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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #18721
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    Took Duke +1.5 and Baylor -3. Sorry I didn't get these in in-time to go against.

  2. #18722
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    It’s not sexy.

    2 Team parlay $100 will net you $33
    Tablet - Basketball - NBA - 506 Detroit Pistons -400 for Game
    Tablet - Basketball - NBA - 511 Golden State Warriors -1600 for Game

    Wizards/Cleveland
    Wizards are not trustworthy. They may be tankers

    Nets/Chicago
    Nets are not trustworthy. Bulls may go rogue

    I think a review of the tanking approach might be in order

    I grabbed this quickly. Just look at column 1. That is the percentage likelihood of getting the #1 pick Zion Williamson.

    More discussion is available. Appreciating the odds helps you appreciate that the Bulls CAN win in spots and still be good.

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    Some current playoff teams that appear to be tanking based on trades are the Clippers and Heat. Interestingly, the new flatter lottery ball structure and all the upcoming free agents this summer may have incentivized mediocre teams to decide to tank, where in previous years they would have competed to be lower tier playoff teams.

  3. #18723
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Okay, people... don't look now... but I am doing an OVER pick today.

    Yes, my first OVER of the 2018-19 NBA season.

    I'm also doing an under.

    First, the under...

    Charlotte at Atlanta - Under 228

    Now the over:

    New Orleans at Memphis - Over 213.5

    Yes, Memphis.

    No, I haven't lost my mind.

  4. #18724
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Pretty sick, huh dog? 1P is a lifestyle

    Your Raptors live. Smash em.
    14-3 Knicks

  5. #18725
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two bad picks. This past week has really been a struggle.

    I should know better than to go over with Memphis.


  6. #18726
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Two bad picks. This past week has really been a struggle.

    I should know better than to go over with Memphis.

    Those men wanted to have sex with me.

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    Last edited by Sanlmar; 02-09-2019 at 06:28 PM.

  7. #18727
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simpdog is 4-0 so far

    He and I disagree on our last game.

    Only one of us will run pure today.

    Every imaginable NHL over has hit. My even being in NHL is all Simp

    I also need Toronto Raptors for a tank parlay. Ironic

    I’ve never trash talked Simp before.

  8. #18728
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    1 minute left

    Raptors 99
    Suns 96

    The unthinkable?

  9. #18729
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    5 min in and CBJ/Vegas 1P over cashes

    Simp and I had Stars 1P under. 13-2 under streak. Cha-Ching

  10. #18730
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simp sweeps. I have to recount. May have been half dozen a bets.

    CBJ/Vegas over 6

    I must hate money.

    Simp is a recluse now. He never wanted the fame.

  11. #18731
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Mintlips system 5-4 today. Seems to make a little bit of $$ each day.

    Had a buddy run it through a database and it comes up around 57% depending on the year.

     
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      Mintjewlips: Nice. Thank you daly's buddy.

  12. #18732
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Both unders in the new football leauge hit today, one with ease.

    Something to keep an eye on.

  13. #18733
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    3-0 posted here yesterday.

    NHL 1st 7-1-0 +5.00 units
    tampa over first period -150
    hawks over first period -155



    NBA 1-2-1 -0.25 units
    Phoenix + Atlanta playing today

  14. #18734
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Mintlips system 5-4 today. Seems to make a little bit of $$ each day.

    Had a buddy run it through a database and it comes up around 57% depending on the year.

    Very encouraging to see this, I'm going to ride it out till the season ends.

    I'm going to try to weed out the losers, but I feel like that will end bad.

    Had you picked Nevada at the beginning when the line was out, I saw it a o/u 153 and that would have been a push.

    Either way, it's nice to know some kind of data can back up my fluke theory, shout out to your buddy.

    Over/Under 125 and below, plus a double digit spread, seem to almost go over, or so I've noticed, so if he ever manages to crunch those numbers I'll owe him a few cigars..
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  15. #18735
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    If you guys don't trust me on these NBA picks right now, I understand, because I've sucked lately.

    However, here are two picks for you anyway on the late games:

    Orlando at Atlanta - Under 223.5
    Miami at Golden State - Under 220.5

    Orlando's Aaron Gordon is battling a bad back.

  16. #18736
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Simp,

    Everyone and their brother is on the 1P’s. I mean rich people.

    Remember the massive depreciation you experienced when you drove your new Maserati off the dealers lot?

    Well, that is exactly what happens to the inflated 1P’s when the puck is dropped opening faceoff. The live juice falls impressively even in the first minute or two. On the flip side that is often how long it takes to get 2 goals.

    I never really get upset about bets I miss. If I miss a sale I’ll live. There is always another bet.

    BTW how is that Maserati in the snow?

  17. #18737
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    [

  18. #18738
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    You’re kidding me, Simp?

    2 Team Parlay +100

    Lowly Rangers
    MOBILE - HOCKEY - NHL - 15 TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS -155 FOR GAME

    Suns Tank component
    MOBILE - BASKETBALL - NBA - 546 SACRAMENTO KINGS -465 FOR GAME

    Took Leafs live -105

  19. #18739
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Leafs are destroying them. Hot goalie

    Let's hope for one.

  20. #18740
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    NHL 8-2 +4.5 units
    1-1 yesterday for -.5 units

    Sharks/Canucks -155 over first period

    NBA still 1-2-1 -0.25 units
    Knicks vs Cavs battle of tankers
    Bucks at Bulls

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