*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[simpdog]

Live bet Leafs heading to OT

Andersen unreal tonight. And advantage Leafs for ot

Bad decision. Glad I bet tiny.

Rest of night going ok

[Mintjewlips]

Holy shit, I took the over in the first half in the Houston game, over 118.5, they might score 200 in the first half...

[Daly]

Word must be out on the national anthem - over getting hammered up to 113.5

I thought under 110 was the play?

It’s what I liked based on her previous live events. Today was rehearsal day for everyone and obviously she went over, probably by a fair amount.

She went from 108.5 Under -130 to over -210 in 24 hours. Obviously someone knows something.

[Mintjewlips]

Total degenerate, I blew my load pre superbowl, now I'm trying to run up the $25 lol freeplay money bet, Tottenham vs Newcastle O2.5.....lol....

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

I thought under 110 was the play?

It’s what I liked based on her previous live events. Today was rehearsal day for everyone and obviously she went over, probably by a fair amount.

She went from 108.5 Under -130 to over -210 in 24 hours. Obviously someone knows something.

my book still has 110 and the over is -166...would you flip sides or just buy off the under if you already had a bet down?

[TheXFactor]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/twt/status/1091476092303695873

If he loses the bet, can he get a tattoo of Tom Brady on his ass?

[TheXFactor]

The mystery bettor who beat Las Vegas sportsbooks out of millions of dollars on the 2017 World Series and more than $10 million in Super Bowl LII appears to be back in action on Super Bowl LIII.

The unidentified gambler, who placed at least $7.4 million in money-line bets confirmed by the Review-Journal on the Eagles over the Patriots in last year’s NFL title game, is again betting big against New England.

The bettor placed a $1.5 million money-line wager to make $1.8 million Friday in Nevada on the Rams (+120) over the Patriots on his William Hill mobile app.

According to William Hill, it was the same bettor that won $1.65 million on a $1 million money-line wager on Philadelphia (+165) last year when the Eagles beat New England 41-33 in the Super Bowl.

Sources told the Review-Journal last year that was the same bettor who won all of his wagers on the 2017 World Series and helped deal Nevada books their worst baseball month ever in November 2017, when they lost $11.4 million.

MGM Resorts took a $2 million wager on the Super Bowl on Thursday, but sportsbook director Jay Rood declined to give details on the side or total.

Also Friday, a South Point bettor placed a $300,000 money-line wager on the Rams.

After taking the $1.5 million bet, William Hill lowered the Patriots from 3-point favorites (even) to 2½-point favorites (-110).

As of Friday night, every Las Vegas book was at 2½ (-110), and all but two books had the total at 56½.

Caesars Entertainment was at 56 and the Stratosphere at 57½.

Cmoney is that you?

[Mintjewlips]

Definitely going with the Pat's now....

[DJ_Chaps]

"mystery bettor" STFU. they know who it is ffs.

[Dan Druff]

Truth be told, I meant to bet that Golden State under last night but got distracted and forgot.

Oh well.

Here are two I won't forget to bet:

Memphis at Charlotte - Under 203.5 (204 on Bovada)
Houston at Denver - Under 223.5 (224 on Bovada)

After a nice win with Memphis, which was doing well pretty much the whole way, I just got clobbered hard with the Houston/Denver pick. Disaster the whole way, and there were over 150 points in the first half. Ouch!

Another 1-1 day.

Record now is 28-24-1.

So far it's been an unspectacular season for me in NBA. I'm picking at 53.85%, which is good enough to beat the juice, but I'm not exactly raking in the dough.

I've also made a lot fewer picks this year, as compared to last.

I do wish to point out that I was a winner in NBA in 2017-18 and MLB in 2018, and am currently ahead in NBA 2018-19, so at least you can see I'm not a sportsbetting fish.

NBA kinda threw me a curveball this season because so much changed. I had a good strategy all ready, and then I saw what was going on, and it was back to the drawing board.

[Daly]

It’s what I liked based on her previous live events. Today was rehearsal day for everyone and obviously she went over, probably by a fair amount.

