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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #1601
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Got this PM from the one and only jsizzle. As for the quality well he did the picture snipping jpg not me.



    Beg borrow and steal to lock this in (or fade it obv).

  2. #1602
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    I like Ohio State


     
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      Daly: Nailed it

  3. #1603
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    FADE OHIO STATE

     
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      Daly: Didnt nail it

  4. #1604
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    God I hope slizz is right. I have a futures with Ohio State but probably the worst price ever.

    Slizz can say he was giving the forum misinformation if Oregon rolls so he's got us coming and going.

    I'm hopeful of OSU being up at half so I can hedge.



    Edit: China what do you think of o/u 73? Traditionally these things don't hit over but obviously different teams on the field each year.

  5. #1605
    Silver ThreeBet's Avatar
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    I like OSU as well. Most athletic Big 10 team I've seen in a long time. Its been impressive how Urban Meyer has brought in SEC type athletes.

  6. #1606
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    I'm predicting a 42-31 final score for in favor of the team I bet which I'm not even going to mention who right now in fear of the jinx. I will post the ticket later if I win otherwise you can just assume I lost.

    Oregon will probably go for some 2pt conversion and ruin one of these totals whether they make it or don't.

  7. #1607
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    sharp line bovada o/u is 1.5 points below standard line. I might wait til just before kickoff and take the over...


    Or watch a few drives and hope for a couple punts and take the over then.

  8. #1608
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Went under 107 2nd half on Boston/NO. 49-49 at half.

    We risk overtime but I like this otherwise.

  9. #1609
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Just also fired Houston -1.5 2nd half, though it's still at 2 at some books.

    They're up by 8 at the half.

  10. #1610
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Barring a miracle its a 2-2 day. Won both Houston bets, and those Pelicans, which I can never seem to get right, are about to lose both (under already lost).

     
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      lol wow: houston bets were great

  11. #1611
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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      lewfather: WELCOME TO THE POSTER GAME CUZ

  12. #1612
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Coming into the day 70-63-5.

    3 picks today:

    Atlanta at Philly - Under 200 -105 - This is a staple of mine in recent weeks, a 76ers under. I will keep hammering these until things change. The 76ers are showing some life. They've won 2 in a row, which is why I am not going with Atlanta -13 here (the other reason being that -13 lines often get screwed by trash time, and virtually have no shot to win through end-of-game intentional fouling). However, Philly hasn't won thanks to an improved offense. They've won thanks to improved DEFENSE! In their two game winning streak, they scored 90 and 93 points -- similar to their output for most games this season, especially over the past several weeks. This team very rarely scores 95, and often is held well under 90 (sometimes under 80). Atlanta can put points up, but isn't a scoring juggernaut. This is a very good, balanced team, and is very consistent. However, they only occasionally put forth a major offensive outburst, as they did last time out against Washington. With Philly's inability to score, coupled with their better defense, I see this one going lower than 200.

    Dallas -5 -115 at Sacramento - The Kings continue to struggle despite the return of Cousins. Since his return, they have won a grand total of ONE game against a quality team -- a shocking beatdown of OKC on January 7th. The rest of their wins have been against the crap of the league. Dallas hasn't been great lately, but this Sacramento team is still plenty dysfunctional, and I like only having to give up 5 points here. I also see Dallas bouncing back here after two sobering losses to the resurgent Pistons and the solid Clippers.

    Golden State -8 -115 at Utah - I usually hate betting on Utah at home, as the altitude in Salt Lake often throws visiting teams off and makes the game unpredictable. However, Utah hasn't been any better this year at home than on the road, and there is a world of difference between these two squads. Golden State has won 6 in a row and sits with a 29-5 record, while Utah is just 13-25, and is back to its losing ways after a short spurt of inspired basketball. The reason for this relatively low line is Utah's occasional ability to surprise good teams (they beat Chicago by 20 on Jan 7), as well as their ability to sometimes play good teams close. Still, there is such a huge skill gap between these two squads, and the line is reasonable enough to where even a relatively close game could still go Golden State's way when it's over.

