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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15541
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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      Sanlmar: Little wrapped up in my own shit. Nice picture
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  2. #15542
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Hopefully everyone has a good day. Still to be determined

    Yankees 4-0 Final
    DOdgers 3-2 6th inn


    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 971 NEW YORK YANKEES +150 FOR GAME

    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 962 ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +182 FOR GAME

    TYPE
    RISK
    TO WIN
    PARLAY
    $100.00
    $605.00

    TABLET - BASEBALL - MLB - 962 LOS ANGELES DODGERS/ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS OVER 7½ -103 FOR GAME


    Sprinkle a live bet DBacks at +325

    More Kershaw please

  3. #15543
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    2 on & 1 out 7th with Goldschmidt up. Looked pathetic.

    Jansen should help

    DBacks Dyson is a burner. Steal home please

    Walk Taylor to get to Joc strap Pederson Love it

    Fuck yes. This Dodgers thing is so so sweet.

    Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-01-2018 at 09:01 PM.

  4. #15544
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    You remember Pomeranz, Druff? I think he’s hurt. 87-88 mph fastball & he has not found his curve yet. He’s getting tee’d up.

    Duffy is a lefty (and awful) but Sawks should show their muscle on offense too. JD Martinez is gonna kill him

    Extra innings between Sawks & Royals tonight.

    MOBILE - BASEBALL - MLB - 916 KANSAS CITY ROYALS/BOSTON RED SOX OVER 10 -115 FOR GAME

    1pm EST start. 80 degrees. Gonna be several long balls.

    I have almost never bet over 10. I will now.

  5. #15545
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Everything held except Tor/Min under. That one was 4-3 in the 8th, and 4-4 going into the 9th, but 3 runs came in the top half of the 9th, and I lost. Can't ever hit those.

    But still a good day, going 4-1 including that +167 Braves hit.

    The Braves win snapped an ugly losing streak of 5 games in a row where I had sides.

    I'm now 2-0 backing Scherzer -1.5.

    Still batting .000 on overs.

    Here's an update on my record, which briefly fell into the red yesterday before popping back above even today:

    SEASON TOTAL THRU 4/24: 23-18, +5.451

    4/25:
    Washington (Scherzer) -1.5 +100 at San Francisco (Samardijza) - WON +1
    Detroit (Boyd) at Pittsburgh (Kuhl) - Under 8 -115 - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 1-1, 0 units

    4/27:
    Milwaukee (Suter) +154 at Cubs (Darvish) - LOST -1
    Milwaukee/Cubs OVER 7.5 +104 - LOST -1
    Tampa Bay (Snell) at Boston (Pomeranz) - Under 8.5 -115 - WON +0.870
    Texas (Minor) at Toronto (Stroman) - Under 9 -115 - LOST -1
    Braves (Teheran) +153 at Phillies (Nola) - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 1-4, -3.130 units

    4/28:
    Milwaukee (Guerra) +155 at Cubs (Quintana) - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 0-1, -1 units

    4/30:
    Kansas City (Hammel) at Boston (E. Rodriguez) - Under 8.5 -110 - LOST -1
    Tampa (Faria) at Detroit (Zimmerman) - Under 8.5 -110 - WON +0.909
    at Minnesota (Lynn) -114 vs. Toronto (Aaron Sanchez) - LOST -1
    San Diego (Lauer) +149 at San Francisco (Samardzija) - LOST -1
    TOTAL: 1-3, -2.091 units

    5/1:
    at Washington -1.5 (Scherzer) -110 vs. Pittsburgh (Kuhl) - WON +0.909
    Atlanta (Soroka) +167 at Mets (Syndergaard) - WON +1.670
    Dodgers (Kershaw) at Arizona (Koch) - Under 7.5 -115 - WON +0.870
    Toronto (M. Estrada) at Minnesota (Gibson) - Under 9 -120 - LOST -1
    Philadelphia (Eflin) at Miami (Jarlin Garcia) - Under 8.5 +100 - WON +1
    TOTAL: 4-1, +3.449 units

    TOTAL 4/25-5/1:
    7-10, -2.772 units

    SEASON TOTAL THRU 5/1:
    30-28, +2.679 units

    Overs: 0-3
    Spread (-1.5): 2-0
    Unders: 19-13-2
    Sides: 9-12

     
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      Sanlmar: Very nice work today. Concede the lucky Dodger under.

  6. #15546
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    You can always fade Kershaw for that bankroll booster tomorrow


    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    The ML swings on the Dodgers today are breathtaking

    220–>170–>205

    I’ve been doing naughty and very un-chalky things.
    Nothing more entertaining than reading my own posts. Lol.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Kid's Got Heart Rep

  7. #15547
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sanlmar, Dodgers under was lucky due to the fact that, after their bullpen blew the game in the bottom of the 7th, Arizona had a man on 3rd with nobody out, and if that guy scored, the under would have been toast. Somehow they got out of it.

    However, I can't really say I was that lucky when an under 7.5 went into the bottom of the 7th in a 3-2 game. I did get lucky in that particular inning.

    Either way, given all the late-inning screw jobs I've had this season (more than expected, for sure), I am deserving of some luck.

  8. #15548
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Dare I do another double Cubs bet involving F Yu?

    :whynot

    Starting 11:20am PDT

    Colorado (T. Anderson) +199 at Cubs (Darvish)
    Colorado/Cubs - Under 10.5 -115

    Two notes:

    Anderson has had weird chest pain recently, and it interrupted his last start. However, he thinks it won't be a big deal, and I believe it won't show up again today.

