I know there's plenty of juice with these lines but the degenerate I am still craves the action.

    Long time listener first time caller, (of sorts)
    Vegasvic

    Jorryt Van Hoof 11/4
    Felix Stephenson 4/1
    Mark Newhouse 9/2
    Andoni Larrabe 7/1
    Dan Sindelar 7/1
    Martin Jacobson 8/1
    William Pappaconstantinou 10/1
    William Tonking 12/1
    Bruno Politano 15/1

  2. #2
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
    Reputation
    1068
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    7,196
    Welcome to the forum.

    I'll be in Vegas this weekend & I'm gonna see about putting a little bet on Mark Newhouse just for the sweat.
    (_) ..
    ∫\ \___( _)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  3. #3
    I was thinking the same considering Newhouse's track record the last two years. Just not sure 9/2 is enough.

    Im a big hockey fan as well and really look forward to tomorrow. Thanks for the welcome.

  4. #4
    I know nothing about his mtt game but ive played a lot limit cash games with him since last years FT and whatever leaks whether drugs or whatever seem to have been sorted out. Hes a very smart, nice kid and gave off no hint of anything but good clean livin. Also his gf is a favorite in most 60/120 commerce lineups.

  5. #5
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
    Reputation
    1068
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    7,196
    Should be able to get a line on this at any CET property I would assume.
    (_) ..
    ∫\ \___( _)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  6. #6
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
    Reputation
    4510
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    31,120
    Blog Entries
    2
    Quote Originally Posted by varys View Post
    I know nothing about his mtt game but ive played a lot limit cash games with him since last years FT and whatever leaks whether drugs or whatever seem to have been sorted out. Hes a very smart, nice kid and gave off no hint of anything but good clean livin. Also his gf is a favorite in most 60/120 commerce lineups.
    There is no 60/120 lineup anymore. Game almost never goes these days.

    Oh, and welcome to the site, Vic.

  7. #7
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
    Reputation
    1376
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    9,968
    Blog Entries
    20
    They had a segment with Mark Newhouse on tonight's WSOP broadcast. Mark says he is a degenerate and it's the life that he lives!

    Starts about 6:25 in:


  8. #8
    Slightly better odds on Mark right now at Bovada:

    Jorryt van Hoof (38,375,000 Chips) 57/20 (+285)

    Felix Stephensen (32,775,000 Chips) 4/1 (+400)

    Mark Newhouse (26,000,000 Chips) 5/1 (+500)

    Andoni Larrabe (22,550,000 Chips) 7/1 (+700)

    Dan Sindelar (21,200,000 Chips) 15/2 (+750)

    Martin Jacobson (14,900,000 Chips) 8/1 (+800)

    Will Pappaconstantinou (17,500,000 Chips) 10/1 (+1000)

    William Tonking (15,050,000 Chips) 12/1 (+1200)

    Bruno Politano (12,125,000 Chips) 16/1 (+1600)

  9. #9
    Gold Salty_Aus's Avatar
    Reputation
    165
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Gold Coast, QLD, Australia
    Posts
    1,069
    I'm tempted to have an interest bet, Betfair's current odds.

    Name:  Capture.JPG
Views: 357
Size:  54.3 KB

  10. #10
    Jorryt Van Hoof 11/4
    Felix Stephenson 4/1
    Mark Newhouse 9/2
    Andoni Larrabe 7/1
    Dan Sindelar 7/1
    Martin Jacobson 8/1
    William Pappaconstantinou 10/1
    William Tonking 12/1
    Bruno Politano 15/1

    Only move at the Westgate is Dan Sindelar from +700 to +650 but with the final table just 9 days away Im sure there will be more. Come on Todd. Wheres the sharp money at?

  11. #11
    Name:  scan0001.jpg
Views: 268
Size:  202.0 KB

     
    Comments
      
      Tyde: wow risking a whole 22.75 and then posting your screenshot....what a knob
      
      Hockey Guy: & Tyde has the audacity to whine when someone trolls him.

  12. #12
    Banned
    Reputation
    1175
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    TRUMP 2020
    Posts
    6,515
    Newhouse at 9/2 looking pretty damn good imo

  13. #13
    Platinum mulva's Avatar
    Reputation
    331
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Posts
    4,803
    Blog Entries
    4
    chip leader is a good player. odds suck though. i like larrabe @ odds
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    Newhouse at 9/2 looking pretty damn good imo

    Tyde: wow risking a whole 22.75 and then posting your screenshot....what a knob

    Can you post a current screenshot of any of your accounts with more than $22.75 in them?

     
    Comments
      
      SrslySirius:

  15. #15
    [QUOTE=shortbuspoker;311871]
    Tyde: wow risking a whole 22.75 and then posting your screenshot....what a knob
    1. That's all I have it that account.
    B. Just showing support for Mark.
    3. Funny coming from a guy who spams the forums with his $3 tourney hand histories.
    C. GFYT

     
    Comments
      
      Baron Von Strucker: LoL

  16. #16
    I do understand that the juice on these future prop bets is hard to overcome, (around 23% house hold). Add in the variance of tournament poker and this really is a crap shoot.

