NBA Player Props

[JimmyG_415]

I'm just starting this to keep track,
I'm trying a system and has paid well the last 2 weeks,

Then if it doesn't work out, I'll just delete the record from my signature, Shady J style, (j/K man)

1 unit across the board

[60010] TOTAL u20-110 PAU GASOL POINTS
[60018] TOTAL u12-120 KENDALL MARSHALL POINTS
[60022] TOTAL u10½-120 WES JOHNSON POINTS
[60027] TOTAL o18½-120 CHRIS BOSH POINTS
[60033] TOTAL o11½-115 RAY ALLEN POINTS
[60109] TOTAL o19½-130 TY LAWSON POINTS
[60118] TOTAL u12½-105 J.J. HICKSON POINTS
[60131] TOTAL o26-130 LAMARCUS ALDRIDGE POINTS

[BCR]

Will definitely track your picks. I love the NBA, but pretty much suck at picking games. From everything I've ever heard, props are too much juice to cover, but it seems you could certainly identify bad defenders and bad defensive teams. How much can you get down on these props? Seems the type of specialty where if you were any good the book would shut you down big time quickly.

[chinamaniac]

Will definitely track your picks. I love the NBA, but pretty much suck at picking games. From everything I've ever heard, props are too much juice to cover, but it seems you could certainly identify bad defenders and bad defensive teams. How much can you get down on these props? Seems the type of specialty where if you were any good the book would shut you down big time quickly.

The juice becomes less of a factor when u can destroy them at a high clip. My buddies prop guy has hit like 75 % the last year and a half on hockey and college football (daly, maybe he will chime in). Problem is books will slash you down to nothing when you cream them

[BeerAndPoker]

Player Props can be good if you find the right spots even at -120 or -130. The higher the vig then you better feel damn good about a bet.

I rarely bet the NBA until it's the last month of the regular season then for props I look at game totals and team totals playing unders considering who is jocking for a playoff spot or to improve their position.

[Daly]

Will definitely track your picks. I love the NBA, but pretty much suck at picking games. From everything I've ever heard, props are too much juice to cover, but it seems you could certainly identify bad defenders and bad defensive teams. How much can you get down on these props? Seems the type of specialty where if you were any good the book would shut you down big time quickly.

The juice becomes less of a factor when u can destroy them at a high clip. My buddies prop guy has hit like 75 % the last year and a half on hockey and college football (daly, maybe he will chime in). Problem is books will slash you down to nothing when you cream them

75%? Please - we (me and coach Igor) were hitting just under 80% on Shot on Goal props in hockey. College football was 69% and NFL was 65% though "my guy". His best sport is baseball but sportsbook.ag completely changed the types of baseball props the offered last season (would player X have a hit -220 etc).

You are correct about being cut. I've been cut by three different books as an "advantage prop player". Right now I'm working on Bovada Hockey.

The fact of the matter is if you know your shit do homework nightly and are selective you should be able to DESTROY books on props.

[simpdog]

[60010] TOTAL u20-110 PAU GASOL POINTS loss
[60018] TOTAL u12-120 KENDALL MARSHALL POINTS win
[60022] TOTAL u10½-120 WES JOHNSON POINTS win
[60027] TOTAL o18½-120 CHRIS BOSH POINTS win
[60033] TOTAL o11½-115 RAY ALLEN POINTS loss
[60109] TOTAL o19½-130 TY LAWSON POINTS loss
[60118] TOTAL u12½-105 J.J. HICKSON POINTS win
[60131] TOTAL o26-130 LAMARCUS ALDRIDGE POINTS win

looks like 5-3, nice.

[Sloppy Joe]

Congrats if you can win these at a decent clip, I watch so much NBA but almost never touch these, just so much variance.

Off topic, but I saw Ty Lawson live last week against Cleveland and couldn't have been more underwhelmed. Not that he's the next LBJ or anything but have always been impressed by him on TV.

Kyrie on the other hand...wow. So sick in person

[JimmyG_415]

I'm just starting this to keep track,
I'm trying a system and has paid well the last 2 weeks,

Then if it doesn't work out, I'll just delete the record from my signature, Shady J style, (j/K man)

1 unit across the board

[60010] TOTAL u20-110 PAU GASOL POINTS
[60018] TOTAL u12-120 KENDALL MARSHALL POINTS
[60022] TOTAL u10½-120 WES JOHNSON POINTS
[60027] TOTAL o18½-120 CHRIS BOSH POINTS
[60033] TOTAL o11½-115 RAY ALLEN POINTS
[60109] TOTAL o19½-130 TY LAWSON POINTS
[60118] TOTAL u12½-105 J.J. HICKSON POINTS
[60131] TOTAL o26-130 LAMARCUS ALDRIDGE POINTS

[60010] TOTAL u20-110 PAU GASOL POINTS -110
[60018] TOTAL u12-120 KENDALL MARSHALL POINTS +100
[60022] TOTAL u10½-120 WES JOHNSON POINTS +100
[60027] TOTAL o18½-120 CHRIS BOSH POINTS +100
[60033] TOTAL o11½-115 RAY ALLEN POINTS -115
[60109] TOTAL o19½-130 TY LAWSON POINTS -130
[60118] TOTAL u12½-105 J.J. HICKSON POINTS +100
[60131] TOTAL o26-130 LAMARCUS ALDRIDGE POINTS[/QUOTE] +100
Total +145

[Dan Druff]

Was going to post this yesterday but now will look like Monday morning quarterback.

