*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[hongkonger]

anybody have any NBA O/Us worth looking at?

was thinking Minny U 48.5 (-139) and Philly U 39.5 (-133)...prices are a little steep on these guys...

was reading Zach lowe's recent article breaking down where the teams rank and he said he thought minny would be lucky to win 50...like the team, but when you start to breakdown the west you have GS, SA, HOU, OKC at the top with POR, UTH, DEN being feisty and LAC still being there...tough road to 50...

philly...just like the under because of the hype...no doubt the talent is there, but it is literally a bunch of rookies and a couple of 2nd-3rd year guys...prove you can win, prove you can stay healthy...

NOP U 40 (-107) you could probably talk me into because boogie while being uber talented is a net negative and mental case and I'm sure he'll manage to drag that team into the shit heap...

MIA O 43.5 (-122)...man spolestra can coach and managed to coax 41 wins outta his team last year...this line seems about right, but can he get those extra 3 wins? the east I believe is worse than it was last year (don't know how the fuck that is humanly possible) so that might be enough for him to get there...

going to fire on MIN/PHL either tonight or tomorrow, but am willing to hear arguments on all of these...

Bill Simmons and Joe House have a couple pods (1 for each conference) where they go over the O/Us for each team. I listen to it every year and normally go with some of his choices. He normally does pretty good, although he has losing years sometimes.

I am pretty sure him and House agree with your Miami, NO and Minn leans. I don't remember what they said on Philly.

I personally bet Magic U33.5, Jazz O41, Twolves U48.5, Pacers O31.5, Bulls U22 and Hornets O42.5.

I will say that after I bet the Hornets BAtum had a serious injury, so wouldn't be surprised if that line went down. Exum also was hurt on Utah but I don't think he was expected to do much so would be surprised if that moved the line.

The pacers are my team so I hope he's right but I fear they will be an abortion for years to come.

[ErickAA]

Bill Simmons and Joe House have a couple pods (1 for each conference) where they go over the O/Us for each team. I listen to it every year and normally go with some of his choices. He normally does pretty good, although he has losing years sometimes.

I am pretty sure him and House agree with your Miami, NO and Minn leans. I don't remember what they said on Philly.

I personally bet Magic U33.5, Jazz O41, Twolves U48.5, Pacers O31.5, Bulls U22 and Hornets O42.5.

I will say that after I bet the Hornets BAtum had a serious injury, so wouldn't be surprised if that line went down. Exum also was hurt on Utah but I don't think he was expected to do much so would be surprised if that moved the line.

The pacers are my team so I hope he's right but I fear they will be an abortion for years to come.

They don't really think the Pacers are that good. Their logic is there is going to be a lot of teams in the East tanking and the Pacers won't (because they never do), so they will get enough free wins end of season to propel them over 41 wins and probably the 7th-8th seed.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

The pacers are my team so I hope he's right but I fear they will be an abortion for years to come.

They don't really think the Pacers are that good. Their logic is there is going to be a lot of teams in the East tanking and the Pacers won't (because they never do), so they will get enough free wins end of season to propel them over 41 wins and probably the 7th-8th seed.

yeah that's the thing with the east...in the overall scheme of the NBA the pacers are gonna really suck, but in the east until shit rebalances talent-wise any team who actually tries and gives a shit will have a shot at making the playoffs and winning in the high 30s - low 40s...

[Tellafriend]

I like Phil +3.5 vs. Carolina.

[ErickAA]

Took Syracuse +24. Hopefully they can keep it Under 30 going into the 4th and then get the Backoor cover TD when Clemson doesn't care anymore.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

anybody have any NBA O/Us worth looking at?

was thinking Minny U 48.5 (-139) and Philly U 39.5 (-133)...prices are a little steep on these guys...

was reading Zach lowe's recent article breaking down where the teams rank and he said he thought minny would be lucky to win 50...like the team, but when you start to breakdown the west you have GS, SA, HOU, OKC at the top with POR, UTH, DEN being feisty and LAC still being there...tough road to 50...

philly...just like the under because of the hype...no doubt the talent is there, but it is literally a bunch of rookies and a couple of 2nd-3rd year guys...prove you can win, prove you can stay healthy...

NOP U 40 (-107) you could probably talk me into because boogie while being uber talented is a net negative and mental case and I'm sure he'll manage to drag that team into the shit heap...

MIA O 43.5 (-122)...man spolestra can coach and managed to coax 41 wins outta his team last year...this line seems about right, but can he get those extra 3 wins? the east I believe is worse than it was last year (don't know how the fuck that is humanly possible) so that might be enough for him to get there...

going to fire on MIN/PHL either tonight or tomorrow, but am willing to hear arguments on all of these...

