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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #9541
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    .... the one time I don't bet early...

    Cards drop from +158 to +135. Wow.

    Guess I'll have to pass on it now.

  2. #9542
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lewfather View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post

    I got it at -130 early. It's as high as -170 now. That's pushing it for sure but I still think there is a very good chance they score at least 2.
    I got it at -160, it's basically a lock. zimmerman is about as bad as it gets
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 922 Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers over 5˝ -115 for 1st 5 Innings

    I'm gonna muck up the sure thing my way cuz value 'n stuff I don't understand really

  3. #9543
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    So tilting.

    Liked Cards +158 but went to sleep & didn't bet.

    Woke up to +135 and said no way.

    Of course Cards hammering Lester immediately.

    The sad thing is if I was running better, I would have just fired last night.

    I hate missing out on +158 type wins. Gotta hit your share of those if you have a shot in baseball.

  4. #9544
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    ok I got baltimore and CWS over. i hesitated on lester and cleveland, grrr. NM just live bet Cards, risking bullpen here but if they beat up lester some more game may get away.

  5. #9545
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    I bet the Cardinals again at +145 and they fucking gave it up after winning for most of the game. Just awful. Again.

    And I hope Badguy hopped on KC again. Cleveland was -175 and they are getting their asses blistered.

    I bet Colorado over 7.5 for a lot and i'm not liking it whatsoever right now.

  6. #9546
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    da cubs

  7. #9547
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Dodgers trailing 8-5 going into the 9th. That $ was already spent

    Dodgers score 5 runs.

    10-8

    Dodgers came from behind only 3x this year, I believe

    Hill was dreadful - 100 pitches 4 in innings. Never thought I'd see Jansen. Guy is money & tough.

    Hatcher is awful too

    I binked Detroit first 5 so a push so far - feel free to take the victory lap, Druff

    I am almost ready to concede.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-03-2017 at 04:29 PM.

  8. #9548
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dodgers trailing 8-5 going into the 9th. That $ was already spent

    Dodgers score 5 runs.

    My feeling exactly yesterday, and today, with the Cardinals. A grandfucking slam. LOL.

    Thankfully my big Colo over hit. But without it, I'm on Craig's list looking for a bike.

  9. #9549
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    ok this one def belongs in the wagering thread:


    somebody tell me if they think there is anything odd about the line for the last game tonight , Rays @ M's

    M's at home for full game is a slight favorite , but if you go to first 5 inning lines the rays are actually slight favored on the ML, obv in first 5 bets u can push as to where you cant in a full game bet , so they make the -1/2 line and tonight the +1/2 is on the slightly favored Rays (Cobb going BTW)


    so heres: what the line looks like

    Rays +0.5 (-165) -115

    Mariners -0.5 (+140) -105




    why are the M's the -1/2 RUNLINE when they are the dog for first 5?

  10. #9550
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dodgers trailing 8-5 going into the 9th. That $ was already spent

    Dodgers score 5 runs.

    10-8

    Dodgers came from behind only 3x this year, I believe

    Hill was dreadful - 100 pitches 4 in innings. Never thought I'd see Jansen. Guy is money & tough.

    Hatcher is awful too

    I binked Detroit first 5 so a push so far - feel free to take the victory lap, Druff

    I am almost ready to concede.
    I lost with the Brewers yesterday and I wasn't dumb enough to take them today. I can't believe they choked again.

  11. #9551
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    ok ...... how bout this ... question open to anyone who thinks they know about MLb..


    why ever bet a full game when ur basically basing ur decison on the pitching matchup 95% of the time ? way quicker sweat (when baseball isnt always all that great to watch anyway) and with RL still available too if u wanna go that route so u leave out the push aspect?


    just want to hear a possible argument for taking full game , just so u can agonize into tge late bullpen hours when u coulda already cashed that winner (or loser) .... 2nd half of badeball games is also an interesting angle because if u know which bullpens are horrid u should be able to strategically place a last 4 inning bet ( i think a last 4 ining bet had to be done pregame tho).....,,, love aseball hate baseball , its kinda all we got , ive made almost 20k in one day a couple time hitting perfect everyrhjng parlayed , im also probably down lifetime on the bases , not sure exactly , just wanna hear some opt cuz ya gotta love it



    #tightnovel


    #didntedit

  12. #9552
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by lewfather View Post

    I got it at -160, it's basically a lock. zimmerman is about as bad as it gets
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 922 Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers over 5˝ -115 for 1st 5 Innings

    I'm gonna muck up the sure thing my way cuz value 'n stuff I don't understand really
    Happy this worked out for you. I had three sites where the CWS TT wasn't offered so I broke even on it.

    One of those better lucky than good moments.

