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Thread: Super Bowl Prop Bets

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Super Bowl Prop Bets

    Let's talk about what really matters. What I'm betting:

    Total points odd (-120): The most common margins of victory in the NFL by far are 3 and 7. If the margin of victory is odd the total is odd.

    Distance of longest enforced penalty over 15.5 yards (-125): Since personal fouls are 15 yards this is basically asking "will there be a pass interference penalty?" and I think there will be.

    Number of players with a pass attempt under 2.5 (-298): Not sure I will do this given the shitty payout. The Broncos won't let anyone but Manning pass because that would be retarded but I could see Seattle whipping out a trick play even though nobody except Wilson and his backup Jackson have thrown a pass all year. I'll probably not do it and regret it later.

    Shortest TD scored over 1.5 yards (+107)

    More points scored in 2nd half + OT (-132): Not great odds but NFL games usually score more in second half plus OT and Denver definitely does.

    Total number of missed FGs in game over 0.5 (-111): Just seems like there should be 1 miss in this game.

    How about everyone else?

     
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    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
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    Where are you betting these?

    Are you American?

    Whats a reliable site to signup for and wager?
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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Seattle -2.5 2.3/2 (At RB, where else).
    Sea +7.5/Under 54 2.2/2
    Sea ML/Under 48 1.6/5
    Sea +10/Over 41 2.6/2
    Sea +10/Under 55 3/2.5

    Will Renee Fleming wear gloves when she starts singing US National Anthem Yes 1/.5
    Renee Fleming wears gloves when she starts singing US National Anthem Black 1/1.5
    How long will it take Renee Fleming to sing the official US National Anthem Over 2:25 1/1
    Will Renee Fleming forget or omit at least 1 word of the official US National Anthem No 1/.3
    Will Knowshon Moreno cry during the signing of the National Anthem Yes .3/

    Jeff Green Total Points Orlando vs Russell Wilson Completions 3.1/2.5
    Jets/WPG Goals > J Thomas Rec 1/1
    Total Interceptions in the game > Henrik Zetterberg Points vs Washington 1.1/1
    Richard Sherman receive a pass interference penalty - No 1/.5
    Total Receiving Yards - Percy Harvin Over 45.5 1.4/1
    Total Receptions - Julius Thomas Under 5 2/1.5
    Total Receiving Yards - Wes Welker Under 57.5 1.1/1
    Total Rushing Attempts in the game - Knowshon Moreno Under 15 2/1.5
    Total TD Passes - Peyton Manning Under 3 2.1/1
    KJ Wright > 5 Tackles 1.1/1
    Total Rushing Yards - Russell Wilson (SEA) Over 32.5 1.1/1
    Total Tackles & Assists - Bobby Wagner (SEA) Under 10 2.3/2

    How many times will "Beast Mode" be said during the game Under 2 .6/.5
    How many times will Peyton Manning say "Omaha" during the game Under 27.5 1.2/1
    Reference to Seattle Seahawks #1 or Best Defense > Denver O 1.2/1

    Will Bruno Mars and the Red Hot Chili Peppers play a song on stage at the same time Yes 1/.5
    What will Bruno Mars be wearing on his head at the start of his halftime performance Fedora 1/.7
    Will any member of the Red Hot Chili Peppers be shirtless during their performance Yes 1.2/1
    Will the Halftime show break the record for most watched ever No 1/.5

    Which region will have the higher local TV Rating Denver 1.5/1

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    Where are you betting these?

    Are you American?

    Whats a reliable site to signup for and wager?
    Yes American. Bovada works, there are a few other books.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Let's talk about what really matters. What I'm betting:

    Total points odd (-120): The most common margins of victory in the NFL by far are 3 and 7. If the margin of victory is odd the total is odd.

    Distance of longest enforced penalty over 15.5 yards (-125): Since personal fouls are 15 yards this is basically asking "will there be a pass interference penalty?" and I think there will be.

    Number of players with a pass attempt under 2.5 (-298): Not sure I will do this given the shitty payout. The Broncos won't let anyone but Manning pass because that would be retarded but I could see Seattle whipping out a trick play even though nobody except Wilson and his backup Jackson have thrown a pass all year. I'll probably not do it and regret it later.

    Shortest TD scored over 1.5 yards (+107)

    More points scored in 2nd half + OT (-132): Not great odds but NFL games usually score more in second half plus OT and Denver definitely does.

    Total number of missed FGs in game over 0.5 (-111): Just seems like there should be 1 miss in this game.

    How about everyone else?
    I think the penalty one is a stone cold lock because of a long pass interference spot foul

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    Platinum JimmyG_415's Avatar
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    2/2/14 6:25pm Football NFL Seahawks vs Broncos Super Bowl XLVIII MVP - Marshawn Lynch (Seahawks) +425*
    2/2/14 6:30pm* NFL*Football* 101 Seattle Seahawks/Denver Broncos 1st Quarter Under 9½*-110**
    2/2/14 6:05pm* Props*Football* 923 K.Moreno has tear on cheek during Anthem +150* vs No tear on either cheek during Anthem*
    2/2/14 6:25pm* Props*Football* 972 Manning says "Omaha" under 27½ times +170* vs Manning says "Omaha" over 27½ times*

    2/2/14 6:25pm* Props*Football* 259 SEA total yards penalized -150* vs DEN total yards penalized*
    2/2/14 6:30pm* Reduced*Football* 101 Seattle Seahawks/Denver Broncos Under 47½*-101**
    [11133] TOTAL o31½-130 RUSSELL WILSON RUSHING YARDS
    [11212] TOTAL u1½-175 PEYTON MANNING RUSH ATTEMPTS
    [10222] NO SPECIAL TEAM OR DEF TD -200
    [10038] BRONCOS RECORD 1ST QB SACK -155
    [10206] NO SCO 1ST 6½ MINS OF 1ST QTR -110
    [11513] TOTAL o27½-120 KNOWSHON MORENO RECEIVING YRDS
    [3102] TOTAL u10-145 1Q
    [12032] RICHARD SHERMAN NO INT -300
    [10774] TOTAL u6-180 TOT PENALTIES AGAINST BRONCOS

    The omaha bet is based strictly on Daly's research.
    And Moreno said he always cries during the anthem, (if they don't show him I lose)
    Greg Cosell said Russell Wilson should have a big day running.