    Got a few worse lines on Bovada:

    GS -8.5 -105
    Dallas -5.5 -105
    Phi/Atl Under 200 -105

  13. #1613
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Suddenly everyone's on the 76ers bandwagon, and the line just crashed from -13 to -10.5.

    If it goes much lower, I will take the Atl.

    Edit: Ah, it's off the board on Bovada. Someone must be injured. I think that helps my under.

  14. #1614
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    I got dallas -5 last night as well.

  15. #1615
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Atl/Phi under looking great.

    63-49 with 4:52 left in the 3rd. Atlanta is just amazing. Two key players out, and they are still rolling. Of course, it's against the Sixers, but still...

  16. #1616
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    I got dallas -5 last night as well.
    I knew you would. You love to go against Sac, so I knew if I liked it, you also had to like it.

  17. #1617
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    I like Dallas too and even though I swore off betting the NBA for a while I will make a small play on them at -5.

    If this loses in a way like that Pistons game where I got backdoored the other day in the worst possible fashion then I won't be betting NBA until March or April when I start betting team total under props for games with playoff positioning implications.

  18. #1618
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    I like Dallas too and even though I swore off betting the NBA for a while I will make a small play on them at -5.

    If this loses in a way like that Pistons game where I got backdoored the other day in the worst possible fashion then I won't be betting NBA until March or April when I start betting team total under props for games with playoff positioning implications.
    Looks like you're a cooler.

    Finished with Dallas winning by 4 in OT.

    This was my only loss today. Other two won.

    Philly unders have been




    72-64-5 is my record.

  19. #1619
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    I like Dallas too and even though I swore off betting the NBA for a while I will make a small play on them at -5.

    If this loses in a way like that Pistons game where I got backdoored the other day in the worst possible fashion then I won't be betting NBA until March or April when I start betting team total under props for games with playoff positioning implications.
    Looks like you're a cooler.

    Finished with Dallas winning by 4 in OT.

    This was my only loss today. Other two won.
    True, but at least this game didn't lose the same way the Pistons didn't cover with 4 missed free throws in the last minute and giving up a layup in the last couple seconds.

    I watched zero seconds of this game but from what it looks like according to the box score info Dallas came from behind to get to OT so in that case they weren't covering 5 anyways unless it got to OT and after that is wishful thinking.

  20. #1620
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here we go with more NBA:

    San Antonio -4.5 at Charlotte - Charlotte overrated because of their inexplicable winning streak, but this isn't a good team. Three of those 5 wins in this streak were against bad teams.

    SA/Charlotte - Over 189.5 - Why is this line under 190? While neither team kills it with the scoring, Charlotte has put up between 98 and 110 points in their lats 5, and San Antonio has put up over 100 in 4 of their last 5.

    Philadelphia at Toronto - Under 202 - What a surprise... I'm picking another Philly under. It has been a month since Philly broke 100, and their last 6 games have seen 92 or fewer scored, including 87 yesterday. Toronto can sometimes rack up high scores, but they play defense, unlike a team like Phoenix. They've only scored over 109 once in their past 6 games, and that was 111.

    Houston -9 at Orlando - Houston has crushed 4 bad teams in a row, and I see them doing it again. Orlando shocked the inconsistent Bulls last time out with a win, but they had lost 6 straight prior to that. They have looked really bad lately, even losing to the struggling Lakers.

    Bet:
    Houston -9
    SA -4.5
    SA Under 190 -115

    The bolded above was a stupid misclick, so now I'm in the odd situation of betting against my own pick. I meant to bet over. I'm just going to leave it because I don't want double juice. I will call Bovada and see if by some chance they can change it.

    Could not bet Philly under because it's OTB (likely due to DeRozan being questionable)

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