  13. #9553
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rollinx420 View Post
    ok ...... how bout this ... question open to anyone who thinks they know about MLb..


    why ever bet a full game when ur basically basing ur decison on the pitching matchup 95% of the time ? way quicker sweat (when baseball isnt always all that great to watch anyway) and with RL still available too if u wanna go that route so u leave out the push aspect?


    just want to hear a possible argument for taking full game , just so u can agonize into tge late bullpen hours when u coulda already cashed that winner (or loser) .... 2nd half of badeball games is also an interesting angle because if u know which bullpens are horrid u should be able to strategically place a last 4 inning bet ( i think a last 4 ining bet had to be done pregame tho).....,,, love aseball hate baseball , its kinda all we got , ive made almost 20k in one day a couple time hitting perfect everyrhjng parlayed , im also probably down lifetime on the bases , not sure exactly , just wanna hear some opt cuz ya gotta love it



    #tightnovel


    #didntedit
    I have a raging headache and I am not fully awake but I'll take a shot.

    The public doesn't bet first 5 innings.

    There really are teams that get huge love beyond any logic. Of course, Chicago is was the poster child for this especially earlier this year.

    This is so gay but witness Dancing With The Stars. David Ross (ex Cubs catcher) was on. He ain't handsome and wasn't Fred Astaire. Part of the decision who makes next round is public voting. With three left Ross won again through public vote. There is a story that when the results were announced the judges looked shocked & appalled. That my friends was the power of the Chicago Cubs public. I loved that

    You may not give a shit about baseball but others do. Kinda passionately & beyond reason.

    There are teams that nobody cares about (bad teams?) that are better in a certain spot than the public gives them credit for.

    The lines are offered to the public like a restauranteur offers a salty dish with a high fat content to his customers. It's wrong and it's unhealthy but they seem to like it.

    That's the fun. You look at a line that was created for the public and you don't give a shit about the Dodgers and their little phenom Urias. LA is all excited ... they are playing the Miami Marlins - the retirees don't care and don't bet. It's all Todger money and it's soooo wrong.

    The Dodger Miami line is skewed beyond reason. That never happens first 5

    Edit:
    The Dodgers are one instance that hasn't been working though. They are a public darling with bad lines yet they still win. They are pretty good but it's all a waste.

    It's hard to fight the urge to fade the dumb money in that instance. It's been a slow suicide.
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-04-2017 at 07:50 AM.

  14. #9554
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    White Sox seem tempting today at +223. I don't recognize the pitcher and I am sure he sucks, but Detroit is playing Verlander, who I know is bad now, so I am not sure he should ever be +223 for any reason. Seems like value.

  15. #9555
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    Also, took Warriors -8.5. No strong feelings either way, but I like to have some kind of action on any basketball or football game I am going to try to watch anyways.

  16. #9556
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    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    White Sox seem tempting today at +223. I don't recognize the pitcher and I am sure he sucks, but Detroit is playing Verlander, who I know is bad now, so I am not sure he should ever be +223 for any reason. Seems like value.
    Name:  WDiJQek.jpg
Views: 160
Size:  13.7 KB

    GL

  17. #9557
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 965 New York Yankees +106 for Game


    Two bad teams - just putting my faith in Teherán
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 951 Atlanta Braves +107 for Game

    Freddie Freeman out so I have no idea why I am going here. More Teherán love
    Mobile - Baseball - Alt Run Line - 3951 Atlanta Braves -1˝ +160 for Game

  18. #9558
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    Quote Originally Posted by lewfather View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by verminaard View Post
    White Sox seem tempting today at +223. I don't recognize the pitcher and I am sure he sucks, but Detroit is playing Verlander, who I know is bad now, so I am not sure he should ever be +223 for any reason. Seems like value.
    Name:  WDiJQek.jpg
Views: 160
Size:  13.7 KB

    GL
    Now you tell me.


  19. #9559
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 965 New York Yankees +106 for Game


    Two bad teams - just putting my faith in Teherán
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 951 Atlanta Braves +107 for Game

    Freddie Freeman out so I have no idea why I am going here. More Teherán love
    Mobile - Baseball - Alt Run Line - 3951 Atlanta Braves -1˝ +160 for Game
    I Also took the nyy. Can't stomach the braves.
    GL

  20. #9560
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 965 New York Yankees +106 for Game


    Two bad teams - just putting my faith in Teherán
    Mobile - Baseball - MLB - 951 Atlanta Braves +107 for Game

    Freddie Freeman out so I have no idea why I am going here. More Teherán love
    Mobile - Baseball - Alt Run Line - 3951 Atlanta Braves -1˝ +160 for Game
    I Also took the nyy. Can't stomach the braves.
    GL
    Good luck to us on NYY. 2-2 top 7.


    I felt better about the Braves shit show. I bet live down 2-1 early

    6/4/2017 1:32:23 PM
    Description:
    ATLANTA BRAVES at CINCINNATI REDS Moneyline BRAVES +220

    Reds simply have zero pitching. Nada
    Tehran not great but he is functional where Reds are not


    Lol 11-7 5th. I was 9-3
    Rough draft Larry-like suicide thread ready to drop

    Sorry Tellafriend. If it's any consolation I know I'm gonna get fucked on Braves. I tried to book 21.5 over as a hedge big (a first - you ever take a 21.5 total?). Got rejected and everything got removed live.

    ATLANTA BRAVES at CINCINNATI REDS Win the Rest - (REDS 8 : BRAVES 11) REDS
    Last edited by Sanlmar; 06-04-2017 at 12:00 PM.

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