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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19081
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    boy buffalo really shit itself at the end of that second period...

  2. #19082
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    boy buffalo really shit itself at the end of that second period...
    That was an awful part of the game!

    At least we bet small since it wasn't guaranteed today. Back to guarantees tomorrow

  3. #19083
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    boy buffalo really shit itself at the end of that second period...
    That was an awful part of the game!

    At least we bet small since it wasn't guaranteed today. Back to guarantees tomorrow
    yup...

    don't know if you saw how we got fucked...3 minutes to go BUF guy had a wide open net, tried to shove it into said wide open net and whiffed so bad he actually shot it and stopped it from going into the open net...


  4. #19084
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    As I'm heading to the GA meeting, I'm throwing on one of my jackets .

    After the meeting I'm heading to Pittsburgh on a plane. Hope it doesn't get hit by Lightning or we'll be seeing Stars


    Also taking islanders Puck line for the game. Heavy

     

    Jackets o1.5 1p
    Penguins o1.5 1p
    Tampa o1.5 1p
    Stars under 1.5 1p

    Islanders -1.5 for game

  5. #19085
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    As I'm heading to the GA meeting, I'm throwing on one of my jackets .

    After the meeting I'm heading to Pittsburgh on a plane. Hope it doesn't get hit by Lightning or we'll be seeing Stars


    Also taking islanders Puck line for the game. Heavy

     

    Jackets o1.5 1p
    Penguins o1.5 1p
    Tampa o1.5 1p
    Stars under 1.5 1p

    Islanders -1.5 for game
    lets do this boys...

    interesting enough, my main book didn't throw up period lines last night...

  6. #19086
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    As I'm heading to the GA meeting, I'm throwing on one of my jackets .

    After the meeting I'm heading to Pittsburgh on a plane. Hope it doesn't get hit by Lightning or we'll be seeing Stars


    Also taking islanders Puck line for the game. Heavy

     

    Jackets o1.5 1p
    Penguins o1.5 1p
    Tampa o1.5 1p
    Stars under 1.5 1p

    Islanders -1.5 for game
    lets do this boys...

    interesting enough, my main book didn't throw up period lines last night...
    Likely they took a look at their February #s and saw how badly you beat them last month

  7. #19087
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    lets do this boys...

    interesting enough, my main book didn't throw up period lines last night...
    Likely they took a look at their February #s and saw how badly you beat them last month
    Toronto/Calgary was Simp’s degen under. Philosophically, you gotta have a fucking compelling story to get me to bet unders in today’s game.

    I decided to pass but I looked live. Toronto/Calgary closed -205 preflop. I opened live wagering. The second the puck was dropped it was -178.

    As a believer in efficient markets I had a dilemma.

    Eventually, I took -143 or something and had the usual heart attack final few minutes. It worked out as you may know.

    I have written how I will decide on a certain game to find value and cheaper prices live. I don’t do it every day but it’s a strategy with some reward. Wait a few minutes hoping they don’t score. If they do, I move on. No tears.

    As the books lose their enthusiasm for getting crushed I’ve noticed what you saw last night GBCP.

    Sometimes 1.5 won’t be offered. It’ll be 2.0. Only much later in Period will you see 1.5

    As this phenomenon matures my live wagering strategy is less reliable. I have no idea what the book will offer.

    Penguins/Panthers is one I would like to get a discount on. Panthers are no 1P prize. Every dope with an account is on Penguins. I bet I won’t see 1.5. They are gonna give the punters 2.0

    I decided to bet the game preflop per Simp.

    Speaking of heart attacks.

    I’ve written about hockey giving me a nervous stomach. I day trade on margin. I’ve gambled my whole life in one way or another. I never get nervous. I get bored - I’m often on autopilot. Truthfully, day trading I talk to myself. I talk to the other side of the trade. I quote song lyrics that describe the action. Remember, I’m sitting by myself for hours. I know it’s a funny scene if viewed from afar.

    I never sweat. If I lose, I move on.

    Remember Blackhawks/Sharks 27 seconds?

    I have been pressing my bets. It’s the right thing to do. Not huge but over time they have gotten much bigger than my usual wager.

    I bet that game live huge. Every new line I saw as a blue light special. I was right. of course.

    I went to the doctor the next day. I can’t put my finger on what’s happening. Acid reflux? Ulcer? Bone cancer?

    Dr: “You’re not fat, that’s good”

    Dr: “You eat late? Drink carbonated beverages?”

    Me: “Look Doc, I am up late betting hockey - eating and drinking beer. Then I go to bed.”

    Dr: “Very bad, sir. Hockey, eh? Do you bet the First Periods?”

    Me: “Yes. Do you follow my work? Does the name Simpdog mean anything to you?”

