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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19161
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Boston puck line heavy
    Chicago over 1p
    Tampa over 1p

    I agree on Pitts maybe a live bet.
    Only you can play CBJ successfully. Respect

    Do I clip the green wire or the red wire? I got no clue.

  2. #19162
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Crowe Diddly View Post
    wasn't sure where to put this, but some of you guys might be interested. Here's most of the vids (maybe all, IDK) from the latest Sloan Sports Analytics Conference.

    https://www.youtube.com/user/42analytics/videos
    They were mocking the Celtics the entire conference. That was before the Warriors beatdown, of course

    Did you go or were you nearby?

    Maybe that was you solving equations on the blackboard at night.

     
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      Crowe Diddly: No sir, sorry sir, just sweeping up, sir.

  3. #19163
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Boston puck line heavy
    Chicago over 1p
    Tampa over 1p

    I agree on Pitts maybe a live bet.
    2-1, but loss here due to double bet on Boston.

    Wash/Jets o1.5 1p
    Wash moneyline

    Flames/Vegas u1.5 1p
    Flames moneyline

    Ducks/LA o1.5 1p *going on a hunch here. If you're skipping one game skip this one.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: LFG Again Rep
      
      jsearles22: I got cut off because of you today rep......

  4. #19164
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Skip a Simp pick?

    MOBILE - HOCKEY - NHL - 34 LOS ANGELES KINGS/ANAHEIM DUCKS OVER 1½ +123 FOR 1ST PERIOD

    Please explain. Half goes to ex-wife? Mattress is already too lumpy?

    The greatest season of my life and I’m still checking team names

    Kid is running like god and I don’t understand a lot of his recent picks.

    LFG
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-10-2019 at 06:46 PM.

  5. #19165
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Just sprinkled

    MOBILE - NBA FUTURES - CHAMPIONSHIP - ODDS TO WIN THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP - MILWAUKEE BUCKS +800


    Older

    2/20/2019 1:24:51 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - NBA FUTURES - CONFERENCE FUTURES - ODDS TO WIN THE EASTERN CONFERENCE - MILWAUKEE BUCKS +225

    You can grab +200 now

  6. #19166
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Let me try my hand at this. I seemingly have money to burn from tailing SimpSan recently.

    Islanders o1.5 -140
    Wild o1.5 -150

    Both of those seem like pretty good value to me
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  7. #19167
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Let me try my hand at this. I seemingly have money to burn from tailing SimpSan recently.

    Islanders o1.5 -140
    Wild o1.5 -150

    Both of those seem like pretty good value to me
    You got down already? Who are you using?

    I have a hard on for CBJ. Simp can read them.

    Like the Wild at that price.

    Tampa Bay Toronto ... if you can buy now - you will see -250 tomorrow.

    Do you have a live wagering app?

  8. #19168
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Let me try my hand at this. I seemingly have money to burn from tailing SimpSan recently.

    Islanders o1.5 -140
    Wild o1.5 -150

    Both of those seem like pretty good value to me
    You got down already? Who are you using?
    Online network with a local hook up. I thought we spoke about this before. But now that I think about it it was Daly who I bounced some bets with a few years back.

    Had another local cut me off. And another local was asking questions so I quit betting hockey with him because I don’t want him 86’ing me all together. Guy runs the best card room in town too but is a hothead.
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  9. #19169
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Local books accepting bets off Pinnacle overnight lines. Interesting.

    That’s value. Good for you. Stuff runs away fast after 8-9am when most books open the 1P window

    No live wagering? That’s too bad cause letting the puck drop and catching a Sale is something punters few do.

  10. #19170
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Local books accepting bets off Pinnacle overnight lines. Interesting.

    That’s value. Good for you. Stuff runs away fast after 8-9am when most books open the 1P window

    No live wagering? That’s too bad cause letting the puck drop and catching a Sale is something punters few do.
    They do offer some live betting. I don’t really have time for all of that though. I forgot I made the 4 bets earlier until 10 mins or so ago. I’ve got 3 kids man. Headed to Disney for a week and then to Augusta for 2 weeks shortly after. I wish I had time to actually watch a game..........

     
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      Sanlmar: An actual life rep. Royals won’t interfere either
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  11. #19171
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Sizzle used the term “value”. Druff influence.

    Tampa -190 implied odds 66%. Tampa 1P 73%

    Not gonna get into the other math that improves the expected profit.

    Low or plus odds does not necessarily mean value.

    It’s almost over anyway

    We move on

  12. #19172
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sizzle used the term “value”. Druff influence.

    Tampa -190 implied odds 66%. Tampa 1P 73%

    Not gonna get into the other math that improves the expected profit.

    Low or plus odds does not necessarily mean value.

    It’s almost over anyway

    We move on
    Christ my overnight is 165...

    I put down half already, figuring if I should get greedy in the live streets...but you're right it's gonna be 220+ by morning and that initial live drop won't get it back down to 165...

    probably same thing will happen with CHI...

    have to get down on SJ unless there is an objection...will wait on CBJ for the live streets if I fire at all...

    the money line for PHL is enormous to say the least...

