boy buffalo really shit itself at the end of that second period...
boy buffalo really shit itself at the end of that second period...
As I'm heading to the GA meeting, I'm throwing on one of my jackets .
After the meeting I'm heading to Pittsburgh on a plane. Hope it doesn't get hit by Lightning or we'll be seeing Stars
Also taking islanders Puck line for the game. Heavy
Toronto/Calgary was Simp’s degen under. Philosophically, you gotta have a fucking compelling story to get me to bet unders in today’s game.
I decided to pass but I looked live. Toronto/Calgary closed -205 preflop. I opened live wagering. The second the puck was dropped it was -178.
As a believer in efficient markets I had a dilemma.
Eventually, I took -143 or something and had the usual heart attack final few minutes. It worked out as you may know.
I have written how I will decide on a certain game to find value and cheaper prices live. I don’t do it every day but it’s a strategy with some reward. Wait a few minutes hoping they don’t score. If they do, I move on. No tears.
As the books lose their enthusiasm for getting crushed I’ve noticed what you saw last night GBCP.
Sometimes 1.5 won’t be offered. It’ll be 2.0. Only much later in Period will you see 1.5
As this phenomenon matures my live wagering strategy is less reliable. I have no idea what the book will offer.
Penguins/Panthers is one I would like to get a discount on. Panthers are no 1P prize. Every dope with an account is on Penguins. I bet I won’t see 1.5. They are gonna give the punters 2.0
I decided to bet the game preflop per Simp.
Speaking of heart attacks.
I’ve written about hockey giving me a nervous stomach. I day trade on margin. I’ve gambled my whole life in one way or another. I never get nervous. I get bored - I’m often on autopilot. Truthfully, day trading I talk to myself. I talk to the other side of the trade. I quote song lyrics that describe the action. Remember, I’m sitting by myself for hours. I know it’s a funny scene if viewed from afar.
I never sweat. If I lose, I move on.
Remember Blackhawks/Sharks 27 seconds?
I have been pressing my bets. It’s the right thing to do. Not huge but over time they have gotten much bigger than my usual wager.
I bet that game live huge. Every new line I saw as a blue light special. I was right. of course.
I went to the doctor the next day. I can’t put my finger on what’s happening. Acid reflux? Ulcer? Bone cancer?
Dr: “You’re not fat, that’s good”
Dr: “You eat late? Drink carbonated beverages?”
Me: “Look Doc, I am up late betting hockey - eating and drinking beer. Then I go to bed.”
Dr: “Very bad, sir. Hockey, eh? Do you bet the First Periods?”
Me: “Yes. Do you follow my work? Does the name Simpdog mean anything to you?”
Dr: “I can see you are not going to change. I will give you a prescription for Prilosec or the over the counter Omeprazote. When hockey season is over and your kicking it on some island you can stop.”
Once a day 4 weeks then every other day 2 weeks. Playoffs will be started by then.
True story
Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-05-2019 at 09:15 AM.
Enough of the 75% talk on hockey.
Druff I like my Raptors at home vs Houston. What's your take?
Druff I like Philly at home vs Orlando. What's your take
Good under pick starting in about 15 min.
Orlando at Philadelphia - Under 222.5 (222 ok)
Embiid out, Ross out
Big sharp money came in late on the under.
Public play:
Boston at Golden State - under 228 (227.5 ok)
Klay Thompson out.
Boston has gone under 5 of past 6, and has scored 97 or fewer in 3 of last 6.
The public loves this under, so beware of that.
Doesn't start til after 7:30 PT
Adding ducks coyotes under 1.5 first period.
San is at the meeting and told me face to face that he co-signs.
We promptly were kicked out of GA for a week.
86 points in the first 13:14 of the game.
So basically I had to get 136 or fewer points in the final 34:46, which is damn near impossible, especially when two teams are scoring like crazy.
134 points came in during that time, for a total of 220.
I can't believe I won this, but after all the shit that has happened to me lately, I deserved one like this.
Wizards -5.5. Dallas seems to be in straight tank mode. They are even starting Nowitzki.
I also am debating Denver -5.5 at lakers.
Boring day today. No plays straight the playbook, and it's like a funeral due to a poor showing yesterday.
I'm going to hop on a couple plays let me know ideas if you have any.
Speaking of ideas, I received this via PM
Game ended up 10-7, then I also receive this message:CHIBA LOTTE MARINES AT HOKKAIDO NIPPON-HAM FIGHTERS TOTAL OVER 9.5
ship it
I'm kicked out of GA for a week, but this dude seriously needs an intervention.
Jimmy the Greek, Asian Todd and Lucky Bill are all flying in for the weekend. Is anyone here purely betting value (ie Investing in +EV situations, not NBA) and would like to help us with the intervention?
Thanks in advance. We have to stop this man from wagering on Japanese Baseball exhibition games.
Took Denver -5.5 and U231. I don’t see how lakers keep it close in a shootout. minus some weird OT shenanigans I don’t see it likely I lose both bets.
Okay, I don't blame you if you don't like a Detroit under, but seriously, last time was a great pick screwed by OT.
Here's today's, starting in a few minutes:
Minnesota at Detroit - Under 223.5
Later game:
Boston at Sacramento - Under 227 (226.5 ok)
Jumping on the Boston UNDER train here. 6 of 7 last games have gone under for them, though they did score 128 last night (but still went under). They're back-to-back on the road. No Kyrie.
If you bet every pick of mine NOT involving Detroit or Atlanta, you would be up big in NBA this year.
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