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    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Looking for Denver -2 for $100 paypal trusted regs

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    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lvpkr1009 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak View Post
    Let's talk about what really matters. What I'm betting:

    Total points odd (-120): The most common margins of victory in the NFL by far are 3 and 7. If the margin of victory is odd the total is odd.

    Distance of longest enforced penalty over 15.5 yards (-125): Since personal fouls are 15 yards this is basically asking "will there be a pass interference penalty?" and I think there will be.

    Number of players with a pass attempt under 2.5 (-298): Not sure I will do this given the shitty payout. The Broncos won't let anyone but Manning pass because that would be retarded but I could see Seattle whipping out a trick play even though nobody except Wilson and his backup Jackson have thrown a pass all year. I'll probably not do it and regret it later.

    Shortest TD scored over 1.5 yards (+107)

    More points scored in 2nd half + OT (-132): Not great odds but NFL games usually score more in second half plus OT and Denver definitely does.

    Total number of missed FGs in game over 0.5 (-111): Just seems like there should be 1 miss in this game.

    How about everyone else?
    I think the penalty one is a stone cold lock because of a long pass interference spot foul

    I am going to say the exact opposite. Players know how big the game is, and so do the officials. I don't think a penalty will be the big play in the game here, and if a PI happened over 19 years, it would be a big play
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    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Took under 27.5 omahas. -120

    Took First manning pass complete. -200

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Seattle -2.5 2.3/2 (At RB, where else).

    Jeff Green Total Points Orlando vs Russell Wilson Completions 3.1/2.5
    Jets/WPG Goals > J Thomas Rec 1/1
    Total Interceptions in the game > Henrik Zetterberg Points vs Washington 1.1/1
    What a shitty start. J Green is 1-12 from the field. Jets/Habs are tied at 2, thats less then I'd hoped. Zett has 2 points so I'm praying for a tie.

    On top of all of this, Its warm so she may not wear gloves and all I'm hearing now is that it's a recorded orchestra and shes going to sing it in about 2:05.

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    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Seattle -2.5 2.3/2 (At RB, where else).

    Jeff Green Total Points Orlando vs Russell Wilson Completions 3.1/2.5
    Jets/WPG Goals > J Thomas Rec 1/1
    Total Interceptions in the game > Henrik Zetterberg Points vs Washington 1.1/1
    What a shitty start. J Green is 1-12 from the field. Jets/Habs are tied at 2, thats less then I'd hoped. Zett has 2 points so I'm praying for a tie.

    On top of all of this, Its warm so she may not wear gloves and all I'm hearing now is that it's a recorded orchestra and shes going to sing it in about 2:05.
    Just out of curiosity, if the hockey game goes into a shootout & the final is recorded as 3-2 in a SO do they get credit for 3 goals or only the 2 they actually scored?

    BTW Zett has 3 points now so even if the scoring gets changed after review you should still be good on this one.

    Obviously hedge if you think your 2:05 info is good.
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    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

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    Gold abrown83's Avatar
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    I only have two, didn't bet the game and bet way too much on these.

    Seattle under 2.5 sacks, 2 and 1.5 for action all over the web on this. Denver has given up 0 sacks in the post season.

    Harbin as MVP only have 200 on this.

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    Platinum JUSTIFIEDhomicide's Avatar
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    Only bet Broncos over 24.5 -125
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    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Will Both Teams Make a 33 or Longer Field Goals (If No FG - NO WINS)
    Yes
    +110


    Net Yards -

    o702.5 (-115)



    Marshawn Lynch - Total Rushing Yards



    o95.5 (-115)

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    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by lvpkr1009 View Post

    I think the penalty one is a stone cold lock because of a long pass interference spot foul

    I am going to say the exact opposite. Players know how big the game is, and so do the officials. I don't think a penalty will be the big play in the game here, and if a PI happened over 19 years, it would be a big play

    Book it as a winner

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    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    well I got harvin 18-1 to win mvp have my fingers crossed

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    Diamond Walter Sobchak's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lvpkr1009 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by JUSTIFIEDhomicide View Post


    I am going to say the exact opposite. Players know how big the game is, and so do the officials. I don't think a penalty will be the big play in the game here, and if a PI happened over 19 years, it would be a big play

    Book it as a winner
    Wrong. There were two PIs in this game longer than 15 yards.

    I actually did ok since the penalty bet, total points odd and the second half plus OT scorin higher were my large bets. The others I went smaller.

    But I did lose my teaser, I hopped on it when the line opened as a pick so had Denver +6 and over 41. Oh well.

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    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    just before the game, I ask my gal to pick how many yards Manning will throw for and she says 280. I put the bet in.



    sick guess.

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    Gold handicapme's Avatar
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    under on the Omahas was a lock... he said it maybe once? However, over on how many times he said marshall would have won.

  20. #20
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    OMAHA!

     
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      chinamaniac: omaha rep! Mopped on that

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