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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #9921
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    scherzer -129...seems way too good to be true, which usually means I should be looking at Martinez +117...if max doesn't go 7+ think the cards are a great bet because that Washington bullpen has been absolute dogshit...but its tempting to take max at that small of a favorite...thoughts anyone?

  2. #9922
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Nats games are poison. Don't need that heartache

    just getting around to looking at scores and odds

    Dodgers live over is always responsible gambling. Pray for a couple of scoreless innings & high pitch counts

    And we are done. Quick run 1st. Will still follow

    Maeda looks a mess.

    I took when Padres 3-0 2nd.

    7/2/2017 5:27:05 PM
    Description:
    LOS ANGELES DODGERS at SAN DIEGO PADRES Total OVER 9.5 +110

    Closing pregame 8 -115

    Looks like value & I went big. Dodgers sitting some people. Big sweat

    Gonna be looking at this post days from now.

    Dodgers strand 7 runners in 4 innings. Is that even mathematically possible? Me & the Dodgers. It's like they know I hate them and they wanna hurt me.

     
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      Tellafriend: God speed
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 07-02-2017 at 02:14 PM.

  3. #9923
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Just chronicalling my losses here for my appearance in bankruptcy court.

    Tablet - Baseball - MLB - 912 Boston Red Sox/Texas Rangers under 11 -110 for Game

    I got it last night - it's 10.5 now. That will be my only win - nabbing a bargain. It will lose so was it really a bargain?

    Dodgers win 20 of 24 or something like that and I have the talent to pick one of the 4 they decide to nap it out. It's a gift.

  4. #9924
    Bronze Serial Fail's Avatar
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    College Football win totals.

    BYU at 10, this line is easily win or push. It's shaded a little high because they have a 13th game due to playing Hawaii, but there's no way BYU is going 11-2 on this season. They have LSU, Utah, Wisconsin, Boise State and Mississippi State as 5 of their first 7 games. It's a damn near guarantee they lose at least 3 of those.

  5. #9925
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    College Football win totals.

    BYU at 10, this line is easily win or push. It's shaded a little high because they have a 13th game due to playing Hawaii, but there's no way BYU is going 11-2 on this season. They have LSU, Utah, Wisconsin, Boise State and Mississippi State as 5 of their first 7 games. It's a damn near guarantee they lose at least 3 of those.
    Any team that Phill Steele is saying is one of the best I program history I'd be nervous about taking the under on.

  6. #9926
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    College Football win totals.

    BYU at 10, this line is easily win or push. It's shaded a little high because they have a 13th game due to playing Hawaii, but there's no way BYU is going 11-2 on this season. They have LSU, Utah, Wisconsin, Boise State and Mississippi State as 5 of their first 7 games. It's a damn near guarantee they lose at least 3 of those.
    Any team that Phill Steele is saying is one of the best I program history I'd be nervous about taking the under on.
    BYU is replacing A LOT this off season, including their starting QB and their all time leading rusher at RB.

    BYU hasn't won 11 games since '09 and they are likely starting the season 1-2. The under MIGHT not hit, but 10 wins is the ceiling for this team. I'd stay away from it at 9.5, but with the total at ten it's either push or win.

  7. #9927
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    Any team that Phill Steele is saying is one of the best I program history I'd be nervous about taking the under on.
    BYU is replacing A LOT this off season, including their starting QB and their all time leading rusher at RB.

    BYU hasn't won 11 games since '09 and they are likely starting the season 1-2. The under MIGHT not hit, but 10 wins is the ceiling for this team. I'd stay away from it at 9.5, but with the total at ten it's either push or win.
    Free free to tell me to fuck off if you like, not trying to break balls here.

    There were lots of folks, even on the inside of the team, who thought there were better off with Mangum under center last year. So while you are correct to say they are replacing the QB this year im not so sure he is a downgrade from Hill. Williams was a beast last year but when he was hurt Canada stepped in just fine. Point taken though Williams was a beast.

    I think Wisconsin and LSU are the two teams on the schedule that I say are a definite L. I think Boise at home is a W this year and Steele agrees. I look at it as a bet on the Utah and Miss St games.

    I got them 10-3 with a win vs a Rebuilding Utah team and a loss vs Miss St but Vargas only has State winning 5 games next year so maybe not.

  8. #9928
    Bronze Serial Fail's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Serial Fail View Post

    BYU is replacing A LOT this off season, including their starting QB and their all time leading rusher at RB.

    BYU hasn't won 11 games since '09 and they are likely starting the season 1-2. The under MIGHT not hit, but 10 wins is the ceiling for this team. I'd stay away from it at 9.5, but with the total at ten it's either push or win.
    Free free to tell me to fuck off if you like, not trying to break balls here.

    There were lots of folks, even on the inside of the team, who thought there were better off with Mangum under center last year. So while you are correct to say they are replacing the QB this year im not so sure he is a downgrade from Hill. Williams was a beast last year but when he was hurt Canada stepped in just fine. Point taken though Williams was a beast.