She went from 108.5 Under -130 to over -210 in 24 hours. Obviously someone knows something.

my book still has 110 and the over is -166...would you flip sides or just buy off the under if you already had a bet down?

The market says 112.5

I’d feel semi comfortable playing the over, but 2 seconds ain’t that big a margin.

[Daly]

Definitely going with the Pat's now....

Anytime the market is at X and pinny has odds at X - Y I get worried. Pinny has Pats -2.5 -102 and 56.

The other handful of 7 figure bets on the Pats didn’t cause the books to flinch. One 7 figure bet at W Hill caused them to come off 3 for the rams.

I’m told the local guys up in Boston who have been 3 have found religion and moved to 2.5.


Sharp $$ on Rams and Under. That was the case last week, still the case now.

[Mintjewlips]

Definitely going with the Pat's now....

Anytime the market is at X and pinny has odds at X - Y I get worried. Pinny has Pats -2.5 -102 and 56.

The other handful of 7 figure bets on the Pats didn’t cause the books to flinch. One 7 figure bet at W Hill caused them to come off 3 for the rams.

I’m told the local guys up in Boston who have been 3 have found religion and moved to 2.5.


Sharp $$ on Rams and Under. That was the case last week, still the case now.

This could easily go either way.

I just remember betting on the philly moneyline last year and thinking how lucky I got to have won, the refs really helped philly.

I'm thinking this superbowl will have more interesting ref calls, I'm guessing in the Rams favor.

Belichick and Brady just never give up, if they can do to Goff what new Orleans did then I see Pat's covering 3, easily.

The defense schemes between New Orleans and the Pat's are very similar, I'm expecting the pats to apply pressure to Goff the entire game and live and die with the offense bailing them out.

I can just see Belichick stepping on the gas pedal from the start on both sides.

I just think that shutting down Goff will be easier than shutting down Brady.

I'm not saying Goff wont snap out of it and turn it on at some point, the question is, at what point? At what point in the game does Goff lose his butterflies and start gaining confidence? Either way, I'm guessing we will see a good game.

[Mintjewlips]

I have been observing a trend in the college basketball unders.

I have noticed that anytime an over/under is above 152 and the spread is double digits(the greater the spread the better), the under tends to hit more often than not.

Maybe one of you guys can run those numbers, I wouldn't even know where to start..

Also noticed that when the over/under is 125, and the spread is double digits, the over has hit all 3 times I've seen this, just food for thought..

So far 2-0 using this logic.

There were no games matching this yesterday.

I'm gonna ride this see where it takes me.

North Carolina vs Louisville U151

Duke vs St John's U161

[simpdog]

Going broke tonight. Might need a ride to GA.

Vegas +100
Penguins -1.5 -110
Washington +100

Coinflipping
Houston/Denver over 224
Knicks/Celtics under 215

Memphis +7.5 Haven't hit submit yet, need to check injuries.

4-1 with a small leafs OT loss. Got busy didn’t take Memphis.

[simpdog]

Leafs penguins first period -190. You know what to do
Tampa -165

Coin flipping
Pelicans spurs under 229.5. Doubling up on this
Denver minny over 221

[Sanlmar]

Minutes til face off

Tablet - Hockey - NHL - 48 Chicago Blackhawks/Minnesota Wild over 1½ -145 for 1st Period

Surprisingly low

Blackhawks 40-11

Wild 30-20


Coinflipping = NBA Lol

Attaboy on the 1st Period. Leafs. Today you became a man

I did Tampa & I’m allowed one NBA so Pelicans like u said

I forgot all about gambling today. Weird

[simpdog]

I forgot all about gambling today. Weird

First step is realizing you have a problem.

Don’t forget about gambling ever again.

[Dan Druff]

Forgot to post these. Already started a minute ago. Oops.

Well here they are:

Houston under 235
Atlanta under 222

[Dan Druff]

I only got half of those bets down at those lines.

I bet the other half live at 240.5 for Atlanta and 226.5 for Houston

I'm only counting the original line for my record here.