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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19681
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Wild game in Washington.

    2-0 Nationals, then 2-2, then 3-2 Padres on a wild pitch, then first-game rookie Carter Kieboom (who I have on my fantasy team, of all things) hits a game-tying HR in the bottom of the 8th.

    Then Renfroe takes Doolittle deep in the top of the 9th.

    Now I gotta hold my breath with Kirby Yates, who has been excellent so far in 2019.

     
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      Sanlmar: Wow.

  2. #19682
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    NYY/SF 1st inn 3 runs

    Simp, I’ve found somebody else.

  3. #19683
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    The one nice thing about overs is that when they hit, you can turn it off and relax. No bad beats possible.

    Nice last two days, racking up over 5 units to negate my recent slumping.

  4. #19684
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Crazy bottom of the 9th in that Padres game, btw.

    With a man on 1st and 2 out, Yates picks the guy off, but somehow both the call and the replay are blown. Video showed that he was out.

    Then 2 walks.

    Bases loaded, and who comes up but Carter Kieboom, the first-game rookie who had tied it in the 8th with a HR.

    2 quick strikes. Then almost a wild pitch. Then Kieboom chases it and the game is done.

    Couldn't be any closer.

    Can't feel bad for Kieboom, because he already hit the game tying HR in his major league debut. He did enough.

  5. #19685
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I went 3-12 in MLB between April 2 and April 16.

    I did fairly well both before and after that.

    Overall, I'm just about even. Here's the results:

    Hit them both again, to win 4 in a row and over 5 units in the past 2 days. This breaks me almost back even.

    Results:

    3/29-4/1:
    Underdogs: 4-3 (+1.95)
    Totals: 1-0-1 (+0.95)
    Favorites: 1-0 (+0.95)
    Overall: 6-3-1, +3.85 units

    (That was the last time I tallied the results.)

    Since 4/2:

    4/2:
    Colorado (Freeland) +158 at Tampa (Snell) - LOST -1
    4/3:
    Pittsburgh (Taillon) -105 vs. St Louis (Mikolas) - LOST -1
    4/4:
    Cincinnati (Mahle) +103 at Pittsburgh (Lyles) - LOST -1
    Atlanta (Fried) -116 vs. Cubs (Yu) - WON +0.86
    Total 4/4: 1-1, -0.14
    4/9:
    KC (Junis) -110 vs. Seattle (Gonzales) - LOST -1
    Yankees (Loaisiga) at Houston (Cole) - Under 8 -104 - LOST -1
    Total 4/9: 0-2, -2.00
    4/10
    Minnesota (Odorizzi) +174 at Mets (Syndergaard) - LOST -1
    Pittsburgh (Lyles) +161 at Cubs (Darvish) - WON +1.61
    Dodgers (Maeda) at Cardinals (Flaherty) - Under 8 -110 - LOST -1
    Total 4/10: 1-2, -0.39
    4/11
    Pittsburgh (Musgrove) +116 at Cubs (Quintana) - LOST -1
    4/12
    White Sox (Giolito) +183 at Yankees (Happ) - WON +1.83
    Miami (Alcantara) +145 vs. Philadelphia (Arrieta) - LOST -1
    Total 4/12: 1-1, +0.83
    4/14
    Miami (Urena) +136 vs. Philadelphia (Velazquez) - LOST -1
    4/15
    Miami (Richards) +124 vs. Cubs (F. Yu) - LOST -1
    4/16
    Miami (P. Lopez) +118 vs. Cubs (Quintana) - LOST -1
    4/18
    Yankees (German) vs Kansas City (Bailey) - Under 9 -112 - WON +0.89
    4/19
    Yankees (Sabathia) vs Kansas City (Junis) - Under 9 -120 - WON +0.83
    Baltimore (Cobb) +175 vs. Minnesota (Berrios) - RAINED OUT
    Total 4/19: 1-0, +0.83
    4/20:
    Washington (Scherzer) at Miami (Urena) - Under 7 -104 - LOST -1
    Baltimore (Cobb) +131 vs. Minnesota (M. Perez) - LOST -1
    Total 4/20: 0-2, -2.0
    4/22
    Mets (Matz) -111 vs. Philadelphia (Arrieta) - WON +0.90
    Milwaukee (Houser) at St. Louis (Flaherty) Under 8.5 +100 - LOST -1
    White Sox (Banuelos) at Baltimore (Hess) Under 9.5 -112 - LOST -1
    Total 4/22: 1-2, -1.1
    4/23
    Philadelphia (Eflin) at New York (Wheeler) - Over 8.5 -119 - WON +0.84
    Arizona (Weaver) at Pittsburgh (T. Williams) - Over 8 -111 - LOST -1
    Total 4/23: 1-1, -0.16
    4/25
    Cleveland (Bauer) +137 at Houston (Cole) - WON +1.37
    Angels (Cahill) +104 vs. Yankees (Tanaka) - WON +1.04
    Total 4/25: 2-0, +2.41
    4/26
    San Diego (Strahm) +190 at Washington (Scherzer) - WON +1.90
    Yankees (Paxton) at San Francisco (Bumgarner) - Over 6 -110 - WON +0.91
    Total 4/26: 2-0, +2.81