    ......................odds......probability#
    Hoff................11/4...........27%
    Stephenson......4/1...........20
    Newhouse.........9/2..........18
    Larrabe.............7/1..........12
    Sindelar............7/1...........12
    Jacobson...........8/1..........11
    Pappa...............10/1.........9
    Tonking.............12/1.........8
    Politano.............15/1.........6

    Newhouse has shown the ability to mix it up and difficult to range. Granted he’s run ridiculously well from the limited coverage I’ve seen so far from ESPN but when you factor in his experience with this venue and owning a competitive chip stack, (unlike last year), it’s not surprising he’s everyone’s player to watch. I love his position with the two top stacks directly to his right. But does he really own 18% equity? It’s difficult for me to imagine him, or anyone, winning this twice if they played it out ten times.

    All that being said I’m probably going to follow Reno and Tyde.

  17. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Vegasvic View Post
    I do understand that the juice on these future prop bets is hard to overcome, (around 23% house hold). Add in the variance of tournament poker and this really is a crap shoot.

    ......................odds......probability#
    Hoff................11/4...........27%
    Stephenson......4/1...........20
    Newhouse.........9/2..........18
    Larrabe.............7/1..........12
    Sindelar............7/1...........12
    Jacobson...........8/1..........11
    Pappa...............10/1.........9
    Tonking.............12/1.........8
    Politano.............15/1.........6

    Newhouse has shown the ability to mix it up and difficult to range. Granted hes run ridiculously well from the limited coverage Ive seen so far from ESPN but when you factor in his experience with this venue and owning a competitive chip stack, (unlike last year), its not surprising hes everyones player to watch. I love his position with the two top stacks directly to his right. But does he really own 18% equity? Its difficult for me to imagine him, or anyone, winning this twice if they played it out ten times.

    All that being said Im probably going to follow Reno and Tyde.
    There's 9 players, so of course if they played it 10 times someone would have to win at least twice.


     
    Comments
      
      DRK Star: math'd
      
      SrslySirius: MATH AND FURY
      
      zealanddonk: Prop bet hustlah!

  18. #18
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
    Reputation
    1068
    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Canada
    Posts
    7,196
    Is this on tonight?

     
    Comments
      
      DRK Star: I saw it listed as tomorrow at 4pm east.....someone please post if not
    (_) ..
    ∫\ \___( _)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  19. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by shortbuspoker View Post
    Tyde: wow risking a whole 22.75 and then posting your screenshot....what a knob

    Can you post a current screenshot of any of your accounts with more than $22.75 in them?
    You've seen his cords of wood, you know hes good for it.
    When faced with a difficult decision, ask yourself "What would Micon do?", then do the opposite.

    PFA Rookie of the Year 2012: The Templar (unknown)
    PFA ROTY 2013: Jasep $5000+
    PFA ROTY 2015: Micon's gofundme legal defense $3k begging for 100k:
    PFA ROTY 2018: 4Dragons
    PFA ROTY 2019: Special nom: Dutch Boyd poker dealer

  20. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    Is this on tonight?
    I believe tonight they broadcast the recorded play down to the final table.

    Found this on cardplayer:
    2014 World Series of Poker Main Event ESPN TV Schedule
    Nov. 9th 9:00-11:00 PM ET WSOP Main Event Championship
    Nov. 10th 9:00 PM ET WSOP Main Event Championship Final Table (LIVE)
    Nov. 11th 9:00 PM ET WSOP Main Event Championship Final Table (LIVE)

    Edit:
    ESPN2 website
    WSOP 11/10 8:00 PM EST 2014 World Series of Poker Presented by Gentleman Jack (Final Table)
    Last edited by Reno; 11-09-2014 at 02:22 PM.
    If you are thinking of joining Ignition Casino, I'd appreciate the chance to get the referral bonus.

Thread Information

Users Browsing this Thread

There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)

Similar Threads

  1. Odds posted by two online sportsbooks for WSOP Main Final Table odds
    By Dan Druff in forum Poker Community Discussion
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 08-16-2014, 12:40 PM
  2. Replies: 10
    Last Post: 06-07-2014, 10:14 AM
  3. WSOP APAC Event #5 Final Table Stream. Daniel N. 1/4 ATM
    By Hockey Guy in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 14
    Last Post: 04-15-2013, 10:07 AM
  4. Final Table Live Streaming
    By Corrigan in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 127
    Last Post: 11-01-2012, 02:03 AM
  5. possible attempted collusion at $3K NL Shootout final table
    By shortbuspoker in forum Flying Stupidity
    Replies: 11
    Last Post: 06-22-2012, 10:10 AM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •