What do you guys think the line will be set at? I think it will either be a pick em or a spread of less than 3. Should be a good game. Who do you think will win?
What do you guys think the line will be set at? I think it will either be a pick em or a spread of less than 3. Should be a good game. Who do you think will win?
At NE - Denver -5Originally Posted by TMMLK
At Denver - Denver -8
^^ seems rite too me
Making Denver a 5 pt favorite at New England would imply that they would be an 11 point favorite at home. Assuming 3 points for home field, the difference between the game being played at New England, and at Denver would be 6 points. I agree that Denver would likely be laying over a TD in Denver, so you can expect them to be a short road chalk at New England (likely 3).At NE - Denver -5
At Denver - Denver -8
I can't see it being 5+...New England has one of the best home records in the last 5+ years (over 90%) I mean Denver vs SD was a -7 spread (new england is a much better team) there tmmlk says 1.5 either way
The NFL is all about perception. If Denver beats KC and New England loses at Carolina (one of, if not the most underrated teams in the NFL) on MNF, the suckers will be lining up at the windows to get down their money on Denver so the line will likely be inflated by a point or 2. Peyton's cold weather struggles are well documented so the sharp (not always the right) side will definitely be New England.I can't see it being 5+...New England has one of the best home records in the last 5+ years (over 90%) I mean Denver vs SD was a -7 spread (new england is a much better team) there tmmlk says 1.5 either way
I thought you were quitting PFA, bottomset.
Belichick vs Peyton Manning +PatsThe NFL is all about perception. If Denver beats KC and New England loses at Carolina (one of, if not the most underrated teams in the NFL) on MNF, the suckers will be lining up at the windows to get down their money on Denver so the line will likely be inflated by a point or 2. Peyton's cold weather struggles are well documented so the sharp (not always the right) side will definitely be New England.I can't see it being 5+...New England has one of the best home records in the last 5+ years (over 90%) I mean Denver vs SD was a -7 spread (new england is a much better team) there tmmlk says 1.5 either way
Peyton ankles vs Brady hand +Pats
Home field. +Pats
Pats talent ? What a bag of balls. Yet I am done fading the Pats with Belichick as coach.
Will I touch this game? So far no. +me
Agree this should be a great game.
A Patriot fan here but have to pick the Broncos.
Payton Manning is unstopable.
fans didn't want me to leave...why so much hate on me recently? I thought we were cool - now in the past few weeks been trolling like crazy - get a life son
Carolina is the most underrated team in the NFL right now. Their defense is superb and creeping right up to KC for being #1 in the NFL which after Denver throws some points up this week on the Chiefs the Panthers might take over that spot. The Pats may put up some points on Carolina but I see the Chiefs giving up much more to the Broncos which it will be interesting to see the lines for next week after this weekend.The NFL is all about perception. If Denver beats KC and New England loses at Carolina (one of, if not the most underrated teams in the NFL) on MNF, the suckers will be lining up at the windows to get down their money on Denver so the line will likely be inflated by a point or 2. Peyton's cold weather struggles are well documented so the sharp (not always the right) side will definitely be New England.
Denver's defense has it's ups and down. Up at the beginning of the seaon and now down.
Still with an offense that can easily put up 50 points in a game Denver has to be a favorite over anyone.
in before KC beats den n PATS win by 4 tds
The line is totally dependent on this week first. Assuming both teams go in relatively unscathed I would guess either a pick or NE -1.
Keep in mind that it's a Sunday Night game in late November in NE, Peyton has struggled in cold weather in the past (I believe he is under .500 in cold weather games with a TD/Int ratio of close to 1/1), and the line moves based on wagers not the actual statistical probability of said team winning by x amount of points.
I write things about poker at my Poker Blog and elsewhere on the Internets
Just as I predicted with Denver beating KC and NE losing at Carolina, Heritage opened Denver -3 +100 and NE +3 -120. Pinnacle opened Denver -1 -135 presumably to combat the teaser action on NE. The early sharp money will be on NE so grab up the +3 while it is there. I expect it to settle around 1.5-2.
it's not always about you tmmlgehy you need to visit the site more often and my hunch is unlearn is a badbilly32 dupe and great readfans didn't want me to leave...why so much hate on me recently? I thought we were cool - now in the past few weeks been trolling like crazy - get a life son
My favorite bet in the NFL is a +2.5 dog at home. Go Pats!
TMMLK bang on like usual...PATS R GOD !!!!!
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