*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Reno]

Going with Druff's pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +155

Also got Kenta Maeda Under 6.0 SO (-105) He only had 5 SO's each game of the last 2 dbacks match ups. (Hope Daly approves)

[Sanlmar]

All faves today. If these go 4-0 contest this week.

Cubs -1.5 -112
Wash -1.5 -135
Royals -140
Mets -112

*Daly Druff still has your money from the one contest don't forget.

Look at the simpdog. Nice sweep

AL East gonna be wild. Anybody can take it down. Lots of heads up matches.

How empty it must be to follow NL West.

[snake_in_the_ass]

I'm going to go against the Dodgers today, as much as it hurts, and bet on Greinke.

He was excellent at Dodger Stadium during his career there.

Kenta Maeda has been solid, but has allowed at least 2 runs or more in every single one of his last 8 starts, and has failed to go to 7 innings in all of them.

D-backs are horrible because of their pitching. They can hit. When they have a good/decent pitcher going, they aren't a bad play for a good underdog line.

Bet this late because it keeps moving up.

Right now it's around +155-+165 on most books.

Time for Benjamin to do the picking!

[simpdog]

All faves today. If these go 4-0 contest this week.

Cubs -1.5 -112
Wash -1.5 -135
Royals -140
Mets -112

*Daly Druff still has your money from the one contest don't forget.

Look at the simpdog. Nice sweep

AL East gonna be wild. Anybody can take it down. Lots of heads up matches.

How empty it must be to follow NL West.

Should have stuck to mlb getting owned pretty bad with FSU.

AL East is awesome everyday is a playoff game right now.

[snake_in_the_ass]

I'm going to go against the Dodgers today, as much as it hurts, and bet on Greinke.

He was excellent at Dodger Stadium during his career there.

Kenta Maeda has been solid, but has allowed at least 2 runs or more in every single one of his last 8 starts, and has failed to go to 7 innings in all of them.

D-backs are horrible because of their pitching. They can hit. When they have a good/decent pitcher going, they aren't a bad play for a good underdog line.

Bet this late because it keeps moving up.

Right now it's around +155-+165 on most books.

Time for Benjamin to do the picking!

I believe Greinke has won every time he was a dog this year until tonight. He got his ass raped tonight with no condom.

[Sanlmar]

Time for Benjamin to do the picking!

I believe Greinke has won every time he was a dog this year until tonight. He got his ass raped tonight with no condom.

I think the code is you just turn your head from a bad pick unless the fool claims a lock

I think an exception can be made here. Greinke lets up 5 home runs. Then the Dodgers fans boo him as he leaves the mound. Drexel better call Greinke next cause the guy does suffer depression and anxiety.

Druff calling out Greinke's success in LA last year as somehow relevant. This guy isn't that guy. That guy retired.

Dreadful.

[simpdog]

Daly must be on the Noles 2nd half

Sanlmar you should have been on them in game

[handicapme]

Mississippi @ Florida State - Kermit Whitfield total receiving yards Under 67.5

He's listed as a "Or" starter tonight. If he is going to give up snaps the under is a decent bet. If it's a motivational ploy from the coach you are left with a bet that's 50/50.

I'm on this as well although I have a slightly worse line

Also played

Kelly under 24.5
Adeboyejo under 80.5
Adeboyejo under 5
Cook over 2
Rudolph over 4.5

nice.

[chinamaniac]

I'm on this as well although I have a slightly worse line

Also played

Kelly under 24.5
Adeboyejo under 80.5
Adeboyejo under 5
Cook over 2
Rudolph over 4.5

nice.

Thks and I would have totally had crushed had my sides not went up in flames with a 2-7 Saturday. However here was a breakdown of the props from week 1.

6-0 tonight
1-0 Yesterday
14-2 Saturday (sorry I didn't get these to the board)
1-0 on one of Dalys picks thrs or friday

All in all 22-2 on college props and now will have to terrorize some locals because my current book just cut me down to $50 limits. Going back to the Super Bowl just on Props I am on like a 34-6 run or something crazy like that.

Probably right up there with 2 of the other better runs I have gone on.

Edit: Also looking for a bunch of BTC if anyone has any.

thks

[Dan Druff]

I think simpdog is onto something.

Those -1.5 picks on big favorites seem like a good buy at this time of year. You just aren't seeing that many big dogs come through in September.

I haven't paid attention to the -1.5s for some months now, but I think I will now. I had been focusing on the dogs, but it's getting harder and harder to find ones of value that I like, and of course when you find them, they often blow up in your face anyway (like today).

The one team I might avoid doing that with is the Braves, as they seem to be playing a lot better recently, and in fact there might be some value there in their dog lines this month.

[Sanlmar]

I haven't watched a minute of football yet, Simp. There will be time for that. I bet a Daly pick in game blind but that was just love.

I reevaluated my life after my last wimpy in game Cubs hedge.

They were down 1-0 to Brewers and Brewers had a runner on 1st. At that moment I got +120 when the game was -183 to -200 before first pitch.

Final Cubs 7-2 Winning tilted me into clarity of purpose.

Cubs live has been the ATM for me that the Sawks overs were first half of season. I just don't pound the spots like one should when you find these spots.

