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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19401
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    In at even at 17:00

    Accepted: 03/30/2019 9:13:30 PM
    Description:
    Tablet - VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS at SAN JOSE SHARKS TOTAL P1 OVER 1.5 +105

    Obv bit of lucky timing

  2. #19402
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    5 on 2 pleeeease

    4 on 4

    One time

    Officials eating whistles. Not helpful
    oh well, took a good shot...hopefully SJ can get their shit straight and light up subban...

     
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      Sanlmar: As good a looking loss as you’ll ever see

  3. #19403
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Druff

    1st 5 under Dodgers (Buehler) Dia (Weaver)

    No Turner or Seager. Buehler pitch count.

    Weaver is not terrible.

    Lines are not out but I want 4.5 I’ll wait - Pinnacle shows 4 overnight

    Hope Sat. nite fireworks bring out the Dodger squares.

    love Buehler.


    It’s interesting the first 3 Sawks starters have been beyond awful. Cora was saving reps preseason. Load mgmt after World Series, I guess.

    Didn’t work. Sound familiar? Buehler is sooo naturally talented that work prolly isn’t AS critical but it’s still a caution.

    Nerds gettin jiggy with spring training. I heard Sawks spring training was awful. Really didn’t follow. Cora made a big deal out of spring training last year. Yes he was a new mgr but he made a big deal of starting strong.

    Some nerd prolly thinks if we go .500 while work our pitchers into game shape we are fine but load wise we shift everything back. You feel me bro?

    Prolly gonna autobet 1st 5 over Sawks Mariners.

    I’m glad we could share.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-30-2019 at 09:05 PM.

  4. #19404
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, occasionally mistakes pay off.

    My only losing pick today was the Braves. My accidental Phillies -1.5 half-bet ended up winning (started down 3-0, then almost got fucked by 9th inning trash time, but still won), so I ended up 0.2 units ahead on that one despite the pick itself losing.

    Miami did indeed get their first win today as predicted.

    The Heat/Knicks gave me a scare with a monster scoring run in the game's first 5 minutes (something like 35 points), and after the first half, it still wasn't looking good. Then the two teams went back to their usual non-scoring ways, and it covered by 17 points. LOL

    So when the smoke cleared, I won 2.2 units today.

  5. #19405
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sanlmar, regarding your Dodgers/Dbacks pick:

    I'm afraid I can't endorse your under first 5 innings pick. As much as I love Buehler, he barely pitched in the spring, and is likely to be somewhat rusty.

    Dodgers have also killed the ball in 2 of the first 3 games -- scoring 12 runs on Thursday, and 18 today.

    It's possible they'll have a scoring hangover after putting up the 18 (I've seen that happen before), but this isn't an under-first-5 pick I love.

    You know which under-first-five pick I did love? Your Col/Mia pick on Friday. Two hot pitchers, and one of the two teams with a bad offense.

    This one... I'll pass.

    Good call on the Dbacks yesterday. While the Dodgers honestly should have won that one, I did kind of have the feeling they would lose before the game started. Any +159 hit is always nice.

  6. #19406
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Thanks Druff.

    I did acknowledge Buehler may not remember where to stand tomorrow.

    You have to acknowledge I really am trying to grow as a person. I have positive feelings about a Dodger.

    I’m not willing to pay money to indulge that feeling though.

  7. #19407
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Tennis 1pm EST
    Nadal can’t hit this guy’s serve

    MOBILE - TENNIS - ATP - 201002 ISNER, JOHN +343 FOR MATCH L

    Isner was hurt
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-31-2019 at 10:27 AM.

  8. #19408
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    MLB - 972 CLEVELAND INDIANS/MINNESOTA TWINS UNDER 7 -108 FOR GAME L
    36 degrees- you heard of the Rockies humidor. How about putting baseball in freezer then hitting it

    MLB - 956 WASHINGTON NATIONALS -153 FOR GAME W
    Corbin - drop mic


    MLB - 960 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1½ -104 FOR GAME
    Dodgers scored 34 - DBacks -15 last 3 games combined
    Dodgers -220 ML. Run line enormous value here.



    These are non-negotiable Druff
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-31-2019 at 01:13 PM.

  9. #19409
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute MLB

    Pittsburgh (T. Williams) at Cincinnati (S. Gray) - Under 8 -105

    More soon

  10. #19410
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Wife is out and it’s rainy so I can just sit and think of ways to get in trouble.

