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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #12381
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    Quote Originally Posted by PLOL View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by OSA View Post
    After my Eagles ML bet won, I am up to $42.77 from just a measly $2.65. Here is where I try to double up or as close to it as possible.


    Parlay $42.77 $29.28

    Basketball - 519 Boston Celtics -275 for Game

    Basketball - 518 San Antonio Spurs -425 for Game


    Here to riding this great streak.
    TY for pick. Took Mavs +230 and Mavs +6.5. $300 each. Also taking under 199.5 for $500
    I love the under in this game as well big and mavs small...maybe the under 6 goals Leafs/coyotes and I’m trying to find a reason to not hammer the over 46 in the MNF game

  2. #12382
    Diamond Mintjewlips's Avatar
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    Im taking Atl -1 1/2 tonight.
    "Druff would suck his own dick if it were long enough"- Brandon "drexel" Gerson

    "ann coulter literally has more common sense than pfa."-Sonatine

    "Real grinders supports poker fraud"- Ray Davis


    "DRILLED HER GOOD"- HONGKONGER

  3. #12383
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    really not a big fan of 5 team parlays but oh well


    Nov 20, 2017 06:20 PM Parlay $150.00 $887.46

    Basketball - 530 Syracuse -450 for Game

    Basketball - 582 NC Greensboro -375 for Game

    Hockey - 51 Arizona Coyotes/Toronto Maple Leafs under 6 -105 for Game

    Soccer - 17940 Huracan/Velez Sarsfield over 2 -120 for Game

    Tennis - 85024 Peterson, Rebecca -403 for Match

  4. #12384
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    NFL O46
    Hornets/wolves O213

  5. #12385
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    2 picks for the 4pm PST NBA games:

    Detroit +3 -115 (-110 on Bovada for square accts right now)
    Indiana Under 220

     
    Comments
      
      Sanlmar: Brent Beckley wants your business.

  6. #12386
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    California ML +2700
    (6) Wichita St

    2nd qtr
    61 Calif
    47 Wichita

    Dream on outright

  7. #12387
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Im taking Atl -1 1/2 tonight.
    If there was a prize for guessing line movement regardless of final scores I’d be king.

    11/19/2017 6:41:40 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 107 MINNESOTA VIKINGS PK -110 FOR GAME

    Now -3

    11/18/2017 1:33:39 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 475 ATLANTA FALCONS +2½ -105 FOR GAME

    Now -1 with juice

    It’s been cashing so we will see. Overwhelmingly, favorites have been cashing so that explains my luck.

  8. #12388
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Sanlmar: Brent Beckley wants your business
    He already has it, sadly.

    But Bovada had better lines in these 2 games.

    It's funny because I got a late start analyzing these games and was under the gun to get the 4pm picks out. I chose these two in the first 2 games I looked at, saw the long schedule, and though I might have a verminaard 9-pick day.

    Then, one by one, I couldn't decide on anything else. No other sides. No other totals.

    So it's just these two.

    Sharp money also went on my 2 picks, though in my own defense, the sharp money on the Indiana under came in AFTER I posted it here on PFA about 30 minutes ago, so maybe the NBA betting world has taken notice of me.

    Okay, maybe not.

    The following also had sharp money but I decided not to touch them:

    Utah
    Utah under
    Memphis
    Atlanta
    Dallas

    So if I wanted to just bet with the sharps, I could have done those 5 as well, but honestly I don't really have enough faith in any of those to cover.

  9. #12389
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Mintjewlips View Post
    Im taking Atl -1 1/2 tonight.
    If there was a prize for guessing line movement regardless of final scores I’d be king.

    11/19/2017 6:41:40 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 107 MINNESOTA VIKINGS PK -110 FOR GAME

    Now -3

    11/18/2017 1:33:39 PM
    DESCRIPTION:
    MOBILE - FOOTBALL - NFL - 475 ATLANTA FALCONS +2½ -105 FOR GAME

    Now -1 with juice

    It’s been cashing so we will see. Overwhelmingly, favorites have been cashing so that explains my luck.
    I think Atlanta moved because Julio Jones is now slated to play.

    Minnesota moved because everyone is betting them.

  10. #12390
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    You gotta be strapped properly to play like the Verminator

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  11. #12391
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Is that your house?

    Do you really have 5 TVs there?

    Do you have 5 cable boxes in that room?

    Wow

  12. #12392
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Detroit pick is a disaster, though I suppose Cleveland can shit the bed in epic fashion. But what I've noticed with Cleveland is that their problem is starting off poorly. If they start off well, they tend to be okay. I'm saying this anecdotally. I haven't crunched those numbers.

    Indiana under isn't turning out too well, either, but it's still early, and you know how those things can change.

    The good thing about Under 220 type picks is that you can get healthy quickly if the scoring goes through a few-minute drought, because it requires 4.58 points per minute to keep up.

  13. #12393
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    In mid-game hindsight:

    Utah under was actually a good bet, and I shouldn't have talked myself out of it. I looked at that one pretty hard.

    Never considered backing Utah itself, though, as they are terrible and very tough to handicap.

    Detroit pick was a disaster, though I don't really regret it because Cleveland has been so bad, and this game was a perfect example of one where they would crap the bed. But they showed up tonight.

    Atlanta +9 too tempting but I just don't think that team is going to stay competitive on the road, even with the Spurs which are a very different team without Kawhi Leonard. I mean, I can see them covering, but I can't pull the trigger.

  14. #12394
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I haven't done this in awhile, and I've only made two in-game bets this year, going 1-1.

    But I might fire Detroit again at the half if they're down more than 20 and I like the line.

    Indiana under starting to look better.

  15. #12395
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Two halftime bets:

    Detroit -5.5 2H (essentially Detroit +21.5 for the game)
    Utah Under 108 2H (essentially under 191 for game)

    I'm 0-1 on halftime bets this year and 1-0 in live betting though, so keep that in mind.

  16. #12396
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    @MGMRaceSports Scott Shelton on ATL-SEA: Just took $30K bet on Falcons -1, moved line to ATL -1.5. Followed by $10K two-team parlay of ATL -1.5 and Over 46. Book needs Seahawks outright!


    Seattle will win for the books. Both public + sharps on ATL


  17. #12397
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well I suck at halftime betting.

    0-2 today, 0-3 overall. Think I'm giving up on that. Frustratingly the Utah under halftime one had its scoring stop right after it beat my bet, so I only lost by 2.

    My full game picks today will go 1-1 provided Indiana stays out of OT.

  18. #12398
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    That is ok Druff. I suck st halftime and live betting too.

    I bet under in the Dallas and Sacramento games fWIW.

  19. #12399
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    If Sea wants to win they gotta ditch the Graham matchup and go for Baldwin, Richardson.

    Sea def will not give up alot of points in the 2nd half. Live bet seems legit now

  20. #12400
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    Celts are gonna cost me. Fucking piece of shit Boston team. Figures

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