So this is laughable.
I got Toronto +500 late in the season to win the East.
They were +600 at one point shortly before that.
Now they are in the Eastern Conference Finals (which was NOT an easy road), and their series price is....
+650!
WTF?!
So my value went DOWN for them actually making the ECF.
Unbelievable.
Futures bets suck.
This sounds right. An awful Indiana took them to game 7 and Lowry straight disappeared for half of the Miami series which also went 7. Those things combined with the Cavs looking flawless and the LBJ/kyrie/love trio finally clicking means the Raps look pretty dead to me at this point.
Any value in raptors being 28-1 to win it all?
Zero chance that the Raptors beat the team coming out of the west.
And of course, they're pretty big dogs to beat the Cavs, though I could still see that happening because that team is very dysfunctional.
I did put out some money today on Toronto +10.5 (that's just too much) and also a smaller moneyline bet on Toronto +500. While I don't expect the Raptors to win, I'm willing to bet a 5-to-1 dog that the Cavs come in overconfident and let Toronto steal one, much like the Warriors did last night. Sadly I bet it earlier this morning. I see it's since risen to +11 and +600.
Raptors beat them 2 of 3 this year. But not sure if cle was fully healthy.
Cavs are playing good right now and healthy. They will beat the Raptors in 5 if they don't sweep.
The Cavs could be the first team to go 12-0 in the playoffs before losing 4 games in the finals.
Pistons beat the Cavs 3 out of 4 in the regular season and we saw what happened in that series. They did play them closer then Atlanta did tho.
Odor 8
Chavez 3
Gibbons 3
Rest 1or fines
Makes sense to me. Sorry for putting it here but we discussed it here previously
Toronto 9-2 out the gate, and now have crapped the bed with the Cavs on a 14-0 run.
Down by 13 and I think my longshot moneyline bet is very likely toast.
But the good thing about a 10.5 line is that it's always in play, unless it's like a super blowout.
So far this game is a disaster.
Cleveland on a 22-2 run.
Come on guys, this the Eastern Conference Finals. Play like it.
Embarrassing.
Maybe since they are up by so much they will pull all the starters after 3rd quarter.
But they might be up by 40 at that point, so not looking too good Druff.
Sawks Totals ATM is still open with unlimited withdrawals.
Remarkable run.
PM me Daly and we'll get your mind right.
8-4 on 7.5 total
Edit:
Some quick counts so far. I usually don't look back at results.
8 straight overs
10 of last 12 overs
The Runs Scored is the best in baseball. Bordering on historic. The pitching is for the most part awful.
This is opportunity even a patzer like me could spot.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-17-2016 at 10:31 PM.
More than anything I want to take a run at TMMLK's title. So here we go.
BOS (Wright) knuckleball
KC (Kennedy) not so great
Total over 8 100
Taking BOS ML -103
Both teams will stick with these starters longer than ordinary cause it's a day/night doubleheader. The fact Sox mgr Farrell is a fucking idiot should meld well here. Wright's been ok and it's a pitcher's park. Royals offense is fading. Despite these observations you gotta autobet Sawks offense.
Watching bullpens in game.
BOS (Price) one game does not prove too much. Fucking long rest tween starts worth noting for scared chimps.
KC (Volquez)
Total over 7 -115
Sawks Bullpen could save your bacon if necessary so it's never over on the over.
HOU (Fister)
CWS (Latos) lucky piece of shit. true awfulness should shine through today
Total over 8.5 -115
Edit:
As a guy who works alone most of the time and clearly wrestles with mental health issues, I often hear voices.
I made these bets and now all I hear is Rod Stewart fronting the band Faces and the song "(I Know) I'm Losing You"
Your love is fading I can feel your love fading
Woman it's fading away from me
'Cause your betting touch has grown cold
As if someone else controls your very soul
I fooled myself long as I can
I can feel the presence of another man
Fuck it. Try to find a losing bet from me in this thread. You gotta scroll pretty far back.
Last edited by Sanlmar; 05-18-2016 at 10:07 AM.
Someone explain this to me.
Usually live bets on MLB run lines don't have much (or any) value because of all the extra juice.
Today I saw a mind-boggling one.
Teheran is pitching great for the Braves, and they were up 2-0 against the Pirates in Pittsburgh.
There were 2 outs in the bottom of the 7th.
I got under 4.5 at -133.
That seems like great value. Braves don't hit well, and they also have a decent bullpen. And there were just 2 1/3 innings left. If 2 runs scored, I would still win.
Both books I have were around the same line. One was -140, one was -133.
Only sad thing was that it limited me to a relatively small bet (365 to win 275) on the site with the better line, so that's what I did. That's about half what I would normally bet, but I would have actually bet more if I could have because I really liked this one.
Now in the bottom of 8th, still 2-0.
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