    GBCP’s and I discussed the 1st inning idea and I will explore

    PROPS - HOUSTON ASTROS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - NO -110 L

    PROPS - BALTIMORE ORIOLES @ NEW YORK YANKEES - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - YES -120 W
    This is a Dylan Bundy auto-fade. He is AL’s answer to Greinke. It’s that bad


    MLB - 972 CLEVELAND INDIANS/MINNESOTA TWINS UNDER 4 -120 FOR 1ST 5 INNINGS
    More frozen baseball action L

    MLB - 964 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -140 FOR GAME
    Arrietta - Get on the Phillies bus

    MLB - 966 NEW YORK YANKEES -295 FOR GAME
    Druff perceives the world as a coin flip. It is not. Again, fading Dylan Bundy. This is a value bet

    Only NHL

    NHL - 34 BOSTON BRUINS/DETROIT RED WINGS UNDER 1½ -105 FOR 1ST PERIOD
    Halak back in goal for B’s

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Raining Here Too, Need Something To Do LFG Rep
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-31-2019 at 12:50 PM.

  11. #19411
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's the rest of MLB

    St. Louis (Wacha) at Milwaukee (Burnes) - Under 9 -115 - Public is heavy on the over. Both pitchers looked good in the spring (especially Wacha).

    Texas (Lynn) +117 vs. Cubs (Hamels) - Hamels is going to get beat by his former club. Public big on Cubs here, Vegas moving line other way.

  12. #19412
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Co-signed

    MLB - 958 ST. LOUIS CARDINALS/MILWAUKEE BREWERS UNDER 9 -115 FOR GAME
    Druff under Push
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-31-2019 at 01:42 PM.

  13. #19413
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Not the best start in the Pirates/Reds game.

    Gray looking lousy in the 1st. Got out with 1 run. He better shape up.

  14. #19414
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    this is what I was talking about yesterday...all I could find...I tried to get individual pitchers on baseball reference, but couldn't get the query to work...old guy cant use the internet...

    obv this data is worthless, just something to look at for 'is this something that might be viable'...don't know if we focus on starters or first 3/4 guys in the lineup...I mean look at yesterday...thor/stras, teams scored 4...will be interesting to see what shakes out in these first few weeks...

    Name:  Capture999.PNG
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    https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/sta...ate=2018-10-29

  15. #19415
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Tennis 1pm EST
    Nadal can’t hit this guy’s serve

    MOBILE - TENNIS - ATP - 201002 ISNER, JOHN +343 FOR MATCH
    Federer CAN return Isner’s serve - pretty routinely today.

    Isner is shell shocked.

     
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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-31-2019 at 09:50 AM.

  16. #19416
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    I’m sorry Druff. Little obsessive about Buehler now.

    I made it a point to be up early and take a peek. I got my Under Dodgers 1st 5 @ 4.5 and it’s back to 4.

    2 team parlay +230 L
    Accepted: 03/31/2019 7:37:07 AM
    Description:
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 960 Arizona Diamondbacks/Los Angeles Dodgers under 4½ -125 for 1st 5 Innings
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 978 Boston Red Sox/Seattle Mariners over 4½ -120 for 1st 5 Innings

    As discussed last night. Chef P (Lewfather trademarked) Porcello

    MLB - 978 Boston Red Sox/Seattle Mariners over 4½ -120 for 1st 5 Innings W

    We may have to file for reorganization tonight.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-31-2019 at 01:34 PM.

  17. #19417
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    I filed for bankruptcy after yesterday. But then they looked at the other days this week and laughed at my request. One losing day but it was a doozy.

    Penguins ML Win
    Buffalo +185 ML loss
    Detroit +182 ML win

    SJ/CGY over 1.5 first period.win

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: LFG Rep
    Last edited by simpdog; 03-31-2019 at 06:10 PM.

  18. #19418
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Delino DeShields broke my heart 26 years ago when the Dodgers traded for him.

    The guy they gave up? Pedro Martinez.

    I thought it was a terrible trade then, and it turned out to be one of the worst in history.

    Delino finally did something good. It took having a kid by the same name, raising him as a baseball player, and having that kid hit a grand slam to put Texas up 5-4.

    Of course, Texas sucks and gave that lead right back, so it's 5-5 now. But at least I'm back alive.

    Young Jordan Hicks blew the game in Milwaukee, and my under with it. Went from a win to a tie.

    Pirates/Reds covered easily.

    So it's up to Texas.

  19. #19419
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Golden State at Charlotte - Under 228.5

  20. #19420
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'll fire on simp's Detroit pick.

    :whynot

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