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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #14621
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Lost 4 in a row, after 0-2 on Saturday, 0-1 Sunday, 0-1 Monday.

    Now 153-124-4.

  2. #14622
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Minnesota vs Rockets over

    Cavs money line

    Spurs vs Denver over
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  3. #14623
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Miami under 204.5 (can get 205 at some books, and even 206 on some Bovada accounts)

    Starting in 30-35 min

  4. #14624
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Minnesota +3.5

    Starting in 15-20 min

  5. #14625
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sacramento under 206

  6. #14626
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    Seeing a ton of solid cappers on the Wolves tonight +3.5 ..... if i had a roll i would be betting a huge chunk on this

  7. #14627
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    Seeing a ton of solid cappers on the Wolves tonight +3.5 ..... if i had a roll i would be betting a huge chunk on this
    On the Cavs?

  8. #14628
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugh.

    Boy have I been cold recently.

    Toronto under got blown out.

    Minnesota was within a few for most of the game, now trails by 13. That's pretty much done.

    Sac under is close but shading over because of an inexpicable 64-point 2nd.


  9. #14629
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    wow is it ever just plain suicide to fade the Rockettes

  10. #14630
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Minnesota vs Rockets over

    Cavs money line

    Spurs vs Denver over

    FADE ME BITCH

    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  11. #14631
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Sorry Druff but stupid was Minty is now king of the thread

    Edit. Stupid ass minty

  12. #14632
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Sorry Druff but stupid was Minty is now king of the thread

    I'll gracefully bow to druff, his record speaks for itself, guy is pretty good overall....
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  13. #14633
    PFA Radio Host Drexel's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Minnesota vs Rockets over

    Cavs money line

    Spurs vs Denver over

    FADE ME BITCH


    Minty is GOD.


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      Mintjewlips: ALL PRAISE TO YAHWEH

  14. #14634
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Hawks vs Pistons over 209.5

    Hornets vs Magic over 214

    Philly -7.5

    Wizards -5

    Lakers money line +180


    GLGLGL
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  15. #14635
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    Quote Originally Posted by GambleBotsChafedPenis View Post
    NOTE: I don't cap or do any analytics shit, just watch all the games so take this with a grain of salt...



    so here is nova's end of the season schedule:
    2/14 @ PROV
    2/17 @ X
    2/21 v DEPAUL
    2/24 @ CREI
    2/28 @ HALL


    that's about as hard as it gets...I bolded the games to focus on...I could even bold the PROV game because they are tough at the dunk, but just want to concentrate on those 3 games...I fully expect nova to go 2-1 or 1-2 in those games...if nova wins any game I can see it being the game against X...was shocked that nova plastered them as bad as they did in philly...but I fully expect that in cincy that they are gonna bully ball the fuck outta the game and ugly it up...the HALL game will be the same way...that squad is old school big east...tough and rugged...they have 3 seniors who are really fucking good college players and they are gonna want to stick it right up novas ass...the only concern I have with them is that they cant shoot FTs for shit (67% as a team)...the CREI game is not gonna be anything close to a knock out drag out fight...there will be fireworks in Omaha and they do not fucking lose at home...

    looking to only take the home teams if they are dogs...if nova is a dog I have no interest in either side...im hoping that nova will be "overvalued" by vegas by time we get to those games...unfortunately I don't see nova getting to that point in the schedule with just the one loss that they have now...

    again don't go nuts on any of this shit...if you want to bet a lunch on the spread and sprinkle a little on the money line it's probably the best way to go...again only fire if the home teams are dogs...and if there's anybody who caps this shit and wildly disagrees with me then by all means disregard this post...ive been watching nova/big east forever and know that that is just a fucking brutal stretch of games...
    still 11 to go in the second but PROV up 49-44...PROV was a 9/10 point dog in this one...

    if we get favorable lines in those games I outlined I think the bets will be back on...will confirm in thread, but again don't blow a load on this...first game is against X on Saturday...

    shoulda listened to my gut with PROV...they are a decent team and the dunk is not an easy place to get a win even though they lost to fucking DePaul in their last game...

    EDIT: very confusing game...NOVA lost but that was an absolute offensive bedshit while the defense was decent enough...20% from 3 and 19 TOs and just 4 offensive boards...missed the SJU game that NOVA lost so can't comment on that one, but this is the worst game that ive seen NOVA play all year...10 point line was probably about balls on...NOVA shoots 40% from 3 and they win by 10 so I'm thinking a line like X +5/6 will probably be worth betting...like PROV with their game prior to NOVA against DEPAUL, NOVA coulda been looking ahead to Saturday and the game against X...
    Last edited by GambleBotsChafedPenis; 02-14-2018 at 10:56 PM.

  16. #14636
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Guys,

    I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

    I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

    I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

    Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

    Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)

  17. #14637
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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  18. #14638
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Guys,

    I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

    I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

    I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

    Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

    Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)
    Ive been running a martingale type system with your bets the last few months. Its been pretty damn profitable. But ive given almost all of it back. Tonight is the last bullet. Good luck us! Im all in
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  19. #14639
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Guys,

    I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

    I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

    I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

    Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

    Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)
    Ive been running a martingale type system with your bets the last few months. Its been pretty damn profitable. But ive given almost all of it back. Tonight is the last bullet. Good luck us! Im all in
    Denver leading all game so far but never anything safe.

    GL

  20. #14640
    Diamond chinamaniac's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Guys,

    I've hit a wall. I'm thinking it might soon be time to pack it in and try again in the first half of next NBA season. My methods which worked so well are now failing, even with some modifications.

    I'm also finding far fewer "value" under bets, and it doesn't help that a lot more games seem to be going over in general right now.

    I've lost 7 in a row -- my worst streak of the year.

    Here's one for 35 mins from now, but I don't blame you if you don't trust it:

    Denver +3 -115 (2.5 -110 ok, +125 or better moneyline ok)
    Do you think there is something to the first 30 games of a season being easier?

    It can go either way depending how the games are capped. I traditionally do better with more data but sometimes you kind find better value on lines earlier in the season probably more too in the NBA

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