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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #15121
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sheesfaced View Post
    Good news is Finau tee'd off.

    Bad news is he's -1 after 4.

    Must be some damn good painkillers.
    no fucking kidding...pass some of that shit...

    still very early...see what happens after he walks up and down the mountains there...
    Thru Amen Corner and hes leading the fucking tournament

    Gonna need Larry Mize to get in the fucking clubhouse +6 or better
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  2. #15122
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post

    no fucking kidding...pass some of that shit...

    still very early...see what happens after he walks up and down the mountains there...
    Thru Amen Corner and hes leading the fucking tournament

    Gonna need Larry Mize to get in the fucking clubhouse +6 or better
    I'm stunned...drk posted a screen shot from the moment it happened...I seriously don't get how the hell he is -4 after looking at that pic...

    when you have to pop your fucking ankle back into place it's a bit of an injury and these guys aren't exactly hockey players...

    long way to go...those huge Sergio numbers are out there...

  3. #15123
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    If you don't care about aesthetics being a Samoan like Feenow is the perfect race. I mean you are obviously strong as an ox... but then you are also Asian so you are smart.

    No one should have expected him not to play though. He popped the ankle back in and continued to play the par 3 contest yesterday that no one takes seriously. (It's within the rules to have your kids or grandkids play shots on your behalf in the par 3 contest)

  4. #15124
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Yeah needless to say I'm surprised about Finau.

    Think we in OK shape here with Mize. Hopefully Woos sucks again tomorrow.

  5. #15125
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post

    Thru Amen Corner and hes leading the fucking tournament

    Gonna need Larry Mize to get in the fucking clubhouse +6 or better
    I'm stunned...drk posted a screen shot from the moment it happened...I seriously don't get how the hell he is -4 after looking at that pic...

    when you have to pop your fucking ankle back into place it's a bit of an injury and these guys aren't exactly hockey players...

    long way to go...those huge Sergio numbers are out there...
    It really doesn't even make sense.

  6. #15126
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Yeah needless to say I'm surprised about Finau.

    Think we in OK shape here with Mize. Hopefully Woos sucks again tomorrow.
    I assumed the bet was only round 1. Damnit. We are in pretty good shape but I obviously wish it was over
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  7. #15127
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    With Speith at -7 there ain't a chance in hell Woos can make the cut. It's all or nothing tomorrow.

  8. #15128
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    4000/205,000 ain't bad

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      Brittney Griner's Clit: selecting Thai John Daly even though he screwed you

  9. #15129
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Was anyone watching that White Sox game?

    After all the shit luck I had with getting fucked in the NBA this season, it was nice to get a lucky MLB win.

    My pick was on the better of two horrible pitchers (Zimmerman over Shields), mainly based upon the fact that Zimmerman has shown glimpses in the spring and the first game of looking like his former self. (He still gave up 4 runs in 6 innings in his first game, but overall didn't look bad.) It was also based upon the fact that Shields is awwwwwful and should be out of baseball, or at least in the back end of a rotation of an NL team in a pitchers park.

    Miggy Cabrera was also injured running through a single earlier in the game.

    Well, Shields turned in an okay performance, and Zimmerman was awful. Sox up 7-3 in the 8th, and I wrote it off, since the Tigers didn't exactly have a blistering offense to where you can hope for 4 runs in 2 innings.

    Then a glimmer of hope... three straight singles, and Tigers have bases loaded with nobody out. A sac fly and double play finish it off for the inning, and they go to the bottom of the 8th down 7-4. I'm still not at all optimistic.

    Top 9, Soria pitching but looking quite wild on a cooooooooooold night in Chicago. But there's two out and a man on first, and Niko Goodrum barely hits a ball over the outfield wall line, and it's 7-6.

    Castellanos then singled, bringing up Victor Martinez. Martinez hit a hooking fly to left, and the ball was badly misplayed. Should have been another single, but it rolled to the wall, and game was tied. McCann then grounded out to end the inning.

    Top 10, Tigers get runners on 1st and 2nd with no out, and two end up scoring . 9-7 now!

    Then just to bring some final drama in bottom 10th, Shane Greene, who isn't used to closing, is wild, and walks a batter and hits another with two out. Winning run at the plate, and a double would tie it. Moncada whiffed, and that's the ballgame.

    To review: Won in extras after Tigers down 4 in the 8th and down 3 in the 9th. Tying run in 9th scored only thanks to a misplay.





    Now I need the scoring in the Reds/Pirates game to stay low (threatening in the 5th).

     
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      Sheesfaced: Yep. I tailed you for the sweat, and had also given up. I'll take it!

  10. #15130
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post

    Will update NBA record shortly.
    With the Masters in full swing, this meme seems apropos

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    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  11. #15131
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two nailbiters today, but the record is the same as if they were blowout wins.