    Dr: “I can see you are not going to change. I will give you a prescription for Prilosec or the over the counter Omeprazote. When hockey season is over and your kicking it on some island you can stop.”

    Once a day 4 weeks then every other day 2 weeks. Playoffs will be started by then.

    True story

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Would Have A Bourbon(s)/Cigar(s) With You And Laugh My Ass Off Rep
      
      simpdog: The end is near
      
      Daly: JFC
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 03-05-2019 at 09:15 AM.

  8. #19088
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Enough of the 75% talk on hockey.


    Druff I like my Raptors at home vs Houston. What's your take?

    Druff I like Philly at home vs Orlando. What's your take

  9. #19089
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Good under pick starting in about 15 min.

    Orlando at Philadelphia - Under 222.5 (222 ok)

    Embiid out, Ross out

    Big sharp money came in late on the under.

  10. #19090
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Public play:

    Boston at Golden State - under 228 (227.5 ok)

    Klay Thompson out.

    Boston has gone under 5 of past 6, and has scored 97 or fewer in 3 of last 6.

    The public loves this under, so beware of that.

    Doesn't start til after 7:30 PT

  11. #19091
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Good under pick starting in about 15 min.

    Orlando at Philadelphia - Under 222.5 (222 ok)

    Embiid out, Ross out

    Big sharp money came in late on the under.
    Did I say this was a good under pick?

    I meant to write shitty under pick. Sorry about that.

  12. #19092
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Adding ducks coyotes under 1.5 first period.

    San is at the meeting and told me face to face that he co-signs.

    We promptly were kicked out of GA for a week.

  13. #19093
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Good under pick starting in about 15 min.

    Orlando at Philadelphia - Under 222.5 (222 ok)

    Embiid out, Ross out

    Big sharp money came in late on the under.
    Did I say this was a good under pick?

    I meant to write shitty under pick. Sorry about that.
    86 points in the first 13:14 of the game.

    So basically I had to get 136 or fewer points in the final 34:46, which is damn near impossible, especially when two teams are scoring like crazy.

    134 points came in during that time, for a total of 220.

    I can't believe I won this, but after all the shit that has happened to me lately, I deserved one like this.


  14. #19094
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    Wizards -5.5. Dallas seems to be in straight tank mode. They are even starting Nowitzki.

    I also am debating Denver -5.5 at lakers.

     
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      Sanlmar: Wizards ML tank play here too. Harolobobble head night

  15. #19095
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Boring day today. No plays straight the playbook, and it's like a funeral due to a poor showing yesterday.

    I'm going to hop on a couple plays let me know ideas if you have any.


    Speaking of ideas, I received this via PM

    CHIBA LOTTE MARINES AT HOKKAIDO NIPPON-HAM FIGHTERS TOTAL OVER 9.5
    Game ended up 10-7, then I also receive this message:
    ship it

    I'm kicked out of GA for a week, but this dude seriously needs an intervention.

    Jimmy the Greek, Asian Todd and Lucky Bill are all flying in for the weekend. Is anyone here purely betting value (ie Investing in +EV situations, not NBA) and would like to help us with the intervention?

    Thanks in advance. We have to stop this man from wagering on Japanese Baseball exhibition games.

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Please don’t post the picks I am selling.

  16. #19096
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    Took Denver -5.5 and U231. I don’t see how lakers keep it close in a shootout. minus some weird OT shenanigans I don’t see it likely I lose both bets.

  17. #19097
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Boring day today. No plays straight the playbook, and it's like a funeral due to a poor showing yesterday.

    I'm going to hop on a couple plays let me know ideas if you have any.


    Speaking of ideas, I received this via PM



    Game ended up 10-7, then I also receive this message:
    ship it

    I'm kicked out of GA for a week, but this dude seriously needs an intervention.

    Jimmy the Greek, Asian Todd and Lucky Bill are all flying in for the weekend. Is anyone here purely betting value (ie Investing in +EV situations, not NBA) and would like to help us with the intervention?

    Thanks in advance. We have to stop this man from wagering on Japanese Baseball exhibition games.
    I bet the wrong ANA game...bet their game from tonight instead of last night...cashed out the bet for a $5 loss...think it's time for a break...jesus...

  18. #19098
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, I don't blame you if you don't like a Detroit under, but seriously, last time was a great pick screwed by OT.

    Here's today's, starting in a few minutes:

    Minnesota at Detroit - Under 223.5

  19. #19099
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Later game:

    Boston at Sacramento - Under 227 (226.5 ok)

    Jumping on the Boston UNDER train here. 6 of 7 last games have gone under for them, though they did score 128 last night (but still went under). They're back-to-back on the road. No Kyrie.

  20. #19100
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    If you bet every pick of mine NOT involving Detroit or Atlanta, you would be up big in NBA this year.


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