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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #9581
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    I'm taking cards one last time. Big. Gl.

  2. #9582
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Also like Washington and Milwaukee. Also Milwaukee over. So go against full barrel.

  3. #9583
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by snake_in_the_ass View Post

    Astros 10 game winning streak ends tomorrow. I am on KC, also OAK and Brewers.
    Passing on fading ATL Colon? Lol, just looked.

    Wow what a shit show. Two horrific pitchers. Kinda obvious but sometimes they can't put up a total more than 9 or 10

    Amazing awfulness. Can't wait.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 904 Philadelphia Phillies/Atlanta Braves over 10 -110 for Game

    I am having some misgivings about this. Philly Pivetta is a minor leaguer just called up. He faced Dodger Nats & Rangers previous stint in majors. Never went beyond 5 innings. 5.12 ERA. Tough teams.

    He's a command kid (think Urias) which often doesn't translate to MLB. He may luck out for a while like Urias did.

    I shoulda passed but I can live with it.
    How does the bad weather likely affect the over? I assume it would depress the score but really donno.

  4. #9584
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post

    Passing on fading ATL Colon? Lol, just looked.

    Wow what a shit show. Two horrific pitchers. Kinda obvious but sometimes they can't put up a total more than 9 or 10

    Amazing awfulness. Can't wait.

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 904 Philadelphia Phillies/Atlanta Braves over 10 -110 for Game

    I am having some misgivings about this. Philly Pivetta is a minor leaguer just called up. He faced Dodger Nats & Rangers previous stint in majors. Never went beyond 5 innings. 5.12 ERA. Tough teams.

    He's a command kid (think Urias) which often doesn't translate to MLB. He may luck out for a while like Urias did.

    I shoulda passed but I can live with it.
    How does the bad weather likely affect the over? I assume it would depress the score but really donno.
    Doesn't help. Aren't you a ray of sunshine. Damn

    Any rain delay or any kind of late start hurts pitchers. I will rationalize that Philly has to stick with their AAA kid whatever it takes cause they are thin - else he wouldn't be there.

    Like I said before, I kinda don't love it. Philly Piveta was lights out in minors recently. He could be in a groove and he is new to MLB players.

    He may dance through the raindrops. So I find myself hoping and not knowing. It was an impulsive bet after a beautiful Braves win for me yesterday. I was feeling too cocky.

    If your in I'd be interested to sweat with you. Misery loves company.

  5. #9585
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    As tempting as the over is with Colon pitching, I'm going to pass because.... well, it's the Braves and Phillies.

    I'm actually going to just fade Colon again. I think doing so is $$$$ until the line starts getting too steep to do so.

    Nick Pivetta indeed seems to have control problems in his brief Major League career. Sanlmar's comparisons to Julio Urias are correct, though Urias is far more talented overall.

    However, Pivetta has been killing it in the minors, and if there's an Major League team he's going to stifle, it's the Braves.

    Not that I have a lot of faith in Pivetta having a good game, but Colon just appears completely dead this year. Last year he was hit-and-miss, especially in the first half. His ERA is 7, and he's been bombed consistently. This isn't an ERA as a result of a few horrible starts. The guy is 44 years old, and done.

    Also, I'm finally going to jump back on two trains which made me a lot of money last year -- the Carlos Martinez train and the Junior Guerra train.

    Philly (Pivetta) +115 at Braves (Colon)
    St. Louis (C. Martinez) -142 at Reds (Wojciechowski)
    Milwaukee (Ju. Guerra) +114 vs. Giants (Samardzjia)

  6. #9586
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Looks like I won't be betting on the Cards.

    My bitcoin deposit to bet on it got stuck, and by the time it arrived, it went to -153. Nope.

    Also Betonline somehow screwed me out of my deposit bonus. Gotta call. What a pain in the ass.

  7. #9587
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 901 St. Louis Cardinals -133 for Game L

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 909 Washington Nationals +113 for Game

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 909 Washington Nationals +121 for Game

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB Series - 863 Nationals Series Prices +115 for Game

    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 904 Philadelphia Phillies/Atlanta Braves over 10 -110 for Game W
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-05-2017 at 06:07 PM.

  8. #9588
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    As tempting as the over is with Colon pitching, I'm going to pass because.... well, it's the Braves and Phillies.

    I'm actually going to just fade Colon again. I think doing so is $$$$ until the line starts getting too steep to do so.

    Nick Pivetta indeed seems to have control problems in his brief Major League career. Sanlmar's comparisons to Julio Urias are correct, though Urias is far more talented overall.

    However, Pivetta has been killing it in the minors, and if there's an Major League team he's going to stifle, it's the Braves.