    Wind is blowing out of Wrigley at about 11mph, hence the high total. So beware betting this if you are afraid of wind-influenced totals at Wrigley.

  9. #15549
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Duffy is a lefty (and awful) but Sawks should show their muscle on offense too. JD Martinez is gonna kill him
    Duffy and Pomeranz allowing hard contact

    JD just hit a 2 run moonshot.

    3-3 in the 4th. Game easily could have been over already

  10. #15550
    Diamond PLOL's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Dare I do another double Cubs bet involving F Yu?

    :whynot

    Starting 11:20am PDT

    Colorado (T. Anderson) +199 at Cubs (Darvish)
    Colorado/Cubs - Under 10.5 -115

    Two notes:

    Anderson has had weird chest pain recently, and it interrupted his last start. However, he thinks it won't be a big deal, and I believe it won't show up again today.

    Wind is blowing out of Wrigley at about 11mph, hence the high total. So beware betting this if you are afraid of wind-influenced totals at Wrigley.
    Took the under with you. Was gonna take Colorado too, but it was only +190 on my book. O/U gonna be a sweat.
    TRUMP 2024!

    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  11. #15551
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Duffy is a lefty (and awful) but Sawks should show their muscle on offense too. JD Martinez is gonna kill him
    Duffy and Pomeranz allowing hard contact

    JD just hit a 2 run moonshot.

    3-3 in the 4th. Game easily could have been over already
    4 solo HR. Weak sauce

    Would do again.

  12. #15552
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Dare I do another double Cubs bet involving F Yu?

    :whynot

    Starting 11:20am PDT

    Colorado (T. Anderson) +199 at Cubs (Darvish)
    Colorado/Cubs - Under 10.5 -115

    Two notes:

    Anderson has had weird chest pain recently, and it interrupted his last start. However, he thinks it won't be a big deal, and I believe it won't show up again today.

    Wind is blowing out of Wrigley at about 11mph, hence the high total. So beware betting this if you are afraid of wind-influenced totals at Wrigley.
    Took the under with you. Was gonna take Colorado too, but it was only +190 on my book. O/U gonna be a sweat.


    I would've taken Col at +190 too.

    Nolan Arenado killed our under. Not like I'm surprised our under lost to the HR ball on a day like today. But that's why I put the disclaimer -- I knew that play had a lot of variance.

    I can't be too unhappy though because I still am up +0.99 units for the whole thing.

  13. #15553
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Astros v Yankees OVER 7.5

    Astros team total OVER 3.5

  14. #15554
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Won't fault you if you don't trust one of my over picks... but here is one I've been looking at for awhile, and I'm going to fire on it. Starting at 4:05pm PDT

    Pittsburgh (Nova) at Washington (Strasburg) - Over 8 +102

  15. #15555
    Diamond PLOL's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Won't fault you if you don't trust one of my over picks... but here is one I've been looking at for awhile, and I'm going to fire on it. Starting at 4:05pm PDT

    Pittsburgh (Nova) at Washington (Strasburg) - Over 8 +102
    Alright, but I'm martingaling, so don't fuck it up

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Martingaling Rep
    TRUMP 2024!

    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Just non-stop unrelenting LGBT propaganda being shoved down our throats.

  16. #15556
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    We got bases loaded 1 out in top 1.

    3-2 count.

    Come on grand salami....

  17. #15557
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Considering Oakland under but not firing yet.

    Also considered Reds under which I chose to pass, which is too bad because it's 1-0 in the 3rd. Just too much unknown with Castillo (who has been horrendous) and Miley (first start of 2018, and has sucked for years). But boy was this under anti-public. If the under holds, books will clean up (as much as they can on a weeknight low-profile baseball game).

  18. #15558
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Interesting one in the world of prop betting. It's not uncommon for an offshore book to try and pull a fast one on exotic props..... never heard of a "Vegas" casino pulling a stunt like this.

    Might be worth a mention on PFA Radio @DanDruff if it's a slow week (my buddy published the below)

    _________________

    William Hill has some controversy with some draft props, I think we've all been there with some of these novelty props.

    The ESPN article doesn't have as many details

    http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id...onfusion-vegas

    But if you got 20 minutes, Gil tells the story. I wasn't 100% convinced he was right until the end with the exact wording of the bet.

    https://twitter.com/VSiNLive/status/991722903501598720

  19. #15559
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Interesting one in the world of prop betting. It's not uncommon for an offshore book to try and pull a fast one on exotic props..... never heard of a "Vegas" casino pulling a stunt like this.

    Might be worth a mention on PFA Radio @DanDruff if it's a slow week (my buddy published the below)

    _________________

    William Hill has some controversy with some draft props, I think we've all been there with some of these novelty props.

    The ESPN article doesn't have as many details

    http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id...onfusion-vegas

    But if you got 20 minutes, Gil tells the story. I wasn't 100% convinced he was right until the end with the exact wording of the bet.

    https://twitter.com/VSiNLive/status/991722903501598720
    Yeah I did a thread earlier today on the Scams part of the forum: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...rop-bet-ticket

    The ESPN author replied to me in a tweet.

     
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      Daly: Beat me to the story rep

  20. #15560
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Washington over hit easily.

    So let's take our 2.01 units up for the day and put them both at risk with this two-pronged play:

    Oakland (Brett Anderson) +159 at Seattle (Paxton)
    Oakland/Seattle under 8 -110

    Believe it or not, Anderson has looked excellent in his AAA starts, striking out 25 in 19 innings, walking 2, and allowing 2 ER total.

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