    Splits 4/2-4/26:
    Underdogs: 5-9, -1.25 units
    Favorites: 2-2, -0.24 units
    Totals: 4-6, -2.53 units
    Grand total 4/2-4/26: 11-17, -4.02 units

    Season totals:
    Underdogs: 9-12 (+0.70)
    Totals: 5-6-1 (-1.58)
    Favorites: 3-2 (+0.71)

    Grand total season: 17-20-1, -0.17 units

  6. #19686
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Starting in 10-15 min:

    Texas (Minor) -106 at Seattle (Leake)

     
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      Daly: I like Minor kids a stud

  7. #19687
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    didn't look before tip, but checked last night and saw TOR as -300 for the series...anybody know if it closed lower? was really looking forward to firing on them but just didn't think that it was worth it at -300...

  8. #19688
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    didn't look before tip, but checked last night and saw TOR as -300 for the series...anybody know if it closed lower? was really looking forward to firing on them but just didn't think that it was worth it at -300...
    Funny you mention this. I thought about my Bucks/Blazers finals pick and decided I don't want it to lose because Toronto beats Milwaukee, so I also fired on Portland +2000 today.

  9. #19689
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    brad fucking stevens...they might not win this series, but man through 3 quarters his gameplan on the greek freak is unreal...

  10. #19690
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    After much thought, decided to fire last minute on this:

    Texas (Lyyn) at Seattle (Swanson) - Under 9 -120

  11. #19691
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Williams went off as a +170 dog again today. The books have not adjusted to this guy as of yet why i dont no?? Pirates up early hope you all got some.

    LOL I jinxed him right after the post LO)L He gave up 4 runs
    Last edited by badguy23; 04-28-2019 at 02:05 PM.

  12. #19692
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Williams went off as a +170 dog again today. The books have not adjusted to this guy as of yet why i dont no?? Pirates up early hope you all got some.
    Yeah I would've taken this but I don't like betting against the Dodgers because I hate rooting against them.

    But I agree this was big value, especially considering ancient Rich Hill was on the mound.

    Bellinger stung him to get it a bit closer though.

  13. #19693
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Williams went off as a +170 dog again today. The books have not adjusted to this guy as of yet why i dont no?? Pirates up early hope you all got some.
    Yeah I would've taken this but I don't like betting against the Dodgers because I hate rooting against them.

    But I agree this was big value, especially considering ancient Rich Hill was on the mound.

    Bellinger stung him to get it a bit closer though.
    Question.


    Assuming you are still dealing with LPR, this debilitating condition, do you see a correlation of your LPR when you win vs when you lose bets?

  14. #19694
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, my under is toast.

    Suddenly the Rangers are destroying the ball.

  15. #19695
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Williams went off as a +170 dog again today. The books have not adjusted to this guy as of yet why i dont no?? Pirates up early hope you all got some.

    LOL I jinxed him right after the post LO)L He gave up 4 runs
    Under rated pseudo ace. Feel the same way about Mike Minor but that May be over after last night.

  16. #19696
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by badguy23 View Post
    Williams went off as a +170 dog again today. The books have not adjusted to this guy as of yet why i dont no?? Pirates up early hope you all got some.

    LOL I jinxed him right after the post LO)L He gave up 4 runs
    Under rated pseudo ace. Feel the same way about Mike Minor but that May be over after last night.
    Yep, fired on Minor last night and easily won. Wondering how the line will be next time.

    The good value bet on Williams today would have ultimately gone down in flames despite the 5-0 lead, though.

    This may allow Williams to retain some value for longer.

  17. #19697
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Chicago White Sox (Banuelos) vs. Baltimore (Means) - Under 8.5 -110

    Bovada has 8.5 -110 right now which is the best line at the moment (available to everyone)

  18. #19698
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    1987 David Letterman @ Bally’s Vegas

    This gambling joke @ 3:30 is considered legendary.


  19. #19699
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Won yesterday's under by the skin of my teeth.

    I've got four for you guys today, but three are starting soon:

    St. Louis (Wainwright) at Washington (Anibal Sanchez) - Over 9.5 -115
    San Diego (Paddack) -105 at Atlanta (Teheran)
    Detroit (Turbull) +176 at Philadephia (Velazquez)
    Pittsburgh (Lyles) at Texas (Sampson) - Under 11 -110

    All but Pit/Tex starting at 4:05-4:10 PT.

  20. #19700
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays +130. Ride me til Vladdy loses

    NHL Avs -130 for game

    Nba Warriors/rockets over first quarter 56 and first half 112

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