I liked the K Marshall bet because he has not been scoring lately. Under 11 seemed great for him.

Gasol I didn't like because he's put up over 20 most games for awhile now.

[JimmyG_415]

So these are the games up to 5:00 pst
Not sure why, but my outs are not giving me a lot of player props today, which is weird since there is no CBB hardly.

I'm not sure I can over come the juice on these props.



[60023] TOTAL o14½-130 GLEN DAVIS POINTS
[60067] TOTAL o16½-130 THADDEUS YOUNG POINTS
[60270] TOTAL u12½-110 JARED SULLINGER POINTS
[60213] TOTAL o20½-130 MONTA ELLIS POINTS
[60310] TOTAL u22½-110 AL JEFFERSON POINTS
[60313] TOTAL o16-120 GERALD HENDERSON POINTS
NBA -Total Points Jeff Green (BOS) - Under 16½ Points -105
1/24/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 3422 T.Parker points under 20½ +110* vs T.Parker points over 20½*
1/24/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 3446 P.Millsap points under 19½ -120* vs P.Millsap points over 19½*

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

So these are the games up to 5:00 pst
Not sure why, but my outs are not giving me a lot of player props today, which is weird since there is no CBB hardly.

I'm not sure I can over come the juice on these props.



[60023] TOTAL o14½-130 GLEN DAVIS POINTS
[60067] TOTAL o16½-130 THADDEUS YOUNG POINTS
[60270] TOTAL u12½-110 JARED SULLINGER POINTS
[60213] TOTAL o20½-130 MONTA ELLIS POINTS
[60310] TOTAL u22½-110 AL JEFFERSON POINTS
[60313] TOTAL o16-120 GERALD HENDERSON POINTS
NBA -Total Points Jeff Green (BOS) - Under 16½ Points -105
1/24/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 3422 T.Parker points under 20½ +110* vs T.Parker points over 20½*
1/24/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 3446 P.Millsap points under 19½ -120* vs P.Millsap points over 19½*

I see the Sixers are playing. Whoever they are playing go big with total points for that team. Sixers have an awful defense and usually end up in shootouts

[ErickAA]

I never had much luck with them, but from what I have heard, NBA player props are one of the more beatable forms of sportsbetting. Of course, like someone else mentioned, the second you start winning the online books prohibit you from betting them, or cut your limit to $1 or something similar, so kind of pointless.

[JimmyG_415]

So these are the games up to 5:00 pst
Not sure why, but my outs are not giving me a lot of player props today, which is weird since there is no CBB hardly.

I'm not sure I can over come the juice on these props.



[60023] TOTAL o14½-130 GLEN DAVIS POINTS
[60067] TOTAL o16½-130 THADDEUS YOUNG POINTS
[60270] TOTAL u12½-110 JARED SULLINGER POINTS
[60213] TOTAL o20½-130 MONTA ELLIS POINTS
[60310] TOTAL u22½-110 AL JEFFERSON POINTS
[60313] TOTAL o16-120 GERALD HENDERSON POINTS
NBA -Total Points Jeff Green (BOS) - Under 16½ Points -105
1/24/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 3422 T.Parker points under 20½ +110* vs T.Parker points over 20½*
1/24/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 3446 P.Millsap points under 19½ -120* vs P.Millsap points over 19½*

NBA - Player Props - Indiana @ Sacramento - Total Points made by Lance Stephenson (IND) - Over 14½ Points -130
NBA - Player Props - LA Clippers @ Chicago - Total Points made by Jamal Crawford (LAC) - Under 18½ Points -105
1/24/14 8:00pm* Props*Basketball* 4651 J.Harden points over 25½ -110* vs J.Harden points under 25½*
1/24/14 8:00pm* Props*Basketball* 4622 M.Conley points under 19½ -130* vs M.Conley points over 19½*
1/24/14 8:00pm* Props*Basketball* 4631 Z.Randolph points over 18½ +100* vs Z.Randolph points under 18½*


I need to get the timing down, looks like the closer to game time the more plays open up.
Thought 2:00 PST would be late enough.
14 total, all for 1 unit.

[JimmyG_415]

Stephensen has 15 already, so for the day 6-8 -3.25

overall 11-11 -1.80

Juice is too high for my system.

