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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #19001
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Mintjewlips: Here's a man that's going to hedge his bets rep

    I don’t make futures bets unless they are a lock or >10-1

    I don’t hedge 10-1 or > bets.


    I can’t take the credit for this one, a fellow I know pointed it out to me. LSU beat Kentucky on the road, beat Tennessee at home and is 90-1. That’s a value if you ask me.

  2. #19002
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Let's get back on the right track.

    Tampa o1.5 1p
    CBJ o1.5 1p
    Dallas u1.5 1p

    Get in early the juice is rising.

    And I really like Ottawa to lose again. Oilers are a dumpster fire too, but they have more NHL players. McDavid is going to score 2+ goals. I'm going with the moneyline being conservative but a ML/Puck Line combo wouldn't be out of the question.

    San/Druff since we're likely to go 4-0 in NHL, can you provide us with a NBA bet so the books don't boot us yet?

     
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      Sanlmar: Shots fired from the north
      
      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Shots Fired x2/EDM Rep

  3. #19003
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Sorry for your loss Simp.

    MOBILE - MLB REGULAR SEASON WINS - TORONTO BLUE JAYS - UNDER +75½ WINS -130

    You ain’t getting any wins in your division. Just quit

    Everyone with a pulse will be dealt July except Vlad. It’s possible you don’t see him for a long long while

    Don’t mess with me.

    Gonna book PFA’s first baseball win. This ones for you, OSA

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - EXHIBITION - 910 NEW YORK YANKEES -180 FOR GAME

    Troy Tulo 3 run bomb. Thx Simp
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-28-2019 at 10:26 AM.

  4. #19004
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sorry for your loss Simp.

    MOBILE - MLB REGULAR SEASON WINS - TORONTO BLUE JAYS - UNDER +75½ WINS -130

    You ain’t getting any wins in your division. Just quit

    Everyone with a pulse will be dealt July except Vlad. It’s possible you don’t see him for a long long while

    Don’t mess with me.

    Gonna book PFA’s first baseball win. This ones for you, OSA

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - EXHIBITION - 910 NEW YORK YANKEES -180 FOR GAME

    Troy Tulo 3 run bomb. Thx Simp
    If Tulo stays healthy he's going to be a great pick up for the Yankees.

    His defense was great but hitting was never a factor in TO.

  5. #19005
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Sorry for your loss Simp.

    MOBILE - MLB REGULAR SEASON WINS - TORONTO BLUE JAYS - UNDER +75½ WINS -130

    You ain’t getting any wins in your division. Just quit

    Everyone with a pulse will be dealt July except Vlad. It’s possible you don’t see him for a long long while

    Don’t mess with me.

    Gonna book PFA’s first baseball win. This ones for you, OSA

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - EXHIBITION - 910 NEW YORK YANKEES -180 FOR GAME

    Troy Tulo 3 run bomb. Thx Simp
    If Tulo stays healthy he's going to be a great pick up for the Yankees.

    His defense was great but hitting was never a factor in TO.
    Yankees pay league minimum and you pay $20m.

    That is a freakish batting order on paper.

  6. #19006
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post

    If Tulo stays healthy he's going to be a great pick up for the Yankees.

    His defense was great but hitting was never a factor in TO.
    Yankees pay league minimum and you pay $20m.

    That is a freakish batting order on paper.
    wake me up when they actually have a decent starting rotation...

  7. #19007
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    in other news, kyler murray measures in at 5'10 1/8" with 9.5" hands...9.5" hands at that height...jesus...

  8. #19008
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    in other news, kyler murray measures in at 5'10 1/8" with 9.5" hands...9.5" hands at that height...jesus...
    Clueless fuck, John Elway, sounds like he is dismissing Murray. That can only help his value.

  9. #19009
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    in other news, kyler murray measures in at 5'10 1/8" with 9.5" hands...9.5" hands at that height...jesus...
    Clueless fuck, John Elway, sounds like he is dismissing Murray. That can only help his value.
    makes no sense...he's, I think, 1/2 inch shorter than Russ...I mean yeah at some point you reach a breaking point where you are too short, but 1/2 inch...doesn't seem like too much...these guys have been playing with this "disadvantage" their whole lives...they know how to get by...you don't do shit like murray did at OU without being a TREMENDOUS athlete...and I was shocked that he weighed in at like 210...that's a big boy...im coming around on him...

  10. #19010
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    don't know if anybody wants to talk about this shit in the open so that's perfectly cool, but just wondering if anybody was arbing these 1P lines?

    it's become fairly obvious that if you get in on the O on some very select teams and the U on very select teams before the market moves then it opens up a chance to arb shit...

    I bet on the O on the weather before I went to bed at -132 on one of my outs and now the U is trading at +167 at another one of my outs...you arb a grand bet and it's a risk free $100...that's way more than I ever bet on games, but the markets seem pretty consistent in their moves with some select teams...

  11. #19011
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    First MLB win

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - EXHIBITION - 910 NEW YORK YANKEES -180 FOR GAME

    8-6

    Pirates ugh

    Dodgers losing to Rockies. Looked at live when 2-2 but even I have my limits

  12. #19012
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Golden State at Orlando - Under 224

    Starting at 4:05pm PT

    Lots of sharp money just came in on the under, from what I hear

    Durant is out

  13. #19013
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two more, starting at 4:35pm and 5:05pm respectively:

    Cleveland at New York - OVER 220
    Miami at Houston - UNDER 219

  14. #19014
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Last minute hopping on the BULLS train:

    Chicago -1 at Atlanta

    Starts in a few mins

  15. #19015
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Also last min:

    Charlotte/Brooklyn under 228.5 (228 ok)

  16. #19016
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lakers about +200 moneyline tonight.

    Vegas hates the Lakers tonight. Hates them. Trying to encourage action on them.

    Giannis is coming off knee problems and "feels good".

    Lebron is starting to spring into late-season action, as he often does at this time of year, this time to avoid missing the playoffs. The Lakers are 3 games behind the 8th seed with only 21 games left, and right now Sacramento is actually ahead of them in the #9 spot.

    Is this enough for a Lakers home victory against a strong Bucks team? Is there any value in +200?

    It's tempting, but the books seem to know something here, so I'll stay away.

  17. #19017
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Sharks over 1.5 1p
    Ducks under 1.5 1p

    Had Pitts over 1p but didn’t post.

  18. #19018
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Sharks over 1.5 1p
    Ducks under 1.5 1p

    Had Pitts over 1p but didn’t post.
    glad im getting into the mind of simp…

    lotta action tomorrow it looks like...

    EDIT: from my math it looks like 4 fairly clear overs and 2 fairly clear unders and one marginal over and one marginal under if you want to Degen...
    Last edited by GambleBotsChafedPenis; 03-01-2019 at 06:17 PM.

  19. #19019
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    posting for posterity's sake...

    Name:  Capture919.PNG
Views: 184
Size:  82.1 KB

  20. #19020
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    posting for posterity's sake...

    Name:  Capture919.PNG
Views: 184
Size:  82.1 KB
    A win's a win, right?

    Though I have to admit, if someone told me Atlanta was going to score 161 points, I would have written this one off without watching.

    4th highest scoring NBA game of all time.

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