In that spirit:
PARLAY (2 TEAMS) 09/06/16 16:23 EDT
Bet $ 1020.00 to win $ 1228.00 Result: Pending
Atlanta Braves W Perez vs Washington Nationals G Gonzalez 09/06/16 19:05 EDT Washington Nationals -240 Listed
Chicago Cubs J Hammel vs Milwaukee Brewers W Peralta 09/06/16 20:10 EDT Chicago Cubs -180 Listed

This from a guy whose base bet is $100.

There really is no earthly reason why I didn't parlay the run lines now that I read these posts but at my core I am still soft.

[simpdog]

Jays will be back on the horse tonight. Regular lineup back and dirty Sanchez on the mound.

Also like the Indians-1.5 and Washington-1.5

Wash -1.5 -120
San Francisco +128
Blue Jays-1.5 +105
Indians -1.5 -105
Boston over 8.5 -105

[Dan Druff]

Apologies regarding last night's debacle.

Dodgers can hit in the second half. Five guys with 20+ HR now. They obliterated Greinke, and with a steady guy like Maeda on the mound, Arizona had no shot.

I'm going to make a Dodgers-related pick tonight, but not for or against them. This time it's a total.

Ross Stripling is not good. Great first start (no hits through 7+ innings before being lifted), but has been mediocre/bad ever since.

Shelby Miller.... well, his ERA is almost 7 this year in 75 IP. 'Nuff said. WHIP is almost 1.7. Okay. now really 'nuff said.

Both offenses can hit.

I realize the Dodgers are at home at night in a pitchers' park, on an unseasonably cool night in early September (usually the hottest time of the year in LA).

However, I have to go with the over.

Also I like Sawks -1.5 +100, even though it's Buchholz pitching. Padres have been awful, and even some of their unheralded hot hitters have cooled down. They squeaked out a 2-1 win last night, but it's not happening again.

---------------

Boston -1.5 +100 (Buchholz) at San Diego (Clemens)
Dodgers (Stripling) vs. Arizona (Miller) - Over 8 -110

[abrown83]

I haven't watched a minute of football yet, Simp. There will be time for that. I bet a Daly pick in game blind but that was just love.

I reevaluated my life after my last wimpy in game Cubs hedge.

They were down 1-0 to Brewers and Brewers had a runner on 1st. At that moment I got +120 when the game was -183 to -200 before first pitch.

Final Cubs 7-2 Winning tilted me into clarity of purpose.

Cubs live has been the ATM for me that the Sawks overs were first half of season. I just don't pound the spots like one should when you find these spots.

In that spirit:
PARLAY (2 TEAMS) 09/06/16 16:23 EDT
Bet $ 1020.00 to win $ 1228.00 Result: Pending
Atlanta Braves W Perez vs Washington Nationals G Gonzalez 09/06/16 19:05 EDT Washington Nationals -240 Listed
Chicago Cubs J Hammel vs Milwaukee Brewers W Peralta 09/06/16 20:10 EDT Chicago Cubs -180 Listed

This from a guy whose base bet is $100.

There really is no earthly reason why I didn't parlay the run lines now that I read these posts but at my core I am still soft.

Yikes you should have consulted the Cubs season ticket holder.

Hammel is terrible in September has been three years in a row now.

[Daly]

Value play here. Houston is a win at home vs Louisville away from making the final 4.
Houston +2500 now could open up some nice hedging opertunities for some serious cake this winter.

[simpdog]

Mets/Reds under 8 -110
Mets -148

[Daly]

Mid week update:

Bama moved to 28.5, as it should. Terps moved to the other side of 14 as they should. Happy I bet them both early.

I see a lot of bait games on the list this week and you can tell because they aren't moving the number off the hook and "they" are happy to leave the line steady and collect more juice. I think it's clear to me that the books are begging for money on....

Cuse +14.5
App St -20.5
Tulsa +28.5
Ark +7.5 (this one reeeeealy stinks like 3 day fish)
Miss St -6.5
BYU +3.5
Cal +7.5 (four day old fish here)

I'm fairly sure you could blind bet the other side of all of these and do better than .500 this week. Be careful of teams on sale in Vegas. It's too early in the week to dive I'm fairly sure I'll be on the opposite side of most of these games.

Obviously it was a good week for money line upsets. Let me be clear I'm in no way shape or form promising to hit these at a rate close to 50%.... But it was nice to start 3-0. I'll be looking for betting line strength on the following dogs.....

Penn St
Purdue (yeah they stink but so does Cinci)
ECU
Wake
MTSU
South Carolina (this is set up to be the ML POTW potentially)

*** Keep Focused ***

You bet sides and totals for fun and it's posible to make some $$ when you know what to look for..... BUT.... It's props where you make the $$.

[GambleBotsChafedPenis]

you waiting on FAU and SMU since the lines seem to be moving in the favor of the side you want to bet on...

seeing SMU at 32 and FAU 24.5...

[Daly]

you waiting on FAU and SMU since the lines seem to be moving in the favor of the side you want to bet on...

seeing SMU at 32 and FAU 24.5...

I don't want to bet on either at this point.

I made Miami a bigger favorite then the 22 it came out on and I was right. Would have loved to go back in time on that one.

SMU plus the points I sprinkled a little bit on +31 but it came out that Davis (SMU QB) is banged up.

[Daly]

Maybe I don't know shit about baseball but it seems to me Betts total bases vs Myers tonight is a great bet -120