    Not that I have a lot of faith in Pivetta having a good game, but Colon just appears completely dead this year. Last year he was hit-and-miss, especially in the first half. His ERA is 7, and he's been bombed consistently. This isn't an ERA as a result of a few horrible starts. The guy is 44 years old, and done.

    Also, I'm finally going to jump back on two trains which made me a lot of money last year -- the Carlos Martinez train and the Junior Guerra train.

    Philly (Pivetta) +115 at Braves (Colon)
    St. Louis (C. Martinez) -142 at Reds (Wojciechowski)
    Milwaukee (Ju. Guerra) +114 vs. Giants (Samardzjia)
    I have all 3 of these. Hope they turn out.

  9. #9589
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Like the brewers and decent pricing. Plus I have sanlimar hate for Samarj... riding Houston again.

  10. #9590
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well so far so good with Brewers and Phillies.

    Didn't get to bet Cards but GL to those who did

  11. #9591
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Northwestern over 7 wins -125

  12. #9592
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Northwestern over 7 wins -125
    I'm dense. But I listen. Which sport are we talking about here sir?

  13. #9593
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Northwestern over 7 wins -125
    I'm dense. But I listen. Which sport are we talking about here sir?
    College football.

    Tough to say any team other than Ohio St or Mich is going to win the Big Ten but this team could do it. I think 7 is a lock.

  14. #9594
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post

    I'm dense. But I listen. Which sport are we talking about here sir?
    College football.

    Tough to say any team other than Ohio St or Mich is going to win the Big Ten but this team could do it. I think 7 is a lock.
    Gotcha. I guess it just shows what a neophyte I am, but I hate locking up money for that long out. Does that even entire your mind?

  15. #9595
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post

    You should always be able to see their lines whether you have an account there (or are logged in) or not.

    http://www.5dimes.eu/livelines/livelines.aspx
    Thanks. I've been dicking around trying to get in with an old account I didn't try and use the front door.

    Many sites are starting to hang lines on NCAAf and many of them are off on their own. Based on what at 5D and what the southpoint released in Vegas I have bet the following where I can. I figure these lines to be better than what will be available at kickoff baring an injury

    USF -14 (it's 17 now)
    FSU +7.5
    Louisville-20.5
    BYU +14
    UNC -7.5
    Texas -17
    Update at Westgate.

    USF -20.5
    FSU +4
    Louisville-27
    BYU +10.5
    UNC -13.5
    Texas -20.5

     
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      Tellafriend: Wow. Just wow.

  16. #9596
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    My book doesn't release the O/Us until right before the season starts. Can't wait. Let me know any other O/Us you really like.

  17. #9597
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Well, as I've said, I'm Fucking cursed. Without a doubt the worst 2-3 weeks of my life gambling on sports. Cards blow another 2-0 lead in bottom of the 7th. Had it big. Real big. Feeling sick.

  18. #9598
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Well, as I've said, I'm Fucking cursed. Without a doubt the worst 2-3 weeks of my life gambling on sports. Cards blow another 2-0 lead in bottom of the 7th. Had it big. Real big. Feeling sick.
    You know what's amazing, is how many picks I posted (not sure how many you bet) which had 3-0 leads, late 2-run leads, or 9th inning leads, which have lost.

    I've only made 17 picks so far. Provided the Brewers lose (down 4-2 after 8, after leading 2-0), this will be the 6th loss I take of this type, yet I've had zero come-from-behind wins.

    That's running bad. Hopefully the Brewers get 2 in the 9th against Melancon, but I'm not counting on it.

    Only good luck today was my inability to bet the Cards because of the slowness of my BTC deposit.

  19. #9599
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Not to be a smartass but smells like the bullpen choices you might be making.

    Watch a Tigers game to get the feel for this issue.

    On the bright side, if you're still in Bitcoin you won anyway.

  20. #9600
    aka PP23 badguy23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Well, as I've said, I'm Fucking cursed. Without a doubt the worst 2-3 weeks of my life gambling on sports. Cards blow another 2-0 lead in bottom of the 7th. Had it big. Real big. Feeling sick.
    You know what's amazing, is how many picks I posted (not sure how many you bet) which had 3-0 leads, late 2-run leads, or 9th inning leads, which have lost.

    I've only made 17 picks so far. Provided the Brewers lose (down 4-2 after 8, after leading 2-0), this will be the 6th loss I take of this type, yet I've had zero come-from-behind wins.

    That's running bad. Hopefully the Brewers get 2 in the 9th against Melancon, but I'm not counting on it.

    Only good luck today was my inability to bet the Cards because of the slowness of my BTC deposit.
    THANK MICON FOR THAT SLOW BTC DEPOSIT BRO!!

    GO LIVE BET THE DODGERS THANK ME LATER

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