Bill Simmons and Joe House have a couple pods (1 for each conference) where they go over the O/Us for each team. I listen to it every year and normally go with some of his choices. He normally does pretty good, although he has losing years sometimes.

I am pretty sure him and House agree with your Miami, NO and Minn leans. I don't remember what they said on Philly.

I personally bet Magic U33.5, Jazz O41, Twolves U48.5, Pacers O31.5, Bulls U22 and Hornets O42.5.

I will say that after I bet the Hornets BAtum had a serious injury, so wouldn't be surprised if that line went down. Exum also was hurt on Utah but I don't think he was expected to do much so would be surprised if that moved the line.

so binge listened to the podcasts last night and their reasoning was pretty much spot on with mine, which is kinda scary since i didn't do much research...their PHL number was 41.5, i believe which i would slam the fuck out...little more hesitant at 39.5, but they still have to get to 0.500 and i don't see it...forgot the pelicans had rondo too...boogie and rondo, holy fuck there's a cocktail of fucking crazy waiting to go off...

gonna hop on your magic U and jazz O...they made a good case for the magic under (no shooters and tank candidate) and jazz over...forgot the jazz drafted Donovan Mitchell who lit up the summer league (i know lol summer league), but that's a good start...not a fan of Rubio because i think his shooting hurts him, but they seemed to like him on that team so ill roll with it...like i said the only thing that has me a little skiddish about the jazz is their in the west, but fuck it...

think I'm gonna put a 0.5 unit on GS over...68 wins seems like a ton, but so does 14 losses...they rest their guys against the shit teams of the east they still should be able to get to 68...

kicking around the idea of MLW U after listening...think ill probably hold off since i have 7 others I'm firing on...

[Mintjewlips]

I bought Wash St -13 early in the week, I just bought Cal +17, maybe I'll hit pay dirt if Wash St wins by 14 to 17 points.

[Tellafriend]

I bought Wash St -13 early in the week, I just bought Cal +17, maybe I'll hit pay dirt if Wash St wins by 14 to 17 points.

As soon as my guy hits 17 I'm doing the same. lol

Where we at tomorrow more importantly ?

[Mintjewlips]

17-8 ATS NCAA so far.

UL LAFAYETTE -14 (bought the hook, thursday night game)

Washington State -13 (Friday night game)

Northwestern vs Maryland over 49 1/2

Texas Tech moneyline +155

Michigan -7

TCU -4 1/2

Marshall -16 1/2

Michigan State -4

Im sure the public is going to bet heavy on Oklahoma, going to wait and see how much better that Texas line gets.

Where we at tomorrow more importantly ?

Pretty much the same as posted earlier in the week, i have a gut feeling that Texas line is going to be about +13 by tomorow, but Texas +10 would be good too.

Lol at Marshall dropping to -14 lol fml.

I got in at -4 1/2 for TCU it's at -7, i would still buy at -7.

[lewfather]

detroit gives the golden knights a golden shower tonight

VEGAS FIRST LOSS

BEG BORROW STEAL

(reverse pick?)

[DJ_Chaps]

forgot to post this earlier like a dumbass, but just hit early in the 3rd.


369587111 - 1 Oct 13, 2017 04:26 PM Total $50.00 $49.50
Hockey - 53 Washington Capitals/New Jersey Devils over 5½ -101 for Game

[ErickAA]

Live bet Clemson -7.5 when they were down and then Bryant gets knocked out of game. And they have missed 2 short FGs. They will probably win by 4 now.

Lame.

[Mintjewlips]

Wow, lol clemson, it's not rare for a college team to have an off night but damn.

I hate betting on double digit favorites mid season, definitely didn't like Clemson -24.

[Mintjewlips]

Syracuse wants this bad.

[ErickAA]

Got cute with the Clempson 2nd half bet and stole defeat from the jaws of victory.

Cal +16.5

[DRK Star]

It's not often that you potentially have a game cancelled due to air quality

[Mintjewlips]

What pussies lol

[Daly]

It's not often that you potentially have a game cancelled due to air quality

What's strange is 80% of the market is at 16.5 but I have one book at 14.5 -115

[hongkonger]

What pussies lol

This

[DJ_Chaps]

detroit gives the golden knights a golden shower tonight

VEGAS FIRST LOSS

BEG BORROW STEAL

(reverse pick?)

Looking like bedshit. Wings cant hold a lead for shit.