    Cincy/Pitt under 8 squeaks by in a 5-2 game (and it was 5-1 after 5 innings), and Detroit comes back from 3 down with 2 out and a runner on first in the 9th, to win 9-7 in extras.

    Detroit +118: +1.18 units
    Cincy/Pitt under 8 -115: +0.870 units

    Total for day: 2-0, +2.050 units.

    MLB Season total: 6-1, +4.697 units

     
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      Sheesfaced:

  12. #15132
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    As jsearles wants to see my NBA record so badly because he knows I did badly at the end, here it is:

    Record after March 9 was 173-147-6.

    Here's what happened since then:

    3/10:
    Charlotte under 218 - LOST
    3/11:
    Chicago under 213 - LOST
    Sac under 214 - LOST
    3/13:
    Knicks +1 - LOST
    3/14:
    Milwaukee -10.5 - LOST
    Golden State Under 223.5 - WON
    3/16:
    Sacramento +9 - WON
    3/17:
    Brooklyn -4 - WON
    Denver -6.5 - LOST
    Cleveland -7 - LOST
    Utah under 198 - LOST
    3/18:
    Clippers under 218 - LOST
    3/19:
    San Antonio over 201 - LOST
    3/23:
    Cleveland under 228 - WON
    Utah under 193.5 - LOST
    Miami over 217.5 - LOST
    Golden State under 220.5 - WON
    4/3
    Cleveland under 222 - WON

    Record from 3/10-4/3: 6-12

    Overall NBA record to date: 179-159-6 (52.96%)

    So that's a little above the 52.38% mark you need to have a profitable season, but not by much.

    The season was a tale of two parts:

    Through December 30: 98-62-2
    December 31-April 3: 81-97-4

    While this "break" is arbitrary (I purposely selected my peak and then started the second portion at my first real losing streak), it's clear that I was doing something very right in November and December, but stuck too long with an approach which wasn't cutting it in the middle and later portions of the season.

    I did have some bad luck in the second portion of the season, getting a lot of unders ruined by OT (more than expectation), and taking a number of bad beats on spread games.

    Also notable was HOW I was winning. In November and December, it was common for my picks to win by 20+ points (especially the unders). In 2018, my wins tended to be close. This is important because the blowout wins tend to indicate an excellent pick, while the close wins are more a function of luck.

    I may or may not pick the playoffs. I'm mostly done for the regular season, unless something jumps out at me.

    Next year I will take a different approach in January-April, and perhaps just shut it down if I start to slump, as it seems I'm just better at early season.

     
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      jsearles22: Profitable rep.....

  13. #15133
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brittney Griner's Clit View Post
    If you don't care about aesthetics being a Samoan like Feenow is the perfect race. I mean you are obviously strong as an ox... but then you are also Asian so you are smart.

    No one should have expected him not to play though. He popped the ankle back in and continued to play the par 3 contest yesterday that no one takes seriously. (It's within the rules to have your kids or grandkids play shots on your behalf in the par 3 contest)
    2nd cousins with Jabari parker...jesus that's some fucking genetics in that bloodline...

  14. #15134
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    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post
    Twins +109
    Brewers +108

    Extra heavy on the Brewers.
    Brewers scored 0 runs.

    Friday action:

    Padres +248
    Braves +137

  15. #15135
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Getting a little uncomfortable here.... get Woos out there ASAP

  16. #15136
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    finau +2 thru 6 today...that's more like it...

  17. #15137
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    I have Miami O44 wins. They are at 43. I am kinda worried they are going to tank the last few games so they can get the 7th seed and play the Celtics. But they are playing the knicks today so hopefully even if they are playing to lose they will win anyways.

  18. #15138
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    I have Miami O44 wins. They are at 43. I am kinda worried they are going to tank the last few games so they can get the 7th seed and play the Celtics. But they are playing the knicks today so hopefully even if they are playing to lose they will win anyways.
    have them at 43.5...knicks are in full shit the bed mode...gonna be tough as hell for them to lose that one...

    and you were worried about minny too...that one already covered...

  19. #15139
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    I have Miami O44 wins. They are at 43. I am kinda worried they are going to tank the last few games so they can get the 7th seed and play the Celtics. But they are playing the knicks today so hopefully even if they are playing to lose they will win anyways.
    have them at 43.5...knicks are in full shit the bed mode...gonna be tough as hell for them to lose that one...

    and you were worried about minny too...that one already covered...
    Yeah. Got lucky with the injuries to the T wolves. But they are a real thin team and the starters play too many minutes so not really luck.

    If Miami at least pushes I will do pretty well on my season bets overall.

  20. #15140
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    finau +2 thru 6 today...that's more like it...
    Maybe the opium isn't working as well today

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