  13. #19173
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sizzle used the term “value”. Druff influence.

    Tampa -190 implied odds 66%. Tampa 1P 73%

    Not gonna get into the other math that improves the expected profit.

    Low or plus odds does not necessarily mean value.

    It’s almost over anyway

    We move on
    Christ my overnight is 165...

    I put down half already, figuring if I should get greedy in the live streets...but you're right it's gonna be 220+ by morning and that initial live drop won't get it back down to 165...

    probably same thing will happen with CHI...
    God, they are so stupid.

    I have never said this before in my life.

    “I wish I was in NJ”

  14. #19174
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    Christ my overnight is 165...

    I put down half already, figuring if I should get greedy in the live streets...but you're right it's gonna be 220+ by morning and that initial live drop won't get it back down to 165...

    probably same thing will happen with CHI...
    I have never said this before in my life.

    “I wish I was in NJ”


    I haven't made near enough money to say that...

    DK runs a helluva book as far as pricing goes...betstars is basically AIDS and FD doesn't even offer period betting...so in reality it's not totally great...

     
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      Sanlmar: That’s funny. What would the number have to be to say that, really LFG

  15. #19175
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    lol probably 'fuck you money', san...I can live pretty much anywhere reasonable with 'fuck you money'...

    BTW Ive been mulling this over for a week or so...I don't get why DK floats these really cheap overnight lines...I mean I get floating something where you may or may not know where the action is gonna go...they literally know that TB and CHI O action is gonna come in heavy...it's not a fucking doubt...they priced both of these games in the mid-160s...im sure as shit they could fire a 190 line out there like your book did and not lose out on much action...seems stupid..

  16. #19176
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Boston puck line heavy
    Chicago over 1p
    Tampa over 1p

    I agree on Pitts maybe a live bet.
    2-1, but loss here due to double bet on Boston.

    Wash/Jets o1.5 1p W
    Wash moneyline W

    Flames/Vegas u1.5 1p L
    Flames moneyline W

    Ducks/LA o1.5 1p W *going on a hunch here. If you're skipping one game skip this one.
    4-1

    LFG

  17. #19177
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    I have never said this before in my life.

    “I wish I was in NJ”


    I haven't made near enough money to say that...

    DK runs a helluva book as far as pricing goes...betstars is basically AIDS and FD doesn't even offer period betting...so in reality it's not totally great...
    The Analytics conference they were talking about certain British books paying off early. FD paying off Alabama early too is a classic example.

    The books’ reps were present and wrote it off to marketing and insisted it was a profitable play.

    AC books are giving away the store with huge bonuses and I think they want to build the hockey handle in the same “give it away” fashion.

    Be a sport and take it.

    LFG™

  18. #19178
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post



    I haven't made near enough money to say that...

    DK runs a helluva book as far as pricing goes...betstars is basically AIDS and FD doesn't even offer period betting...so in reality it's not totally great...
    The Analytics conference they were talking about certain British books paying off early. FD paying off Alabama early too is a classic example.

    The books’ reps were present and wrote it off to marketing and insisted it was a profitable play.

    AC books are giving away the store with huge bonuses and I think they want to build the hockey handle in the same “give it away” fashion.

    Be a sport and take it.
    im never one to turn down money...but with all those "stunts" and paying out early they get pub...mainstream media covers it, espn.com covers it...aint nobody writing articles about their shitty NHL 1P pricing...I mean I guess it's on twitter and simmons is talking about it, which is press...

    eh whatever, I want big TV...

  19. #19179
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Let me try my hand at this. I seemingly have money to burn from tailing SimpSan recently.

    Islanders o1.5 -140
    Wild o1.5 -150

    Both of those seem like pretty good value to me
    sizzler just realized it was NYI/CBJ...watch out for this one...they only have the game total set at 5.5...Ill admit I haven't been paying a ton of attention to the rest of the overall game totals, but this one stood out bigtime as it wasn't a game total of 6+...
    Last edited by GambleBotsChafedPenis; 03-11-2019 at 05:53 AM.

  20. #19180
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Sent this to my supervisor for approval. Simp may be in a school play or something today. He hasn’t responded

    He also hates when I post too much in the thread. He is the face of the franchise. I like talking wagering. It’s hard after a good day to stay calm.


    I pulled the trigger and will unwind if he hates anything.

    Woke up early

    Standard Over 1P
    Tampa/Toronto -195
    Arizona/Chicago -180
    San Jose/Minnesota -155

    Under 1P
    Carolina/Colorado +120

    2 Team Parlay +164
    Arizona/Chicago over 6.5 -110
    Philly ML -260 Simp HATES the Senators

    I got Celtics last night -1.5 vs Clippers.
    Celts Young star Tatum is out tonight. Coin flip now

    Gordon Hayward finally ballin'. Ankle looks good

    Verminator, did you play tanking Dallas ML last night? I forgot

    Only about 14 more NHL games. Lot will be meaningless now. It could even get dangerous if we use standard strategy at the end. Much sadness.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-11-2019 at 12:37 PM.

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