[JimmyG_415]

I didn't post 3 yesterday and went 1-2, so this isn't going too good.
The formula they set the lines with, seems to be in line w the guy I want.
Like if a line -130 one way and +100 the other,
whether i want to go over or under it seems I have to pay the 30 cents.

1 unit for all picks unless noted.

MU [60012] TOTAL u19½-120 (TONY PARKER POINTS vrs TONY PARKER POINTS)
NBA - Player Props - San Antonio @ Miami - Total Points made by LeBron James (MIA) - Over 26½ Points -135






Does anyone know what that MU stands for? It has something to do w/props plays, but I can figure it out.

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

I didn't post 3 yesterday and went 1-2, so this isn't going too good.
The formula they set the lines with, seems to be in line w the guy I want.
Like if a line -130 one way and +100 the other,
whether i want to go over or under it seems I have to pay the 30 cents.

1 unit for all picks unless noted.

MU [60012] TOTAL u19½-120 (TONY PARKER POINTS vrs TONY PARKER POINTS)
NBA - Player Props - San Antonio @ Miami - Total Points made by LeBron James (MIA) - Over 26½ Points -135






Does anyone know what that MU stands for? It has something to do w/props plays, but I can figure it out.

The best I can come up with is Match Up. Unless you made the bets on a phone it could mean mobile something.

[JimmyG_415]

I didn't post 3 yesterday and went 1-2, so this isn't going too good.
The formula they set the lines with, seems to be in line w the guy I want.
Like if a line -130 one way and +100 the other,
whether i want to go over or under it seems I have to pay the 30 cents.

1 unit for all picks unless noted.

MU [60012] TOTAL u19½-120 (TONY PARKER POINTS vrs TONY PARKER POINTS)
NBA - Player Props - San Antonio @ Miami - Total Points made by LeBron James (MIA) - Over 26½ Points -135






Does anyone know what that MU stands for? It has something to do w/props plays, but I can figure it out.

ok, so looks like 1-1 -.35, 12-12 -2.15 overall

Wanted Carmelo OV29.5 but -1.55 was the lowest I could get it at.

[60067] TOTAL o15½-125 JODIE MEEKS POINTS
1/26/14 3:25pm* Props*Basketball* 3226 P.Gasol points under 20½ +110*

2nd time I'm taking Gasol under, (yet my system is mostly based on the defense, so it is a coincidence.)
I'm getting 10 cents, so everyone has him going over,
Druff said he thought he would go over last time, and he was right.

[JimmyG_415]

I didn't post 3 yesterday and went 1-2, so this isn't going too good.
The formula they set the lines with, seems to be in line w the guy I want.
Like if a line -130 one way and +100 the other,
whether i want to go over or under it seems I have to pay the 30 cents.

1 unit for all picks unless noted.

MU [60012] TOTAL u19½-120 (TONY PARKER POINTS vrs TONY PARKER POINTS)
NBA - Player Props - San Antonio @ Miami - Total Points made by LeBron James (MIA) - Over 26½ Points -135






Does anyone know what that MU stands for? It has something to do w/props plays, but I can figure it out.

ok, so looks like 1-1 -.35, 12-12 -2.15 overall

Wanted Carmelo OV29.5 but -1.55 was the lowest I could get it at.

[60067] TOTAL o15½-125 JODIE MEEKS POINTS
1/26/14 3:25pm* Props*Basketball* 3226 P.Gasol points under 20½ +110*

2nd time I'm taking Gasol under, (yet my system is mostly based on the defense, so it is a coincidence.)
I'm getting 10 cents, so everyone has him going over,
Druff said he thought he would go over last time, and he was right.

slipped in there
so 2-0 +2.1
14-12 - 0.05 over all

1/26/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 4021 B.Jennings points over 17½ -120* *

probably have more for the 6:00 pm games.

[JimmyG_415]

ok, so looks like 1-1 -.35, 12-12 -2.15 overall

Wanted Carmelo OV29.5 but -1.55 was the lowest I could get it at.

[60067] TOTAL o15½-125 JODIE MEEKS POINTS
1/26/14 3:25pm* Props*Basketball* 3226 P.Gasol points under 20½ +110*

2nd time I'm taking Gasol under, (yet my system is mostly based on the defense, so it is a coincidence.)
I'm getting 10 cents, so everyone has him going over,
Druff said he thought he would go over last time, and he was right.

slipped in there
so 2-0 +2.1
14-12 - 0.05 over all

1/26/14 7:30pm* Props*Basketball* 4021 B.Jennings points over 17½ -120* *

probably have more for the 6:00 pm games.

1/26/14 9:00pm* Props*Basketball* 4448 N.Batum pts+reb+ast under 25½ -110*
1/26/14 9:00pm* Props*Basketball* 4450 R.Lopez points+rebounds under 19½ +110* *

[JimmyG_415]

Jennings wins, but Lopez is looking like he will be an easy over.
15-12 + 0.95 w/2 pending.