    I think Wisconsin and LSU are the two teams on the schedule that I say are a definite L. I think Boise at home is a W this year and Steele agrees. I look at it as a bet on the Utah and Miss St games.

    I got them 10-3 with a win vs a Rebuilding Utah team and a loss vs Miss St but Vargas only has State winning 5 games next year so maybe not.
    Mangum struggled against the better teams on BYU's schedule in 2015 and padded his stats against the likes of teams like UConn, ECU, and Fresno State. He was abysmal against Michigan, and gave Utah a 35-0 lead in the first quarter of the Vegas Bowl. He also had A LOT of yardage put up with prayers tossed up to huge receivers, like Mitch Matthews, which is a tool he won't have this year. I mean, the dude won 2 games in 2015 with Hail Mary's.

    Utah is closing the door on BYU fast, the recruiting between the two schools isn't even close any more and, quite frankly, if BYU couldn't find a way to win against Utah last year, I'm not sure they're going to do it for a while. Utah turned the ball over SIX times last year, twice in the end zone.

    Squally has been okay in his time at BYU, but he's only had 10+ carries twice in his career. That is a huge adjustment going from 5 carries a game to being the featured back. If the schedule is flipped and both Mangum and Canada had some time to adjust, they might get to 11 wins. But coming out of the game with LSU, Utah, and Wisconsin back to back to back?

    The worst you're going to do here is push.

  9. #9929
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I just found a local with 8.5 wins for BYU so I guess you are getting some value on 10 fwiiw.

  10. #9930
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    Joey Chestnut at -500 to win the Hot Dog Eating contest is about as free as free money gets

     
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      Tellafriend:
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  11. #9931
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    Joey Chestnut at -500 to win the Hot Dog Eating contest is about as free as free money gets
    You have been right a lot lately. Good call. I had to pay -600 for the action.

  12. #9932
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    So this thread has been lacking for a while. Where's druff who said he was getting back to prognosticating? Daly? Suicide king?

    Yesterday was my first good day In a while. Houston was free money.

    I really like KC, Houston and Milwaukee again today. Thoughts?

  13. #9933
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    So this thread has been lacking for a while. Where's druff who said he was getting back to prognosticating? Daly? Suicide king?

    Yesterday was my first good day In a while. Houston was free money.

    I really like KC, Houston and Milwaukee again today. Thoughts?
    I've been real quiet of late. Summer months have been all about three types of props.

    Total strikeouts
    Will player X have a hit
    Total bases

    Strikeouts and x have a hit bets have been nonexistent to rearely offered so far.

    Total bases are offered but have a next level variance to them because you got two players, two starting pitchers and two bullpens to filter through.

    I'm ready for college football but baseball has been a non starter for me so far.

     
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      nunbeater: so fucking ready for some football yo

  14. #9934
    Welcher jsearles22's Avatar
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    This is getting a little silly. League leader in ERA and Wins. Probable All Star starter. Yet he's a dog for about the 5th straight game.

    Full disclosure- I'm going small. It's hard to sweep. Seattle is good at home. Miranda is pretty good. BUT Vargas and the 31-19 over the last 50 game Royals are getting +128. Gotta bet it
    It's hilarious that we as a society think everyone can be a dr, a lawyer, an engineer. Some people are just fucking stupid. Why can't we just accept that?

  15. #9935
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jsearles22 View Post
    This is getting a little silly. League leader in ERA and Wins. Probable All Star starter. Yet he's a dog for about the 5th straight game.

    Full disclosure- I'm going small. It's hard to sweep. Seattle is good at home. Miranda is pretty good. BUT Vargas and the 31-19 over the last 50 game Royals are getting +128. Gotta bet it
    Already way ahead of you.

  16. #9936
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    Well, no where else to post this. I placed my fav 3 bets earlier. As I've said before, I'm an action junkie when I'm not too busy w work. Make lots of bets. Anyway, I'm going to go 10-1 today before considering kc. What a day. Wish it were more regular. Anyway, needed to share.

     
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      GambleBotsChafedPenis: Good Job/Making Money Rep

  17. #9937
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    The #Reds #Rockies total today is 12.5 at Pinnacle. Since '05, the under has gone 34-26 on totals of 12.5 or higher

    sportsinsights.com/free

    I was able to get under 13. 14 runs is a shit ton of runs and if they get there so be it.

     
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      Tellafriend: From your mouth to my br

  18. #9938

  19. #9939
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    I'm pretty sure that his brain to fingers impulse is > 4 seconds, making the over the 5 star lock of week.

  20. #9940
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Well, no where else to post this. I placed my fav 3 bets earlier. As I've said before, I'm an action junkie when I'm not too busy w work. Make lots of bets. Anyway, I'm going to go 10-1 today before considering kc. What a day. Wish it were more regular. Anyway, needed to share.
    And kc also came through for me. 11-1 yesterday.

    My current mood:

    Name:  IMG_3010.JPG
Views: 137
Size:  2.90 MB

     
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      unchainedghost: solid

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