Originally Posted by
SrslySirius
Average field size at the 2013 WSOP was 1,281. It will probably be bigger this year, but let's be conservative and assume it's the same.
Your average break-even player has a 0.07% chance of winning each event. But Phil Ivey is a superhuman genius and can will himself to win flips via telekinesis, or maybe edge sorting, so he has an ungodly 600% ROI and 0.4% chance to win each event.
If he plays a grueling 45 event schedule, that gives him a 16.6% chance of winning a bracelet.
If we assume that Daniel Negreanu is equally god-like and puts in the same volume, we're still big favorites to win.